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USD/CAD Targets 1.3740 Support as Canada's Trade Balance Surges
The USD/CAD pair is declining due to the anticipation of aggressive rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve, which could narrow the interest rate differential between the US and Canada Canada's better-than-expected trade surplus in June, driven by increased crude oil and gold exports, further strengthened the Canadian dollar. BoC summary of deliberations and job data releases expected to provide insights into the central bank's views and the employment situation.
by Zain Vawda
Gold (XAU/USD) Steadies After Volatile Monday; DXY Bounces Back
Gold prices rebounded above $2,400/oz after a dip to $2,364/oz, showing resilience despite a strengthening US Dollar. Gold benefits from expectations of more aggressive rate cuts and its safe-haven status. Geopolitical and economic risks in the second half of 2024, along with anticipated rate cuts, should theoretically support the gold rally, but a Middle East peace agreement could complicate the outlook.
by Zain Vawda
AUD/USD remains under pressure as RBA holds rates
The Australian dollar gained ground earlier but has reversed directions and has edged lower. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6778, down 0.24% at the time of writing. RBA maintains cash rate at 4.35% The Reserve Bank of Australia held the cash rate at 4.35% for a seventh straight time today.
by Kenneth Fisher
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Rebounds to $55k; $600 Million in Leveraged Longs Liquidated
Bitcoin prices sharply declined overnight, falling from $58,000 to below $50,000 before recovering to around $55,000. The drop in Bitcoin's value reflects a souring of market sentiment, with the Crypto Fear and Greed Index falling significantly. Over $740 million in leveraged positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours, primarily affecting traders with leveraged exposure to Bitcoin and Ether. Most Read: Markets Weekly Outlook – Rising US Job Fears, Geopolitics in the Spotlight Bitcoin prices
by Zain Vawda
AUD/USD Technical: Dropped towards 0.6360 key range support ahead of RBA
AUD/USD has been the worst performer among the major currencies in the past 4 weeks due to a double whammy slow-down growth effect from the US and China. RBA's “hawkish hold” monetary policy stance on Tuesday may offer a relief for the AUD/USD. The recent 6.6% decline in the AUD/USD has almost reached an extreme oversold condition since December 2021.
by Kelvin Wong
Global Stock Rout as Nasdaq 100 Futures Falls 6%, Safe Havens Bid
Global markets extend losses, Nikkei plummets, Nasdaq 100 enters correction territory. Selloff attributed to recession fears, profit-taking, and geopolitical tensions. Goldman Sachs raises recession odds, Australian government increases terrorism threat level. Nasdaq 100 technical analysis indicates potential for further decline or dip-buying rebound. Most Read: Markets Weekly Outlook – Rising US Job Fears, Geopolitics in the Spotlight Global markets extended their losses in Asian trading as co
by Zain Vawda
Markets Weekly Outlook - Rising US Job Fears, Geopolitics in the Spotlight
US jobs data underwhelmed, triggering the SAHM rule, signaling a likely recession. The Magnificent 7 tech companies have lost nearly $1.75 trillion in market capitalization over the past 10 days. Rate cut bets for the US face significant revisions with recessionary fears weighing on global markets. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) next week. Will the RBA deliver a dovish pivot. Read More: EUR/CHF: Medium-term global risk-off kickstarts (Part 2) Week in Review: US Unemployment Rate Triggers Reces
by Zain Vawda
EUR/CHF: Medium-term global risk-off kickstarts (Part 2)
Further weakness in the US ISM Manufacturing PMI & Employment sub-component increases the risk of a hard landing scenario. A Fed interest rate cut that is implemented late in the US economic cycle where a downturn may be already in motion sees the evaporation of the earlier outperformance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Russell 2000. EUR/CHF faces further downside pressure reinforced by a medium-term global risk-off episode. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “S&P 500: Fu
by Kelvin Wong
USD/CAD Price Forecast: USD Bulls Eye Breakout as DXY Shakes Off Post FOMC Haze
The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, but the statement acknowledges a moderating job market and slightly elevated inflation, opening the door for a potential September rate cut. The US Dollar initially weakened after the FOMC meeting but has since rebounded, supported by the 104.00 level. USD/CAD faced resistance at 1.3850 and could potentially break higher if the US Dollar Index continues to strengthen. Will jobs data be the catalyst? Most Read: Trump Courts Crypto Fans Amid Bitc
by Zain Vawda
FOMC Rate Decision - Potential Impact on EUR/USD, GBP/USD and the Dollar Index
The market anticipates a shift in the Fed's stance, with three rate cuts now expected in 2024 due to softening economic data. A soft landing remains possible as the labor market cools and inflation shows signs of easing. Technical analysis suggests GBP/USD is consolidating, EUR/USD maintains a bullish structure, and the Dollar Index (DXY) is at risk of a sharp decline. Most Read: Gold, Crude Oil Prices Soar on Rising Middle East Tensions, FOMC Next FOMC Preview: September Cut Most Likely Marke
by Zain Vawda
Gold, Crude Oil Prices Soar on Rising Middle East Tensions, FOMC Next
Gold and oil prices have surged due to rising tensions in the Middle East. Gold with a trendline break as bulls eye $2480/oz, FOMC meeting next. Brent crude oil found support around the 78.00 handle and is currently trading at 80.82 a barrel, with potential for further upside due to geopolitical risks.
by Zain Vawda
USD/JPY Technical: JPY strength halted right at the 151.70 support as BoJ hiked interest rate. What’s next for the JPY?
BoJ hiked its overnight interest rate to 0.25% and announced its “Quantitative Tightening” plan, without much major surprises. USD/JPY sold off but still hovering above its 151.70 key short-term support. Cannot rule out the possibility of another minor mean reversion rebound in USD/JPY before a bearish impulsive down move sequence unfolds with next medium-term support supports coming in at 149.50 and 146.20/144.60. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “USD/JPY Technical: Potent
by Kelvin Wong
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