Crude Oil eases its overnight rally but what's next? – WTI Technical analysis

Oil_Production
Elior Manier - Picture
By  Elior Manier

15 May 2026 at 14:04 UTC

Referenced assets

  • WTI Oil kept rising throughout the week with a continuous status quo in the Middle East.
  • While the Trump-Xi meeting is ongoing, the US-Iran situation is frozen, hence traders are preparing for the next phase of the trade
  • Exploring an in-depth Technical Analysis of Crude Oil

WTI Crude Oil prices have been climbing this week as tensions in the Middle East show no signs of change.

Even though President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are meeting, the US-Iran situation remains unresolved and as a result, traders are getting impatient for the next phase in the Energy Commodity Market.

wti 1505
Peace Deal odds for June 30 – Source: Polymarket. May 15, 2026.

There are some positive signs for global stability as President Trump and President Xi Jinping seem to somewhat agree on common objective for a peace process.

President Trump says both the US and China believe Iran should not have a nuclear weapon, and that reopening the Strait of Hormuz is very important for China. Beijing agrees, saying there is no real reason for the conflict to continue.

These talks could have a big impact on Asian countries that rely on Gulf energy, and the results of this summit could change global markets in a major way.

Even with some hope from diplomacy, today’s market tells a different story.

The US Dollar is rising quickly, which is pushing down commodity prices and lowering global risk assets.

Crude Oil is also feeling this pressure and has dropped during the early Friday morning – But traders want to look forward and will have to consider what the status quo means for the Commodity.

Since supply problems in the Strait of Hormuz are not fixed and global inventories are low, oil prices are for now remaining underpinned ahead of the weekend.

Now, let's take a closer look at the technical analysis for WTI Crude to see if prices can remain above $100 for long.

US Oil Intraday Timeframe Analysis

WTI 4H Chart and Technical Levels

wti 0705
WTI Oil 4H Chart – May 15, 2026. Source: TradingView

WTI led a strong move to the upside to test its $106 resistance (CFD) to retest early May levels.

The US Session brought with it some calm but the immediate action remains quite mixed, with the RSI stable in the bullish region – To learn more, we will have to look closer

WTI Technical Levels:

Resistance Levels

  • $106 to $108 June 2022 Resistance
  • $110 mini-resistance
  • 2022 and Monday highs $117 to $120 (larger channel top)

Support Levels

  • $98 to $100 Pivot
  • Momentum Support $93 - $95
  • $90 Psychological level and past session's lows
  • $87 to $90 mini-Support
  • $82 Friday 17 lows
  • 2025 Highs Key Support $78 to $80

1H Chart and action levels

wti 1h 1505
WTI Oil 1H Chart – May 15, 2026. Source: TradingView

Crude is still following a short-term upward trendline within a bull channel, giving the upper hand to the bulls for immediate action.

  • Continuation traders will want to see a continued rebound from here to extend back towards the top of the channel at 107.60 (CFD Prices)
  • Bears will want to see a break below the previous bear channel (103.40) with confirmation on a 1H candle close below the 50-Hour MA (102.66)

Safe Trades and Keep your eyes on the news!

Follow Elior on Twitter/X for additional Market News, Insights and Interactions @EliorManier

Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only.
If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use.
Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets.
© 2026 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.