Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

New Zealand dollar pares gains as RBNZ holds rates
New Zealand's central bank takes a pause after 12 consecutive hikes New Zealand Manufacturing PMI expected to show manufacturing is stalled US inflation expected to decline to 3.1% The New Zealand dollar showed some gains after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand paused rates, but has given up most of those gains. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6206, up 0.14%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar loses ground despite solid confidence indicators
Australia's consumers and business confidence improve US inflation expected to fall to 3.1% The Australian dollar is in negative territory on Tuesday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6656 in the North American session, down 0.28%. Consumer and business confidence rise  Australia released business and confidence data on Tuesday, with both showing improvement.
by Kenneth Fisher
Technicals and Triggers – USD/JPY, GBP/USD, GBP/JPY, USD/MXN
FX volatility might be returning given Wall Street is seeing some exhaustion with several key currency trades.  The end of tightening for the advance economies keeps getting delayed and sooner than later it will deliver a major blow to growth.  FX volatility should pick up as diverging policies from the Fed, BOE, and PBOC could trigger some significant moves in H2. USD/JPY
by Edward Moya
GBP/USD - BoE has cause For optimism in UK jobs report
UK unemployment rises to 4% in the three months to May, up from 3.8% Average earnings hit 7.3% (excluding bonus) and 6.9% (including bonus) Markets expect BoE to raise rates another 1.25% UK jobs data this morning was a mixed bag on the face of it but a deeper dive into the numbers may give the Bank of England more cause for optimism than pessimism. The earnings component of the report, while continuing to partly shield households from soaring inflation, is the part the MPC will be most co
by Craig Erlam
NZD/USD dips ahead of RBNZ rate decision
New Zealand central bank expected to pause after 12 consecutive hikes New Zealand Manufacturing PMI expected to show manufacturing is stalled The New Zealand dollar is lower on Tuesday. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6189, down 0.35%. RBNZ expected to take a pause The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will be in the spotlight on Wednesday.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY Technical: At risk of a minor bounce before bearish tone resumes
Medium-term uptrend of USD/JPY in place since 16 January 2023 at risk of breakdown. Steep decline from last Thursday, 6 July 2023 has reached oversold condition. Minor bounce cannot be ruled out at this juncture above 140.60 support. Watch the 142.50/142.80 intermediate resistance zone. This is a follow-up on our prior analysis “USD/JPY surged to a 7-month high, but fundamentals diverge” published on 23 June 2023. We have highlighted the risks of the overextended rally exhibited in the USD/JPY
by Kelvin Wong
GBP/USD eyes UK employment report
UK jobs report expected to show strong employment and wage growth US nonfarm payrolls declined in June The British pound has drifted lower on Monday. GBP/USD is trading at 1.2827 in the European session, down 0.09%. UK employment data expected to remain strong The UK labour market remains resilient despite a cooling economy and high interest rates.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/CAD slips as NFP falls, Canada adds jobs
US nonfarm payrolls decline Canada adds 60,000 jobs Bank of Canada expected to raise rates on Wednesday The Canadian dollar is trading quietly at the start of the week. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3286, up 0.07%.
by Kenneth Fisher
China equities bulls are still on the waiting list
Deflationary spiral risk has negated confidence in China equities. US dollar has continued to hold steady against the yuan despite a broad-based sell-off against other major currencies ex-post US non-farm payrolls. The key intermediate support to watch on the USD/CNH will be at 7.2160. Weak China inflation data offset positive China Big Tech news flow The dreaded fear of a deflationary spiral in China has reached “code red” where the latest consumer inflation rate for June has flattened to 0% y
by Kelvin Wong
Euro steady ahead of nonfarm payrolls, Lagarde speech
EUR/USD is unchanged in the European session, trading at 1.0893. Nonfarm payrolls expected to decline All eyes are on Friday's nonfarm payrolls, which is expected to decline for June. However, this week's employment numbers have been mixed, and it will be interesting to see which direction the nonfarm payrolls release takes. The ADP employment report, which precedes the nonfarm payrolls release by a day or two, tends to get glossed over, as it is not considered a reliable precursor to nonfarm
by Kenneth Fisher
Canadian dollar on a roll ahead of US, Canada job reports
US nonfarm payrolls expected to drop, but massive ADP jobs report is making investors nervous Canada's labour market is expected to rebound with a 20,000 gain The Canadian dollar is drifting in the European session, trading at 1.3378. It has been a good week for the Canadian currency, which is up about 1% against its US cousin. We can expect some significant movement from USD/CAD in the North American session, as both Canada and the US release the June employment reports. Will nonfarm payroll
by Kenneth Fisher
No summer lull for global equities
Bullish breakout seen in US Treasury 10-year yield above 3.90%, next resistance at 4.46%. Long-duration assets (fixed income & growth stocks) sold off and underperformed in the past two days. Record low level of implied correlation among S&P 500 stocks may lead to a spike in VIX. Asian stocks underperformed reinforced by a weak yuan despite subtle interventions by PBoC. Déjà vu, it’s all about government bond yields again In the past two days, we have seen several significant movements in the g
by Kelvin Wong
USD/CAD rises on strong US jobs and services data
ADP employment surprises with a huge gain of 497,000 On Friday, US releases nonfarm payrolls and Canada publishes the employment report Nonfarm payrolls are expected to fall to 225,000, Canada projected to add 20,000 jobs The Canadian dollar is in negative territory on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3360, down 0.58%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Fed hawks in control after a hot ADP report and impressive ISM services reading
ADP shows 497,000 jobs created in June, biggest gains in over a year ISM Services Index makes 4-month high ISM Prices paid declined from 56.2 to 54.1, lowest since March 2020 US stocks extend losses after a hot ADP report and impressive ISM services report raised the odds the Fed might have to do deliver more rate hikes beyond the July FOMC meeting. The dollar pared losses as Fed rate hike odds rose on expectations the NFP report will deliver its 15th straight beat.
by Edward Moya
Aussie pares gains as US ADP jobs report sparkles
Australia posts strong trade surplus US ADP employment surprises with massive gain US unemployment claims and ISM Services PMI will be released later on Thursday Thursday has been a busy day for AUD/USD. The Australian dollar rose after a strong Australian trade balance report but has reversed directions following a sparking US ADP employment release.
by Kenneth Fisher
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