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NZD/USD slides on China's soft trade numbers

China's exports and imports fall sharply New Zealand dollar slides by 1% China's CPI expected to indicate deflation The New Zealand dollar has declined by 1% on Tuesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6044, down 1.01%. Earlier, NZD/USD touched a low of 0.6034, its lowest level since June 8th. China's trade plunges as the economy struggles China's post-Covid recovery has not gone according to plan, as weak global demand and soft domestic demand have weighed on economic

08-08-2023 11:58 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Euro slides as German inflation eases

German inflation declines German Sentix economic index slows Fed members Bowman and Williams send hawkish message to markets The euro has fallen below the symbolic 1.10 level on Tuesday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0944, down 0.53%. German inflation decelerates in July Germany's inflation rate for July was 6.2% y/y, confirming the preliminary reading in June.

08-08-2023 10:42 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

EUR/USD finds support after Fed's Harker suggests rate hikes might be over

Fed rate hike odds stumble (Sept at 13.0% of a hike, November at 20.2%) Fed's Harker will may be at a point where it can hold rates steady Fed's Barkin notes inflation remains too high Risk aversion was providing the dollar with some momentum but that move might have been exhausted after Fed's Harker signaled they could be done raising rates. Harker noted, "Absent any alarming new data between now and mid-September, I believe we may be at the point where we can be patient and hold rates steady

08-08-2023 09:55 GMT by Edward Moya

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Podcast - Chinese trade figures, UK retail sales, Zoom

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam joined Jonny Hart to discuss how financial markets are trading following the release of Chinese trade data and UK retail sales. They also covered Zoom's decision to revise its flexible working policy.

08-08-2023 09:47 GMT by Craig Erlam

AUD/USD maintains bearish trend on disappointing China data

China's exports post worst plunge since February 2020 China's imports from Australia fell 10.9% y/y, which was a major reversal from the 6.2% gain seen last month Also adding pressure on AUD was PBOC fixing, which sent the yuan to weakest level in almost a month Global economic recovery suffers major blow on China woes Commodity currencies across the board tumbled after China’s trade data signaled global economic is in trouble over the short-term. A steadily improving Chinese economic recover

08-08-2023 06:10 GMT by Edward Moya

Yen extends slide as consumers reduce spending

USD/JPY is down 1% this week Japanese wage growth and personal spending decline The Japanese yen is trading quietly on Tuesday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 143.10, up 0.42%.

08-08-2023 06:01 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

USD/JPY rises as BoJ confirms easy policy

BoJ Summary of Opinions takes note of higher inflation US job report a mixed bag The Japanese yen has started the week in negative territory. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 142.36, up 0.42%. BoJ says monetary easing to continue Inflation continues to be a key issue for the Bank of Japan, although it is much lower than in other major economies, at around 3%.

07-08-2023 11:44 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Strong dollar sends oil and gold lower; AUD declines on expected Chinese weakness

China increased gold holdings for a ninth straight month in July Oil unfazed as Ukraine sea attack Russian oil tanker didn't lead to a major disruption Dollar supported amidst bond supply concerns; 10-year Treasury yield rises 3.8bps to 4.074% Oil Crude prices are lower following a surge in the US dollar and as Saudi Arabia anticipates a bumpy road for the crude demand. The Saudis are raising prices across most of Asia and Europe, with the Arab light crude only being boosted by 30 cents, which

07-08-2023 11:13 GMT by Edward Moya

Hawkish Fed speak boosts dollar across all the board

Fed's Bowman reiterates that more hikes might be need to bring down inflation German Industrial Production fell to a 6-month low US inflation data expected to support a September pause, but possible coin flip for the November meeting The US dollar is stronger across the board as the bond market selloff returns, sending the 10-year Treasury yield 6.9 basis points higher to 4.103%. After a mixed jobs report (slower job growth pace but higher wages) this week is all about an inflation report that

07-08-2023 09:10 GMT by Edward Moya

Australian dollar calm after rough week

RBA says decision to pause was close call Australia to release confidence data on Tuesday US employment report a mixed bag The Australian dollar is coming off another rough week, with losses of 1.17%. The currency has looked dreadful, losing close to 300 points since July 17th.

07-08-2023 06:35 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Week Ahead - Will US core CPI stay at the lowest levels since 2021?

