Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

Currency markets are quiet
US dollar edges higher after FOMC minutes The US dollar staged a modest relief rally overnight after the FOMC Minutes came out. Nevertheless, some decent ranges were seen across the majors.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil higher, gold pares losses after minutes
Oil Crude prices were little changed after the EIA crude oil inventory report showed stockpiles are declining again as refiner activity picked up. The Strategic Petroleum Reserve saw a big draw of 6 million barrels, with crude stocks now at the lowest levels in over thirty years.
by Edward Moya
Fed minutes confirm half-point hike expectations for next 2 meetings, another round of soft US data, RBNZ hikes again, bitcoin stuck below USD 30k
US stocks edged higher as investors anticipate a quickly weakening economy will force the Fed into tapping the breaks with their tightening cycle. ​ The FOMC minutes are over three weeks old, but they did give a glimmer of hope that they could adjust their policy tightening stance later in the year. ​ The Fed mostly sees 50 basis point increases appropriate at the next couple of meetings as they are behind the curve with fighting inflation. ​ The Fed is optimistic about the economy, but they are
by Edward Moya
Swiss franc rally takes a breather
Swiss banks are traditionally known for avoiding publicity, and the same can be said for the Swiss franc, which is usually fairly steady and doesn't make the headlines. Earlier this month, however, the Swissie hit a milestone, as it achieved parity with the US dollar, the first time that's happened since December 2019. Swiss franc flirts with parity The Swiss franc was steamrolled by the US dollar in April, as USD/CHF surged by 5.48%, its best one-month performance since May 2012.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro rally hits a wall
Euro falls sharply The euro has reversed directions on Wednesday and is sharply lower. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0663, down 0.67% on the day.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZ dollar jumpy after RBNZ decision
The New Zealand dollar is almost unchanged on Wednesday. NZD/USD posted strong gains in the Asian session but has surrendered most of those gains. RBNZ shows hawkish teeth The Reserve Bank of New Zealand delivered on expectations, with a 0.50% rate hike which brings the cash rate to 2.0%, its highest level since 2016.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil and gold head higher
White House unnerves oil markets Oil prices continued to range trade overnight, finishing almost unchanged in New York. Asia, though, has seen both Brent crude and WTI rise.
by Jeffrey Halley
US dollar’s orderly retreat continues
Recession jitters send US dollar lower The US dollar eased once again overnight, as US recession fears continue to lead to a repricing lower of Fed tightening expectations. With quantitative tightening starting next week and no signs of inflation falling, that may be more hope than reality.
by Jeffrey Halley
Least worst choices
RBNZ hikes by 50-bps The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has raised policy rates by 0.50% to 2.0% this morning, with Governor Orr setting a hawkish tone in the press conference afterwards. In the statement itself, the RBNZ’s “least worst choices” policy seemed to imply that although external risks remained, the domestic economy was strong and could tolerate tighter monetary conditions.
by Jeffrey Halley
USD/JPY - Head and shoulders breakout?
Major correction on the cards? The rally in USDJPY from early March to early May was huge, driven by a combination of a soaring greenback and a BoJ determined to support its yield curve control policy tool. But the last couple of weeks have brought some relief in the pair, driven primarily by the dollar paring gains against the broader market. And the pair may have just broken below an interesting technical support level that could signal a more significant correction. A head and shoulders a
by Craig Erlam
EUR/GBP - Further gains to come?
Hawkish ECB boost the single currency The euro has caught a strong bid against the pound in recent days on the back of some very hawkish commentary from the ECB and poor economic data in the UK. The ECB will become the latest central bank to concede on the inflation argument and raise rates in July and September, as per President Christine Lagarde's blog, although some support an even more aggressive approach. That's boosted the euro at a time when the UK economy is facing the prospect of a r
by Craig Erlam
Euro rises to 1-month high on Lagarde
The euro has extended its gains on Tuesday. EUR/USD has broken above the 1.07 line for the first time since April 26th. ECB's Lagarde sends euro soaring The euro was red hot on Monday, as EUR/USD jumped 1.29%, its best one-day showing this year.
by Kenneth Fisher
New Zealand dollar rally fizzles
The New Zealand dollar has reversed directions after a solid 3-day rally. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6432, down 0.55% on the day. China jitters weigh on NZ dollar New Zealand's number one trading partner is China, and it's no exaggeration to say that when China sneezes, New Zealand catches a cold.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil trades sideways, gold edges higher
Oil markets continue to slumber Oil prices moved sideways once again overnight, trading in relatively narrow ranges as China growth fears cap the upside of prices, while the Ukraine conflict and the refined petroleum product supply squeeze in the US support the downside. Brent crude finished 0.70% higher overnight at USD 113.35 a barrel, with WTI unchanged at USD 110.55 a barrel. In Asia, downgraded China GDP growth forecasts and increasing worries about wider virus restrictions in Beijing has p
by Jeffrey Halley
US dollar retreat accelerates
Hawkish Lagarde sends dollar lower The US dollar slumped overnight, losing ground against both the G-10 and EM space. That contrasted with a rise in US yields, but equities, bonds and currencies seem to be running their own separate races now.
by Jeffrey Halley
Snap, crackle, pop
Snap, Crackle, Pop may bring back memories of breakfast cereals, but for Snap Inc their quarterly guidance was more of a dog’s breakfast. Snap’s stock price went snap, crackle, pop, as it fell by over 30% in extended trading after the CEO, in a note to employees, said it would miss quarterly guidance on growth and revenues.
by Jeffrey Halley
EUR/USD - Bullish breakouts coming?
Lagarde comments trigger latest rally The euro surged at the start of the week after ECB President Christine Lagarde laid out a very clear path for tightening in the coming months. This is extremely out of character for Lagarde which perhaps highlights the urgency with which the ECB is now approaching the inflation problem. From intentional ambiguity to a very specific path - a rate hike in July and an end to negative rates by the end of the third quarter - it's a huge change from how the cen
by Craig Erlam
US Close - Stocks rally on Biden's tariff comment, Euro rallies on Lagarde Hawkishness, Oil choppy, Gold rallies, Bitcoin struggles
US stocks are rallying over optimism that President Biden could be positioning for a major de-escalation in the US-China trade war and over selling exhaustion. After eight weeks of selling pressure for the Dow and a seven-week losing streak for both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, a rebound was long overdue.  Many are rationalizing today’s rebound with the logic that much more downside would only be warranted if a recession was likely to happen early next year and that won’t be determined for a few more
by Edward Moya
Oil steady, gold
Economic fears slow rally in oil Oil prices are only marginally higher at the start of the week as Europe's failure to agree on a ban on Russian oil and economic fears offset the Shanghai reopening. Hungary is still holding out against the deal but the bloc is confident that it will get over the line.
by Craig Erlam
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