Commodities: all news & analysis

Explore our extensive commodities news, which unveils critical insights into price movements, trends, and expert forecasts in the raw materials market. By examining price actions and understanding the factors influencing commodity values, understand current market dynamics. This page is designed to boost your research on historical trends, identify seasonal patterns, and sharpen your trading strategies across sectors such as energy, metals, and agriculture. Equip yourself with the knowledge necessary to enhance your understanding of the commodities landscape and elevate your trading decisions.

WTI Oil Technical: Medium-term downside momentum has eased
Two key positive technical analysis elements have emerged at the US$67.55/66.35 major support zone. The current medium-term downtrend phase from September 2023 may have reached a terminal point for a potential bullish reversal. China’s rosy retail sales and industrial production for November managed to offset downbeat housing data that provided a short-term tailwind for oil prices. The medium-term downtrend phase of West Texas Oil (a proxy of WTI crude oil futures) in place since the 28 Septemb
by Kelvin Wong
Gold Technical: Extension of corrective decline ahead of FOMC
Lofty dovish expectations of 4 Fed funds rate cut in 2024 are at risk of being dialed back. Short-term bullish momentum has resurfaced in the US 10-year Treasury real yield. Spot Gold (XAU/USD) may continue its short-term corrective decline sequence. Watch the key short-term resistance at US$2,040 on Spot Gold (XAU/USD). This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “Gold Technical: Medium-term uptrend remains intact but risk of minor pull-back” published on 4 December 2023. Click here for
by Kelvin Wong
Gold - Testing $2,000 after a surprisingly strong jobs report
NFP in November 199,000 (184,000 expected, 150,000 in October) Average hourly earnings in November 0.4% (m/m) (0.3% expected, 0.2% in October) Gold testing $2,000 support There's been a lot of talk this week about whether investors have become too optimistic about interest rate cuts next year and today's jobs report may have brought some crashing back down to earth. Don't get me wrong, it's not a terrible report by any stretch of the imagination. But it may well convince the Fed that it must pr
by Craig Erlam
What's Next for Gold Price - XAU/USD Technical Analysis
Talking Points: Why did gold prices decline sharply? Daily Chart Analysis 4-Hour Chart Analysis What's next for Gold Prices? Why did gold prices decline sharply? Gold Price fell significantly last week after reaching an all-time high of $2150/Oz, the price fell to $2020/Oz within a day which left many traders stunned and unable to comprehend what has happened, and the more difficult question remains unanswered, what's next for Gold Prices? Over the past few weeks/months, inflation has been
by Moheb Hanna
Gold Technical: Medium-term uptrend remains intact but risk of minor pull-back
Today’s early Asian session's swift rally to a fresh all-time high is likely to be driven by a thin liquidity trading environment rather than the Israel-Hamas geopolitical war risk premium. Spot Gold’s portfolio hedging role may gain traction as global recession risk resurfaces. Medium-term uptrend phase remains intact but may shape a minor pull-back below US$2,152 key short-term pivotal resistance with immediate supports at US$2,032/2,018. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “Gol
by Kelvin Wong
Brent Crude - Oil volatile near lows after OPEC+ "deal"
OPEC+ unofficially agree to 2.2 million barrel per day cut Full compliance with cuts already looks unlikely Brent continues to consolidate near recent lows Oil prices remain quite volatile but more importantly, not too far from their recent lows after traders judged yesterday's announcement from OPEC+ with some skepticism.
by Craig Erlam
WTI Oil Technical: Positive elements intact ex-post OPEC+
Earlier rally in WTI crude oil fizzled out ex-post OPEC+ meeting due to uncertainty over 2024 oil supply cut commitments from members. The strongest commitment came from Saudi Arabia where it will extend its its voluntary 1 million barrels per day supply through Q1 2024 while Angola has decided to go against its newly reduced supply target. Technical analysis suggests several positive elements in WTI crude oil despite the uncertainty over the demand and supply dynamics of the oil market. Watch t
by Kelvin Wong
Podcast - Inflation watch in US, Eurozone and AU. Volatile oil prices ahead of OPEC+
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong joins Jonny Hart to discuss this week's key economic data releases that centered on inflation with the Fed-preferred PCE gauge for October out on this Thursday, 30 November together with Eurozone flash CPI for November. On Wednesday, 29 November, Australia will release its monthly CPI indicator for October, where market participants are likely to keep a close watch as new RBA Governor Bullock has a more hawkish vibe than her predecessor, her recent speech
by Kelvin Wong
Brent Crude - Oil price choppy ahead of Thursday's OPEC+ meeting
OPEC+ decision made bigger by four-day delay Global economic outlook to impact the group's cuts? Brent consolidating near recent lows The OPEC+ meeting will be this week's most impactful event in oil markets. Not just because any decision could have direct consequences for price and therefore inflation but also due to the meeting already being pushed back by four days, so there's clearly some disagreement within the alliance.
by Craig Erlam
EUR/USD slips on ECB warning, PMIs next
ECB financial stability review warns of stress Fed minutes point to rates remaining restrictive The euro is in negative territory on Wednesday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0864, down 0.42%. ECB says banks showing stress The ECB released its semi-annual financial stability review earlier today and warned of stress in financial stability in the eurozone.
by Kenneth Fisher
WTI Oil Technical: Recent plunge seems to have found a floor ahead of OPEC+
The 7-week decline of -23% in WTI crude oil has started to stabilize in the last two days. The recent rebound of +8% from last Friday, 17 November low has been driven by anticipation of an extension of oil supply cuts into 2024 by OPEC+. Watch the US$75.60 key short-term support in WTI crude oil. In the past four weeks, oil prices have been hammered to the downside due to waning external global demand as the past year of tight monetary policies enacted by developed nations’ central banks (excep
by Kelvin Wong
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