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Euro extends losses on Ukraine crisis
The euro has started the week in negative territory, after sharp losses on Friday. EUR/USD is struggling to remain above the 1.13 level. Last ditch efforts to avert war The crisis on the Ukraine/Russia border has reached a fever pitch, with the US saying it expects an invasion as early as Wednesday.
by Kenneth Fisher
Yen extends gains on Ukraine tensions
The yen has started the trading week with gains, with USD/JPY trading just above the 115 line in the European session. Yen rises on Ukraine worries The crisis on the Ukraine/Russia border continues to dictate movement in the global financial markets. Hopes that the situation might be solved diplomatically deteriorated after the US said it expected an invasion on Wednesday and ordered military and diplomatic personnel to evacuate Ukraine.
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 293)
Jonny Hart looks back on the week's business and markets news with OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya in New York.  This week they discuss the latest inflation report, oil price volatility (recorded before Friday's reports that US expects Russia to invade Ukraine), and Bitcoin.  They also discuss what the week ahead has in store for financial markets.
by Edward Moya
GBP/USD - Can it break 1.37?
A major barrier of resistance The next week could be really interesting for cable, with the Fed and BoE being among the two most aggressive central banks and inflation in both countries continuing to rise rapidly. The pair ran into resistance last month around 1.37, where the 200/233-day SMA band crossed the 50 fib level to provide a considerable barrier of resistance. It's been on the rise again over the last couple of weeks but the past five days has seen more volatility than direction. B
by Craig Erlam
US Close: Wall Street rattled on reports US expects Russia to invade Ukraine next week. Yen, Oil, and Gold pop higher, while Stocks, yields, and Bitcoin drop
Wall Street has an inflation hangover as higher rates continue to drag tech stocks down.  US stocks were trying to stabilize as yields came in. Yesterday’s inflation shocker has many bond traders believing the Fed is behind the curve and will be delivering several rate hikes.  Many Fed members feel inflation will meaningfully decelerate later this year and that is why calls for seven rate hikes might be too aggressive. US stocks were supposed to have a period of calm this afternoon as Treasury
by Edward Moya
Week Ahead - Inflation woes continue
Inflation and interest rates have been at the forefront of investors' minds so far this year and that's unlikely to change for some time yet. Earnings season provided a welcome and timely distraction and enabled markets to find some stability but as we saw towards the end of last week, inflation continues to dominate.
by Craig Erlam
Oil prices climb, gold stopped by yields
Oil jumps as IEA confirms tight market conditions Oil prices are rallying once more as the IEA raised forecasts for demand this year and confirmed that OPEC+ missed its output targets again in January and by an even wider margin of 900,000 barrels. The group acknowledged that the market is tight right now while highlighting that a nuclear deal between the US and Iran could release 1.3 million barrels of supply.
by Craig Erlam
Ending the week in the red
Stock markets are ending the week in the red after investors were dealt another inflation blow on Thursday which dampened sentiment once more. We were just starting to see confidence building in the markets, with investors seemingly coming to terms with the prospect of four or five rate hikes this year. But the relentless and broad-based price rises in the US delivered yet another hammer blow and ruined any momentum that had been building into the report. We're now entering into quite uncomfor
by Craig Erlam
NZD dips as inflation expectations rise
The New Zealand dollar is down 0.38% on the day, as it trades at 0.6650 in the European session. NZD/USD went for a ride on Thursday, rising close to 1% before retreating and giving up these gains. This was a common thread for most of the major currencies, as the US dollar softened after the hot US inflation report but managed to recover most of these losses by the end of the day. RBNZ Inflation Expectations rises New Zealand has not been immune to surging inflation.
by Kenneth Fisher
Pound yawns after UK GDP as expected
The pound is slightly lower on Friday, after taking investors on a roller-coaster ride a day earlier. GBP/USD was up over 100 points on Thursday after the US inflation report, but the pound surrendered almost all of these gains later in the day. The UK treated the markets to data dump on Friday, but the pound shrugged.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZD rises, inflation expectations looms
It has been a banner week for the New Zealand dollar, which has climbed 1.79% and gained over a cent. The US dollar is broadly lower on Thursday, and NZD/USD has gained 0.71% on the day, after posting gains every day this week. New Zealand has been hit with high inflation as the country continues to emerge from Covid.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil rallies, gold steady
Oil Crude prices have been in a ping-pong session over the past couple of days as energy traders monitor headlines regarding the Russia-Ukraine geopolitical conflict and Iran nuclear talks.  The Biden administration reached out to the Saudis but was unable to make any progress in getting oil prices down.
by Edward Moya
Pound jumps as US inflation jumps
The British pound finally woke up this week and has punched past the 1.36 level. GBP/USD is trading at 1.3615, up 0.78% on the day. The highly anticipated US inflation reading did not disappoint, coming in a 7.5% y/y for January.
by Kenneth Fisher
Gold - Running out of steam?
Rally continues after US inflation data Gold is continuing to rally on Thursday and is on course to register an eighth day of gains in the last nine. That's not bad considering markets are continuing to price in more and more rate hikes from central banks around the world this year. But perhaps that's also the problem. This isn't a gradual tightening process.
by Craig Erlam
Crude steady, gold pauses ahead of CPI
Crude prices remain elevated despite progress on nuclear talks Oil prices are marginally lower this morning but Brent crude remains above USD 90 and WTI is only a little shy of it. Prices rose a little on Wednesday after a couple of days of losses following the EIA inventory report, which showed a surprising 4.8 million barrel drawdown. This came as talks appear to be moving in the right direction between the US and Iran, which could see more than a million barrels re-enter the market.
by Craig Erlam
Canadian dollar edges higher
The Canadian dollar has posted slight gains on Wednesday. There are no Canadian tier-1 events on the calendar this week, so we can expect US releases will have a magnified impact on the movement of the Canadian dollar this week. With the Fed poised to launch a series of rate hikes starting in March and inflation surging in Canada, it's unlikely that the Bank of Canada will simply fold its hands.
by Kenneth Fisher
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