Commodities: all news & analysis

Explore our extensive commodities news, which unveils critical insights into price movements, trends, and expert forecasts in the raw materials market. By examining price actions and understanding the factors influencing commodity values, understand current market dynamics. This page is designed to boost your research on historical trends, identify seasonal patterns, and sharpen your trading strategies across sectors such as energy, metals, and agriculture. Equip yourself with the knowledge necessary to enhance your understanding of the commodities landscape and elevate your trading decisions.

Oil in choppy waters, gold under pressure

Choppy trade ahead? Oil prices remain very choppy with gains today largely offsetting losses at the start of the week. We may have to wait for more hard-hitting economic data next week before we see the upper or lower ranges tested as the uncertainty appears to be preventing a serious move in either direction. Should the January data prove to be a blip, it could put pressure on the upper end of the range as longer-term economic prospects improve, while another month of hot data could necessitate

28-02-2023 03:54 GMT by Craig Erlam

Bouncing back

Equity markets ended last week on a negative note but they're bouncing back once more in trade on Monday. Interest rate fears are front and centre, following a terrible month of data from the US in January, as far as the Fed is concerned at least. That was further compounded on Friday by the PCE, income, and spending data which didn't come as a major surprise given what preceded it but it didn't offer any relief either. Thankfully, January is likely to be an anomaly month driven by unseasonably

27-02-2023 11:20 GMT by Craig Erlam

WTI Crude - Consolidates amid growth uncertainty

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam discusses the consolidation in crude oil and what is driving it.

24-02-2023 12:10 GMT by Craig Erlam

US Open: The Fed’s Inflation Problem, Rate hikes now priced in for next 3 meetings, Hawkish Fed speak, Oil and Gold crushed as dollar soars on rising rate hike bets, Crypto weakens

US stocks are selling off after the Fed’s preferred inflation reading comes in scorching hot, prompting bets that they will hike rates over the next three meetings. Some traders are also worried that they may need to take rates well above 6.00%. This morning is not just about PCE inflation, but also the consumer.

24-02-2023 10:38 GMT by Edward Moya

Reality kicking in

It's been a strange week in financial markets, one in which we've learned relatively little but reality appears to be slowly catching up on some. I say that as someone that doesn't think things will be as bad as they currently seem on interest rates and the economy but equally is of the belief that markets should at least reflect the risk of it being so. We are seeing that in some corners of the market but equity markets - and cryptos for that matter - have been reluctant to be discouraged. They

24-02-2023 08:48 GMT by Craig Erlam

Mid-Market Update: Strong start fizzled out on Fed worries, Nvidia impresses, Claims suggest labor market is not ready to loosen, Crude rallies post EIA report, Gold weakens, Bitcoin wavers

US stocks initially rallied as traders become confident the Fed’s rate hiking campaign will be over after two or three more rate hikes. Stocks were also getting a boost after Nvidia delivered a robust outlook.

23-02-2023 13:37 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil consolidating, gold drops after FOMC

Glacial consolidation Oil markets are continuing to consolidate, albeit at a glacial pace, and today we're seeing prices creep higher just as they near the lows from earlier this month. While traders remain optimistic about China, they have become less so about the global economy as more and more rate hikes have been priced in. If one of those narratives changes, or we see a significant shift in another driving force in the oil markets - Russia, OPEC+, etc - then we could see prices break out of

23-02-2023 04:31 GMT by Craig Erlam

US Open: Bullard’s projections suggest Fed’s work is almost done, China-Russia ties, RBNZ hikes, Oil remains heavy, Gold edges higher, Bitcoin softens ahead of Fed Minutes

US stock turned positive after Fed’s Bullard stated that markets might be over-pricing US recession risk. Bullard said his projections for rates are to reach 5.375%, which implies 75 bps more in rate increases. Bullard is one of the more hawkish members, so if he thinks we only have a little ways to go here, the peak in rates might be properly priced in. The disagreement between the Fed and markets on how high rates to go might be over and that could provide a tentative boost for stocks.

