Commodities: all news & analysis

Explore our extensive commodities news, which unveils critical insights into price movements, trends, and expert forecasts in the raw materials market. By examining price actions and understanding the factors influencing commodity values, understand current market dynamics. This page is designed to boost your research on historical trends, identify seasonal patterns, and sharpen your trading strategies across sectors such as energy, metals, and agriculture. Equip yourself with the knowledge necessary to enhance your understanding of the commodities landscape and elevate your trading decisions.

US Close: Regional Banks crushed, Chaotic Stock session as Fed Regulators intervened, Oil pummeled, Gold surges, Bitcoin posts best rally since FTX turmoil

US stocks had a chaotic day as bank stocks crumbled and interest rate sensitive sectors rallied as Treasury yields tumbled. Over the weekend, Federal regulators rushed in to squash a growing liquidity crisis.

13-03-2023 15:04 GMT by Edward Moya

US Close: A cooling wage/hot payroll report, Banking System Fears, Rate Hike bets slashed, SVB fails, Oil rebounds, Gold shines bright, Crypto breaks below $20k

US stocks settled lower in a volatile session as traders digested a cooling wage/ robust job growth report and SVB contagion risks. This was supposed to be an easy Friday with one massive jobs report, but SVB, a large bank with exposure across a range of sectors failed and triggered distress for several other smaller banks. At the end of the day, traders are seeing this cooling/hot payroll report as confirmation that Fed policy is restrictive and that the their tightening work is almost done.

10-03-2023 13:44 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil in choppy waters, gold awaits nonfarm payrolls

Choppy trading remains in oil Oil has pared earlier losses but remains lower on the day as we near the end of the trading week. We've basically just experienced last week but in reverse, in keeping with how oil markets have traded since early December. Choppy but ultimately range-bound action has been evident throughout that period and while traders will have an eye on the range lows - which have been gradually rising - there's currently little to suggest we're about to see a major breakout in e

10-03-2023 07:09 GMT by Craig Erlam

US Open: Stocks turn positive after Jobless Claims rise, Biden’s Budget DOA, Yen strength, Oil rebounds, Gold stabilizes, Crypto pain post Silvergate liquidation

US stocks erased losses after some softening labor data helped cool down this week’s surging Fed rate hike bets. Wall Street is hoping we are about to see a quicker cooling of the labor market, but we probably won't see major positioning until after Friday's NFP report. Fed Chair Powell seems to have signaled they will accelerate the tightening pace to a half-point rate rise if we get both a hot NFP and inflation reports.

09-03-2023 09:26 GMT by Edward Moya

Cautious ahead of jobs report

It would appear investors are taking a cautious stance ahead of tomorrow's jobs report, a little spooked by Powell's comments in Congress and fearful of being caught on the wrong side of another hot jobs report. That's clearly the danger at this point, that we get another hot report that confirms January was no blip and instead indicative of a labour market that not only isn't cooling but perhaps getting hotter. The trend pre-January across many indicators pointed to a cooling in the economy and

09-03-2023 08:17 GMT by Craig Erlam

Mid-Market Update: Powell Part Deux, Labor Market still looks hot after ADP & JOLTS, Stocks struggle, Oil remains heavy, Gold wavers, Bitcoin softens

US stocks struggled to find direction after another round of labor data suggests this market will remain tight and on Fed Chair Powell’s second day of testimony on Capitol Hill. Powell did not deliver any surprises, repeating that the Fed may need to speed up the pace of its interest rate increases if necessary.

08-03-2023 13:43 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil returns to range, gold crushed by hawkish Powell

Back into range Just as oil prices appeared to be gathering some momentum, Powell put an abrupt end to hopes of a breakout on Tuesday and sent them back to the middle of their recent range. Optimism over the Chinese recovery is one thing but if large parts of the global economy are going to stall or go into recession, oil prices are going to struggle to surge higher.

08-03-2023 08:32 GMT by Craig Erlam

US Close: King Dollar returns, Hawkish Powell sinks risk appetite, Oil and gold punished, Bitcoin nears lower boundaries

Fed Chair Powell killed risk appetite with a hawkish first day on Capitol Hill. Powell said that the Fed will likely need to raise interest rates more than expected due to the recent strong data and is prepared to move in larger steps if the "totality" of incoming information suggests more needs to be done to bring down inflation. US stocks did not stand a chance after Fed Chair Powell convinced markets that policymakers are comfortable taking this rate hiking campaign much higher.

