Cryptos: All News & Analysis

We're seeing plenty of apprehension ahead of the US inflation report on Wednesday, with Asia in the red and Europe following suit. It's impossible to get away from the fact that the inflation report has held the markets back this week. There's clearly a desperate desire to be more optimistic about the outlook; that's evident from the scale of the recovery already seen in equity markets despite there being seemingly little to celebrate. But the jobs report on Friday following on from the Fed comm

10-08-2022 04:51 GMT by Craig Erlam

Tech stocks lower after Micron's warning, NFIB all about inflation, Housing Market cools, Oil pops,Bitcoin stuck in range

US stocks edged lower after a round of economic data reminded Wall Street that stagflation is here. Stocks won’t be able to do much as summer trading volumes are here and ahead of a pivotal inflation report. Tech stocks continue to weaken after another semiconductor maker delivered a revenue warning.

09-08-2022 15:04 GMT by Edward Moya

Lacking direction

Equity markets are lacking any real direction in Asia and that appears to be carrying into the European session as well. Europe is seeing minor losses on the open, offsetting some of the small gains in choppy trade at the start of the week. This follows a similarly choppy session in the US on Monday as the Dow flirted with exiting correction territory and the Nasdaq bear market territory. We may have reached a point in which investors need to decide whether they truly buy into the recovery/no re

09-08-2022 04:50 GMT by Craig Erlam

US Close - Stock rally faded, Nvidia's warning, Oil rebounds, Gold above $1800, and Bitcoin eyes breakout

With persistent inflation and a strong labor market, the Fed is on a clear path to raise rates. This week is all about inflation and many traders are expecting to see the inflation to decelerate.

08-08-2022 16:23 GMT by Edward Moya

Cautious post-jobs report

A relatively slow start to the week as investors continue to digest Friday's jobs report and what it means for financial markets just as some optimism was returning. The report itself was strong almost across the board, with participation being the only outlier, but Fed officials will not have been quite so enthused which makes it a tough one for investors to get too excited about. On the one hand, it strengthens the argument that the economy is not really experiencing a recession as the labour

08-08-2022 04:36 GMT by Craig Erlam

NFP React: What economic slowdown? Jobs Shocker supports Fed 75bp argument for September, Stocks drop, Oil pares weekly losses, Gold rally ends, Bitcoin equity correlation ends

The July nonfarm payroll report delivered a juicy plot twist in the Wall Street’s Fed pivot playbook. Stubbornly high inflation and a global economic slowdown was expected to drag down the US economy, but after today’s jobs report that does not seem to be the case. Fed officials were already pushing back on the idea of a Fed pivot and now it seems they will be debating whether they need to be even more aggressive to tackle inflation given how strong the labor market is performing. US stocks pl

05-08-2022 12:50 GMT by Edward Moya

The Goldilocks report

There's no such thing as a quiet week in the markets these days and this week has undoubtedly been no different. The jobs report was always expected to be the highlight but the Bank of England gave it a good run for its money on Thursday, hiking by the most in 27 years while putting out some pretty dire economic forecasts. It would appear we have very little to look forward to for the next couple of years here in the UK. While I believe other central banks are slowly gravitating toward the econo

05-08-2022 07:01 GMT by Craig Erlam

Stocks trade mix, BOE fearful of long recession, continuing claims rise, bitcoin stuck

Stocks continue to ignore the deepest yield curve inversion since the early 2000s. The S&P 500 index has rebounded over 13% from the June lows as many on Wall Street anticipate that the Fed will stop quantitative tightening next year and begin cutting interest rates. If the next couple of inflation and nonfarm payroll reports support the Fed pivot argument, we might stop hearing these bear market calls. Equities might struggle to keep the rally going as investors continue to see economic

04-08-2022 11:06 GMT by Edward Moya

BoE decision eyed as Fed cools reversal speculation

We're seeing a little more positivity in the markets after another lively week and there's still plenty to come as we get closer to the weekend. Fed officials have been out in force again; this time with a focus on market expectations of a swift reversal from rate hikes to cuts early next year. Both Mary Daly and Neel Kashkari were very clear that it's unreasonable to expect such a policy u-turn given the inflation environment, with Kashkari even saying he's not sure what markets are looking at

04-08-2022 05:39 GMT by Craig Erlam

Stocks bolstered by earnings and data, ISM impresses, Meme stock mania on steroids, Bitcoin nears top of range

US stocks rallied after a steady dose of impressive earnings and economic data. The economy doesn't look bad at all after strong earnings from Moderna, Gilead Science, CVS, Electronic Arts, Starbucks, and SoFi. The economic data broadly came in higher than expected as the service part of the economy seems to be stabilizing and price pressures are improving.

