Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

Market Insights Podcast - Geopolitical risk uptick ahead of Taiwan Presidential Election with Tokyo, AU and US inflation on the radar next.
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong joins Jonny Hart to discuss this week's key economic data and events; Taiwan Presidential Election this weekend which may trigger a geopolitical risk uptick that gave rise to the underperformance of the China and Hong Kong stock markets at the start of the week. Inflation data out in the US where a weakening in core CPI for December is likely to keep the Fed's dovish pivot alive, in turn, ignite another potential fresh downleg in US dollar weakness and ris
by Kelvin Wong
EUR/USD - Edging higher after bounce off key Fibonacci level
Euro area data points to further weakness in early 2024 Germany remains a concern amid weak factory numbers EURUSD higher but struggling around 1.10 It was a volatile end to the week for the dollar, with the jobs report initially causing a stir followed by the unexpectedly weak ISM services PMI. Today it's been Europe that's delivered a selection of data, albeit none quite as important as the two from the US on Friday. Retail sales for November were in line with expectations at -0.3% while the
by Craig Erlam
Australian dollar dips ahead of retail sales
The Australian dollar is coming off a rough week and is under pressure on Monday. AUD/USD was down as much as 0.50% earlier but has recovered these losses and is unchanged on the day at 0.6717. US nonfarm payrolls beat forecast US nonfarm payrolls, released on Friday, accelerated in December and beat the forecast.
by Kenneth Fisher
Canadian dollar shrugs off weak job numbers
Canada's employment growth falls close to zero US nonfarm payrolls hits 216,000 higher than expected USD/CAD has edged higher on Monday and is trading at 1.3387 in Europe, up 0.19%. There are no tier-1 releases out of the US or Canada today, so we can expect a quiet day for USD/CAD. The US dollar jumped out of the gates in the first week of 2024 and rose 0.83% against the Canadian dollar.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY edges lower ahead of Tokyo Core CPI
US nonfarm payrolls rise more than expected to 216,000 Tokyo Core CPI expected to ease to 2.1% The Japanese yen has started the week with slight gains and is trading at 144.39 in the European session, up 0.16%. It was a rough week for the yen, which declined 2.5% against the US dollar, which has looked sharp against most of the majors since New Year's. US nonfarm payrolls stronger than expected US nonfarm payrolls ended 2023 on a strong note.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY Technical: US dollar strength fizzled out ex-post US NFP
Last week’s broad-based US dollar strength has dissipated ex-post US non-farm payroll data with the continuation of its underperformance against the GBP. The US labour market has started to show growing slack where the labour force participation rate has dipped to 62.5%, its largest monthly decline in almost three years and full-time employment recorded its steepest drop since April 2020.
by Kelvin Wong
USD/JPY - US jobs data a setback but no game changer
US NFP 216,000 (170,000 expected, 173,000 in November revised down from 199,000) Average hourly earnings (MoM) 0.4% (0.3% expected, 0.4% in November) USDJPY rebounds off key Fibonacci level The first US jobs report of the year was an early reminder to investors that things don't always go their way, despite the experience of the last couple of months. Whether it was just exuberant festive cheer or something more, investors bounced into the end of 2023 full of hope that not only is the tightenin
by Craig Erlam
Japanese yen extends losses ahead of nonfarm payrolls
Japanese yen continues to slide US nonfarm payrolls expected to ease to 170,000 The Japanese yen continues to lose ground and is down for a fourth straight day on Friday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 145.14, up 0.36%. The US dollar took a nasty spill in December against the major currencies.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD slips, Eurozone inflation rises
Eurozone inflation rises, core rate dips US nonfarm payrolls expected to drop to 177,000 The euro is in negative territory on Friday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0908, down 0.33%. Eurozone inflation rises to 2.9% Eurozone inflation has been falling and dropped to 2.4% y/y in November, within striking distance of the 2% target.
by Kenneth Fisher
Canadian dollar eyes US, Canada jobs data
US nonfarm payrolls expected to fall to 177,000 Canada's employment change projected to drop to 13,500 The Canadian dollar is showing limited movement on Friday, but that could change in the North American session, when Canada and the US release the December employment reports. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3363, up 0.10%. The Canadian dollar looked sharp in December, with gains of 2.27%.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY Technical: Countertrend USD rebound remains intact ahead of US NFP
The US dollar is the top performer against the JPY on a 5-day rolling basis (+3%). A monthly US NFP jobs gain of between +240K to +260K may ignite another bout of US dollar rally. Bullish momentum is supporting a potential extension of the ongoing countertrend rebound in USD/JPY. Watch the next intermediate resistance at 146.70/147.45
by Kelvin Wong
AUD/JPY Technical Analysis Overview - FX Pairs to Watch
Talking Points Weekly Chart Technical Analysis Short Term formation before Non-Farm Payroll Weekly Chart Price was trading within an uptrend that began mid-year 2020 and may still be in place, however, the trend acceleration pace slowed once the FED began raising Interest Rates in early 2022, and price action continued sideways failing to make new highs since then. Price found resistance multiple times near the RED Resistance line identified on the above weekly chart near level 98.00 The ov
by Moheb Hanna
Euro rebounds after FOMC meeting, Geman CPI rises
Fed uncertain as timing of rate cuts German CPI rises, but core rate falls The euro has edged higher on Thursday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0950, up 0.26%. Fed unclear on rate cut timing The December policy meeting was highly significant as the Fed made a major pivot.
by Kenneth Fisher
Dow - Investors awaiting Fed minutes but jobs data more important
Stocks pare gains at the start of the year JOLTS data points to less heat in the labor market Dow turns lower after a period of divergence Stock markets are spending a second day in the red, continuing the softer start to the year as traders await minutes from the December FOMC meeting. Given the remarkable end to 2023, it's not particularly surprising that we're seeing a little profit-taking at this stage.
by Craig Erlam
Australian dollar's slide continues
The Australian dollar is down for a fourth straight day and has posted sharp losses on Wednesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6719, down 0.62%. The last week of the year was subdued as the data calendar was light.
by Kenneth Fisher
British pound starts New Year's with a tumble
The British pound is steady on Wednesday after sharp losses a day earlier. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2632, up 0.11%. UK Services PMI expected to accelerate UK Services PMI will be released on Thursday.
by Kenneth Fisher
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