22-02-2023 10:26 GMT by Edward Moya

US Open: A busy Tuesday, Putin vows to continue War, Weak outlooks from retailers, Walmart, Home Depot, Oil struggles, Gold lower ahead of Fed, Bitcoin resilience

US stocks are declining after retail earnings suggest margin worries are here and it will only get worse as the Fed is likely to deliver more tightening into early summer. Treasury yields are surging here as a tight labor market will force the Fed to do more tightening. Retailer earnings are suggesting it is going to be a tough year ahead and that should keep the pressure on stocks. Geopolitics Russia’s Vladimir Putin’s State of the Union speech suspended participation in a key nuclear arms p

21-02-2023 07:48 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil in choppy waters, gold edges lower

Choppy trading continues Oil remains choppy this week with Brent and WTI slipping around 1% in early trade on Tuesday, wiping out similar gains at the start of the week. There is undoubtedly more optimism around the Chinese economy which will stimulate more demand this year but at the same time, sentiment is cooling on the global economy as interest rates are projected to go a little higher than previously anticipated. This was always likely to be a quarter of big swings in sentiment as it was t

21-02-2023 03:40 GMT by Craig Erlam

Oil remains choppy, gold under pressure

Choppy trade continues Oil prices are bouncing back a little after slipping throughout the last week from their recent highs. The optimism around China today may be responsible for the gains we're seeing in crude which would make a lot of sense given it's the world's largest importer and expected to recover strongly from the Covid transition. But as we've seen over the last few months, there's more to this story than just China and the decline over the last week was likely a reflection of more p

20-02-2023 08:25 GMT by Craig Erlam

US Close: Stocks punished on rate fears, Fed speak, Dollar higher, Gold finds support, Crypto lower

Wall Street appears to be closing out the week on a down note as investors become rattled over the prospect of more tightening by the Fed. It isn’t just Fed expectations that are rising, traders are also expecting the ECB to send rates much higher.

17-02-2023 16:17 GMT by Edward Moya

Market Insights Podcast (Episode 433)

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discussed the return of the bond bears following a wave of hawkish Fed speak, oil's weekly loss, crypto markets, and the week ahead.

17-02-2023 16:13 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil slides, gold under pressure

Oil slides but remains in range We’re continuing to see oil prices fluctuate, although recent choppiness has occurred largely near the upper end of their range since early December. Brent and WTI are on the decline on Friday, matching up with overall risk appetite in the markets but broadly speaking, little has changed. One major upside risk to prices remains China and its recovery from the transition to living with Covid.

17-02-2023 08:24 GMT by Craig Erlam

US Close: Stocks lower post hot PPI report and hawkish Fed speak, Fed's Mester saw case for 50 bp rise, Oil edges higher, Gold rebounds after six-week low, Bitcoin rises

A hot PPI report and unexpected initial jobless claims decline sent stocks lower as investors started to price in more Fed tightening. This week was a rude awakening for the disinflation process.

16-02-2023 14:28 GMT by Edward Moya

Sustained belief

Equity markets are poised to open in the green once more on Thursday, continuing what has been a rather strange week of trade so far. We've seemingly gone from euphoria at the start of the year on the back of some really encouraging economic data to turning a blind eye to it when it suits. It's all really quite odd, especially when other corners of the market are behaving in a more orthodox manner, which begs the question, what do equity (and crypto) traders know that the rest of us do not? In t

16-02-2023 03:54 GMT by Craig Erlam

Mid-Market Update: US stocks drop after impressive retail sales data supports the Fed’s hawkish case for more hikes, January shopping spree, Empire improves, Massive stockpile build sinks oil, Gold weakens, Crypto wavers

US stocks softened after an upside surprise with retail sales supports the idea that the Fed can remain very aggressive with fighting inflation. The US economy is looking like it will have a solid first quarter and recession doubts are getting some vindication here.

15-02-2023 11:03 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil range-trading, gold slips lower

Large inventory build weighs Oil prices are a little lower again today but remain broadly within the same range they've traded in over the last couple of months. China has been a very bullish development for crude oil but the global economy as a whole is much more uncertain.

15-02-2023 04:21 GMT by Craig Erlam

Mid-Market Update: Disinflation Danger, Wild market swings post Inflation report, Oil lower as SPR to get tapped again, Gold softer, Modest rise for Bitcoin

US stocks went on an inflation rollercoaster after a mostly in-line report saw extreme volatility. The knee-jerk reaction to the January CPI figures was dollar strength as yields surged following the slight deceleration with pricing pressures from a year ago. Big declines with used cars and airfares were countered with strong increases with apparel and medical care. The Fed won’t be changing their message, which means Wall Street is still confident that we could see just two more quarter-point

14-02-2023 12:04 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil loses ground, gold eyes inflation

Paring gains Oil prices are falling again on Tuesday after initially recouping losses at the start of the week. While traders remain very optimistic about China and to a lesser extent, the resilience of the global economy this year, the fact remains that it won't be a smooth process, and that has already been evident in the economic data in the opening weeks of 2023. It will be interesting to see how oil prices respond to today's US inflation data as interest rates are now at a point where every

14-02-2023 07:38 GMT by Craig Erlam

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