03-08-2022 14:02 GMT by Edward Moya

Bouncing back despite Fed warnings

Stock markets are a little higher after turning lower on Tuesday amid nerves over Nancy Pelosi's Taiwan visit. This week was already shaping up to be another rollercoaster ride and Pelosi's trip just added another layer of event risk for the markets. There will be hope following the initial response from Beijing that any escalation won't be too severe, although relations between the world's largest economies are clearly hugely strained and deteriorating. Compounding the moves in the markets yest

03-08-2022 09:44 GMT by Craig Erlam

US Close - Rollercoaster stock market after Pelosi arrives in Taiwan, Fed nowhere near done hiking, JOLTS miss, Oil rises, Gold lower on strong dollar, Bitcoin steadies

US stocks went on a rollercoaster ride as traders grew nervous over China’s retaliation over House Speaker Pelosi’s trip to Taiwan, a reminder from Fed’s Daly that their interest rate hiking cycle is nowhere near done, and further signs the labor market is cooling but still remains tight enough for the Fed to deliver a couple more rate hikes. China’s response to Pelosi’s trip to Taiwan could have an impact on supply chains and demand, which could keep the inflationary pressures going strong.

02-08-2022 17:14 GMT by Edward Moya

Nerves amid China warnings

We're seeing more risk aversion on Tuesday as Nancy Pelosi's trip to Taiwan generates numerous unsettling headlines at a time of strained ties between the US and China. US House Speaker Pelosi's proposed visit has been met with numerous threats from Beijing including an unspecified military response. They have continued this morning, hours ahead of the apparent arrival which is clearly making investors very nervous. Stock markets throughout most of Asia are in the red, with those in China, Hong

02-08-2022 04:50 GMT by Craig Erlam

A mixed start to the week

A mixed start to the week in Asia where Chinese PMIs dampened the mood as the reopening boost to activity quickly faded. The country was already facing an uphill challenge, to put it mildly, with regards to its growth target this year and the fact that manufacturing activity is slowing again doesn't bode well. While the non-manufacturing survey is much healthier, it also experienced a deceleration last month which further suggests the economy is struggling to get back to full strength. One posit

01-08-2022 04:00 GMT by Craig Erlam

US Close: Earnings and pivot hopium boost stocks, US data impresses, Oil rallies, Gold shines, Bitcoin nears $24k

Stocks rallied after robust mega-cap tech earnings, hopium that the Fed will pivot soon, and economic data that suggests the consumer is doing just fine. Apple Investors embraced Apple’s slight earnings beat with both the top and bottom line. The standout miss was Mac revenue which was the first decline of the pandemic, which was due to supply constraints and FX headwinds. The iPhone and services numbers were solid and will lead many to believe the consumer is still fine. The numbers out

29-07-2022 14:54 GMT by Edward Moya

Summer surge

Equity markets are ending another winning week in positive territory following a bumper few days of earnings, data and of course, the Fed. This week has delivered another 75 basis point rate hike, earnings and revenue misses for some of the biggest tech names and an unexpected recession that isn't a real recession in the world's largest economy. And yet, the way equity markets have responded, the week couldn't have gone much better.

29-07-2022 08:12 GMT by Craig Erlam

US economy contracts again, stagflation is here, stocks embrace idea of potentially less aggressive Fed, oil volatile, gold shines, bitcoin rallies

US GDP declines in Q2 The US economy is weakening much faster than anyone expected. The first look at the second quarter showed another negative reading, which was a surprise for most on Wall Street.

28-07-2022 15:13 GMT by Edward Moya

A debatable recession

It's been quite the 24 hours in financial markets, one I feel many will be trying to work out for many weeks to come. The Fed on Wednesday raised rates by 75 basis points, as expected, before leaving as many doors open as possible for September. Chair Powell and his colleagues went for a cocktail of hawkish data dependency with a dovish twist.

28-07-2022 11:33 GMT by Craig Erlam

Powell sparks buy everything rally

You had the feeling that Wall Street, with perpetually itchy buy-button trigger fingers, was primed for this FOMC. As expected, the FOMC raised the Fed Funds target by 0.75%, to a target range of 2.25%-2.50%.

28-07-2022 04:24 GMT by Jeffrey Halley

Fed React: Inflation commitment remains/ likely appropriate to slow increases, Stocks rally, Oil higher post EIA data/Fed/Iran nuclear deal stalemate, Gold shines, Bitcoin enjoys risk rally

US stocks extended gains after the Fed signaled that it will likely be appropriate to slow rate increases at some point. Now that traders see light at the end of the Fed tightening tunnel, the Nasdaq is starting to look like the cleanest dirty shirt in what looks like a 2023 recession bound economy.

27-07-2022 15:08 GMT by Edward Moya

Cryptos: all news & analysis