Everyone will be watching the US inflation report as a cool report could help support soft landing hopes and seal the deal for some that the Fed is done raising rates. Expectations for the July inflation report is for headline inflation to rise towards the mid-3% range, while core inflation remains steady and holding onto the lowest levels since 2021 on both a monthly basis at 0.2% and at 4.8% from a year ago.

04-08-2023 13:24 GMT by Edward Moya

Loonie rallies as wages accelerate and oil price rally continues

Canada lost 6,400 jobs in July as the unemployment rate rose for a third straight month Canadian wage pressures jump to 5.0%, which might not let policymakers signal that the peak in rates is in place Crude prices rally for a sixth straight week on OPEC+ determination to keep oil market tight USD/CAD The past few weeks have not been kind to the Canadian dollar, but that could be changing. The general rise in the dollar has stemmed from concerns over the US debt situation. With both the Fed

04-08-2023 12:53 GMT by Edward Moya

Podcast - Dollar stumbles on mixed NFP report

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya joins Jonny Hart to discuss the latest US jobs report, Apple and Amazon earnings, and an easy OPEC+ decision.

04-08-2023 12:31 GMT by Edward Moya

Dollar dips as labor market slowdown bolsters case that the Fed is done raising rates

USD/JPY declines on expectations BOJ will let rates rise quickly Fed rate cut bets fully priced in by March meeting; implied rate stands at 5.123% Fed’s Bostic noted US employment gains are slowing in an orderly manner, no need for tightening NFP Day The US economy should continue to gradually weaken as the labor market softens. This labor market report showed 187,000 jobs were added to the economy, while wage pressures heated up, and as the unemployment rate dipped to 3.5%. This NFP report

04-08-2023 10:36 GMT by Edward Moya

USD/CAD shrugs after soft nonfarm payrolls

Canada added a negligible 1700 jobs in July US nonfarm payrolls almost unchanged at 187,000 The Canadian dollar is showing limited movement on Friday. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3360, up 0.06%.

04-08-2023 09:27 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Aussie steady after RBA Policy Statement, US NFP next

RBA policy statement says inflation high but declining Money markets betting on a pause in September US nonfarm payrolls expected at 200,000 The Australian dollar has stabilized but it has been a rough week, with losses of 1.37%. In Friday's European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6558, down 0.04%. RBA says inflation high but moving in right direction The Reserve Bank of Australia released its quarterly policy statement earlier today.

04-08-2023 07:06 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

EUR/USD flat ahead of nonfarm payroll report

German Factory Orders jump 7.0% US nonfarm payrolls expected to dip to 200,000 The euro is almost unchanged on Friday, trading at 1.0952. We could see some movement in the North American session, with the release of US nonfarm payrolls. The euro has shown sharp swings lately. EUR/USD climbed to 1.1275 on July 18th, its highest level since February 2022.

04-08-2023 04:35 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Nasdaq 100 Technical: Short-term bearish tone may still linger on

Ex-post Apple and Amazon earnings results reinforced the current +1.4% rebound seen on Index from its 3 August 2023 low in today’s 4 August Asian session hours. The ongoing rebound is still not showing any clear signs of a reversal from its current short-term downtrend phase in place since 29 July 2023 as price actions remained below the 20-day moving average. Medium-term momentum has turned bearish as indicated by the bearish divergence condition seen in the daily RSI at its overbought region w

04-08-2023 03:48 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Strong USD sends gold to a 3-week low

Crude prices rally after Saudis signal output cuts can be extended or deepened Gold struggles as bond market selloff extends; 10-year Treasury rises 11.4bps to 4.191% Bitcoin's tight range narrows to $28,900 to $30,100 Oil Crude prices rallied after the Saudis did what everyone expected them to do, they extended output cuts. The Saudis are doing whatever it takes to defend oil prices and that could mean we could be seeing $90 oil soon. The only thing getting in oil’s way is a weakening global

03-08-2023 15:35 GMT by Edward Moya

Global Bond Market Selloff Extends after BOE signals more tightening ahead

BOE rate hike odds for the September 21st meeting stand at 87.3% The VIX index trades above 16, to the highest levels in two months FX Volatility starts to pick, Canadian dollar index rises to nine-month high Wall Street is watching a global bond market selloff get uglier as US stocks waver ahead of massive earnings from Apple and Amazon. A lot of economic data confirmed how resilient the US economy remains.

03-08-2023 15:22 GMT by Edward Moya

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