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Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

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EUR/NZD Technical – Start of a new potential bullish impulsive up move
The Kiwi dollar (NZD) has been the worst performer among the US dollar major pairs in the past five days. A further slowdown in New Zealand’s Q3 CPI (5.6% y/y versus 6% y/y in Q2) reinforces RBNZ's current stance of maintaining its key policy official cash rate unchanged at 5.5%. A less hawkish RBNZ may put further downside pressure on the NZD that supports an ongoing major uptrend phase in the EUR/NZD cross pair. Watch the 1.7820 key short-term pivotal support on the EUR/NZD. The Kiwi dollar (
17-10-2023 02:00 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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USD/CHF: Dollar softens despite a surge in Treasury yields
Safe-haven flows likely to head Swiss franc and gold's way as US debt concerns and liquidity concerns grow A week filled with Fed speak will see Wall Street focus on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech on Thursday Empire Manufacturing contracted in October: -4.6 vs -6.0 eyed; Outlook for prices fell to a 3-year low Something doesn’t seem right on Wall Street.  The dollar is falling even as Treasury yields at the long-end of the curve surge as uncertainty persists on stickier inflation fears and
16-10-2023 16:05 GMT by Edward Moya
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British pound eyes UK employment release
UK releases employment data on Tuesday BoE's Bailey says rate decisions will be tight The British pound has started the week in positive territory. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2166, up 0.17%.
16-10-2023 10:33 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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NZD/USD rises on strong Services PMI
In New Zealand: New Zealand dollar rebounds after awful week Services PMI crawls into expansion territory Inflation expected to almost double in third quarter The New Zealand dollar has started the week with strong gains. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5919, up 0.55%.
16-10-2023 06:21 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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CHF/JPY further potential up move reinforced by CHF safe haven status
CHF was the top-performing currency among the USD pairs in the past five days. An uptick in geopolitical risk premium has reinforced CHF's safe haven status. CHF/JPY short-term and major uptrend phases remain intact with the next intermediate resistance coming in at 167.90/168.30. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “CHF/JPY Technical: Continuation of potential bullish impulsive up move” published on 10 October 2023. Click here for a recap. The CHF/JPY has staged the expected imp
16-10-2023 01:29 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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Global growth concerns send Commodity Currencies lower despite surge in oil and prices
Dollar remains strong on safe-haven flows spurred by the Israel-Hamas war Gold volatility surges the most since March Oil prices surge on disruption concerns The Canadian currency and Australian are both weaker against the greenback as fears of rising global market turmoil grow as the Israel-Hamas conflict escalates.  Oftentimes a surge in commodity prices provide a boost to key countries that deal with surging commodities, but that isn't happening here. Oil Crude prices are surging as the oi
13-10-2023 14:25 GMT by Edward Moya
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Mideast tensions send the Swiss franc, oil and gold sharply higher
Univ of Mich: Short- and longer-run inflation expectations surge (1-year rises to 3.8% and 5-10 year rise to 3.0%) Consumer  sentiment plunges from 68.1 to 63.0, worst slide since June 2022 Bank stocks initial rally faded It has been a very busy Friday on Wall Street. Stocks traded mostly lower as investors digested an impressive start to earnings, surging inflation expectations and rising tensions with the conflict between Israel and Hamas.
13-10-2023 14:00 GMT by Edward Moya
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Aussie stabilizes after sliding on US inflation
China inflation dips to 0.0% Australian dollar sinks after US inflation and employment data The Australian dollar is unchanged on Friday, trading at 0.6312. The Aussie was roughed up by the US dollar a day earlier and plummeted 1.56%, its largest one-day decline since August. The sharp downswing was driven by US inflation and unemployment reports on Thursday.
13-10-2023 07:49 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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USD/JPY heads closer to 150 after US inflation report
The Japanese yen is slightly lower on Friday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 149.63, down 0.12%. The US inflation report for September was unchanged at 3.7% y/y, but this was higher than the market estimate of 3.6% y/y and the market reaction sent the US dollar higher against all the major currencies.
13-10-2023 06:50 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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New Zealand dollar extends losses after plunge
US headline CPI higher than expected US jobless claims remain low New Zealand Manufacturing Index declines The New Zealand dollar is lower on Friday after a massive plunge a day earlier. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5911, down 0.25%. The US inflation report was stronger than expected, and the US dollar responded with sharp gains against the major currencies.
13-10-2023 05:36 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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USD/JPY: Surging Treasury yields bring back the pressure onto Japanese officials
Dollar holds onto gains as projected rate hike bets hold firm Treasury 30-year auction sees soft demand as concerns grow over rising deficits Yen's October rally nearly completely erased as US growth exceptionalism remains in place The BOJ must be frustrated that the yen's rally at the start of the month has quickly evaporated.  Pressure is growing for the Japanese officials to act otherwise, the yen could see another significant devaluation.  Last night, Bank of Japan board member Noguchi note
12-10-2023 14:24 GMT by Edward Moya
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EUR/USD: Hot US CPI and Claims data send Treasury yields and the dollar higher
Treasury curve rises across the board; 2-year rises 9.7bps to 5.079%,  5-year higher by 10.3bps to 4.680%, the 10-year increases by 10.3bps 4.662%, and the 30-year jumped 10.5bps to 4.799% Sticky inflation and steady claims send USD higher against all its major trading partners; yen only 20+ pips away from 150 Fed fund futures are not ready to abandon the possibility of one more interest rate hike The dollar is rallying as US stocks are lower after hot inflation and claims data kept the risk of
12-10-2023 11:43 GMT by Edward Moya
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Australian dollar drifting ahead of US inflation report
US CPI expected to ease US PPI surprised to the upside The Australian dollar is showing limited movement on Thursday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6410 in the European session, down 0.05%. All eyes are on US consumer inflation, which will be released later today.
12-10-2023 06:49 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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AUD/JPY Technical – Recent two weeks of rebound at risk of bearish reversal
+297 pips of rebound seen in AUD/JPY from 3 October 2023 low of 93.06 has reached a key short-term resistance zone of 95.70/96.00. The up move from 10 October to 12 October 2023 has been accompanied by a weakening of upside momentum as indicated by the hourly RSI. Watch the near-term support at 95.30 (20-day moving average) as a potential downside trigger level. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “Bearish reaction from key long-term range resistance in place since Oct 2007” publi
12-10-2023 06:36 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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British pound shrugs as UK economy rebounds
UK GDP bounces back with 0.2% gain FOMC minutes: Restrictive policy to continue until inflation falls to target The British pound continues to have a quiet week. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2302, down 0.08%. UK's GDP rises 0.2% The UK economy grew by 0.2% in August, rebounding from a revised 0.6% decline in July.
12-10-2023 05:20 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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Dollar mostly unfazed post FOMC Minutes
Minutes: Fed sees 'restrictive' policy staying in place until inflation eases 10-year Treasury yield resumes slide post minutes, down 5.4bps to 4.599% Inflation expected to moderate given energy price trends in September; while core proves to be sticky These Fed Minutes seem to be particularly old given everything we've seen with rates, a new war, and a gloomier outlook for the economy.  The Minutes noted that policy should remain restrictive for some time until the Committee is confident that
11-10-2023 14:45 GMT by Edward Moya
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