07-03-2023 15:28 GMT by Edward Moya

US Open: Stocks waver ahead of Powell, Biden eyes higher taxes, RBA almost done hiking, EUR supported on rising ECB bets, Oil and gold await Fed, Bitcoin softens

US stocks are slightly higher ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s Congressional testimony. Everyone is expecting Fed Chair Powell to deliver his best hits of ‘we have more work to do’ and ‘higher for longer’. Powell might not commit how much higher rates will go, but he will keep the door open for the Fed’s dot plots to move higher. Lawmakers will argue that we don’t need to see a recession to bring inflation back to target. Powell will likely signal that Americans could see economic pain later this

07-03-2023 07:46 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil pushing higher, gold awaits Powell

Pushing the highs Oil prices rebounded again on Monday, the second day in a row that they've reversed sizeable early losses to end the day in positive territory. They're now on a good run and traders were clearly not deterred by China's modest growth target for long.

07-03-2023 03:39 GMT by Craig Erlam

US Close: Stocks higher on hopes the Fed is almost done, Oil higher, Gold awaits Powell, Crypto little changed

US stocks rallied as optimism grew for the end of the Fed’s rate hiking campaign. It looks like traders are now between two or three more quarter-point rate rises and that is good news for risky assets. This is likely the most important week of the year as we will find out the short-term trajectory for both the world’s two largest economies.

06-03-2023 13:46 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil dips on China, gold eyes Powell

Oil slips on modest Chinese growth target It's not been a great day for commodities as a whole and that includes oil, which is down a little over 1% on the day. One big upside risk for oil prices this year was a strong, stimulus-driven, rebound in China and it would appear that isn't going to happen.

06-03-2023 09:24 GMT by Craig Erlam

Gold - A big week ahead

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam talks about how gold is trading ahead of a big week for the US.

03-03-2023 19:26 GMT by Craig Erlam

March monthly preview

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam highlights five things that he believes investors will be closely tracking over the next month.

03-03-2023 19:09 GMT by Craig Erlam

Market Insights Podcast (Episode 439)

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discussed the market reaction after the US ISM Service Index and the latest round of Fed speak, oil volatility after the UAE refutes speculation about considering leaving OPEC, cryptos, and the week ahead.

03-03-2023 15:00 GMT by Edward Moya

US Close: Stocks rally on peak hopes, UAE OPEC drama sends prices on a rollercoaster ride, Gold shines, Crypto struggles on Silvergate woes

US stocks rallied after another impressive ISM services index suggests that part of the economy remains healthy and as Treasuries rally after the Fed’s monetary policy report said “high inflation is not becoming entrenched.” Wall Street has had a lot of Fed speak to digest over the past week, but it seems clear that traders believe we are very close to the peak despite all these signs of a resilient economy.

03-03-2023 14:07 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil range trading, gold rebounds

Back in the middle of the range A decent week for oil prices comes to an end slightly in the red, perhaps a sign of some profit-taking kicking in. Prices have fluctuated in a range for months now and the current price sits more-or-less in the middle of that range.

03-03-2023 08:44 GMT by Craig Erlam

Stocks slide after labor market data reignites bond market selloff, Jobless claims don't want to rise, Oil choppy but higher on China, Gold struggles, Bitcoin anchored

US stocks are under pressure after another round of economic data suggest central bank tightening by both the Fed and ECB might have to be more aggressive. The bond market selloff returned after EU core price inflation hit fresh record highs and US jobless claims edged lower and as labor costs surged. The 10-year Treasury yield is surging, up 6.7bps to 4.058%, while the 30-year rose above 4.00% for the first time since November. The 2-year Treasury yield is 4.4 bps higher to 4.923% and seems

02-03-2023 09:55 GMT by Edward Moya

Mid-Market: Prepare for March Mayhem, ISM data sends 10-year tentatively to 4%, Stocks tumble as Fed signal higher rates, China's robust PMIs, Hot German inflation, AUD GDP, Oil volatile post US data and EIA report, Gold pares gains as yields surge

US stocks are falling after the ISM manufacturing report posted a modest rise that still remains in contraction territory, but prices paid came in hotter, which signals rising costs are coming. The argument for more rate hikes is elevated as material costs appear poised to rise and as the Fed has yet to see a true demand slowdown.

01-03-2023 14:31 GMT by Edward Moya

China PMIs boost oil, gold creeps higher

PMIs a big positive for oil It's not just equities that have been lifted by Chinese PMIs, oil is also rallying today on the prospect of a stronger Chinese recovery and resilient global demand. While this was just one survey, the breakdown of the surveys was undoubtedly encouraging and that's lifting Brent and WTI in early trade. All we need to see now are signs of cooling price pressures and perhaps less heat in the labour market in order for crude to potentially break higher.

01-03-2023 03:59 GMT by Craig Erlam

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