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I'm feeling like I'm watching constant replays of the Child's Play horror movies at the moment. Chucky the evil doll saying "I'm back" is playing over and over again as equity markets, once again, try pricing that all the bad news is out there.

23-03-2022 03:48 GMT by Jeffrey Halley

Oil dips, gold consolidates

Oil slightly pares gains after Monday's surge A 7% surge in oil prices on Monday was always going to be difficult to sustain and today's modest declines are a reflection of that. Whether fueled by the prospect of an EU ban on Russian imports, Chinese lockdowns being less economically restrictive, or the dimming prospects for substantial Saudi output increases; it seems oil traders aren't willing to give up the gains that easy. It's going to be tough for the EU to agree on a ban that isn't phas

22-03-2022 15:13 GMT by Craig Erlam

Investors undeterred

Stock markets are making decent gains on Tuesday, bouncing back quickly from the disappointment late Monday as Fed Chair Powell turned the hawkish dial up a notch. It didn't take long for investors to get over the latest disappointment as they prepared for interest rates rising to around 2% by the end of the year. That's an incredible aggressive tightening cycle and would mean at least one 50 basis point hike at a meeting, something we haven't seen in more than 20 years. Despite recession talk

22-03-2022 14:30 GMT by Craig Erlam

Pound jumps on strong mfg. data

GBP/USD has resumed its upswing after a quiet start to the week. GBP/USD is trading at 1.3261 in the North American session, up 0.75% on the day. It was just one week ago that the pound was in the dumps, falling to the symbolic 1.30 line.

22-03-2022 14:02 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Oil dips, gold lower as risk appetite returns

Oil prices fall ahead of NATO meeting After rallying since the middle of last week, crude prices declined as energy traders await what actions come from this week’s NATO summit. Crude supply shortage concerns were somewhat alleviated after reports that China is buying Russian crude at a big discount. It looks like two key economies, China and India are still buying Russian oil and that will likely put a halt to the recent rebound in prices. The short-term crude demand outlook might need a do

22-03-2022 12:43 GMT by Edward Moya

What Stagflation? Bullard being Bullard, bitcoin rallies

Equity traders are looking at surging global bond yields and are saying, “What, me worry?” The global bond market selloff is not easing at all and that should raise some red flags. Mad Magazine’s Alfred E. Neuman is what many stock traders are starting to look like when they buy every dip. Fed policy is about to become restrictive and commodity market tightness will still remain even if there is a quick resolution to the crisis in Ukraine.

22-03-2022 12:37 GMT by Edward Moya

NZD soars despite drop in confidence

The New Zealand dollar is up sharply on Tuesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6943, up 0.83% on the day. NZ consumer sentiment falls sharply Westpac Consumer sentiment slowed for a third straight quarter, and the Q1 release showed a sharp drop, falling from 99.1 to 92.1.

22-03-2022 10:53 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Yen slides on Powell, Kuroda comments

The Japanese yen's downswing is turning into a rout. USD/JPY has climbed a massive 1.16% today and briefly punched across the 121 line earlier in the day. Yen's slide continues The yen has extended its losses in what has become a miserable March for the currency.

22-03-2022 08:45 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Oil prices jump, gold range-trading

Oil prices soar overnight Nerves broke in oil markets overnight, as the prospect of a European embargo on Russian oil, and reality dawning around Ukraine-Russia negotiations, sent oil prices soaring. Brent crude leapt 7.90% to USD 116.35 a barrel, with WTI rallying 7.0% to USD 112.00 a barrel.

22-03-2022 06:16 GMT by Jeffrey Halley

Powell lifts the US dollar

Aggressive Powell boost dollar A very hawkish Jerome Powell overnight lifted US yields across the curve and sent the US dollar higher, aided by some Ukraine tailwinds as negotiations between the warring states went quiet. The dollar index rose 0.25% to 98.47, adding another 0.31% to 98.79 in Asia as the Japanese yen slumped.

22-03-2022 05:49 GMT by Jeffrey Halley

Powell backpedals faster

Powell says Fed could become more aggressive Fed Chairman Jerome Powell set the cat amongst the pigeons overnight stating that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates more aggressively to tame inflation if needed, not ruling out 0.50% increases if necessary. That is quite the volte-face from three months ago and really isn’t helping the feeling that the Fed is well behind the curve vis-à-vis inflation.

22-03-2022 05:13 GMT by Jeffrey Halley

EUR/USD - Any hope of a reversal?

Or will the downtrend continue? The euro has rebounded well against the dollar over the last week as risk appetite has modestly improved but it's already running into some trouble. The pair has been in a long-term downtrend and we could soon see if that is set to continue. It has run into resistance around 1.1150 where prior support and resistance coincides with the 50 fib level - February highs to March lows. This also coincides with the mid-point of the descending channel which altogether

21-03-2022 18:13 GMT by Craig Erlam

US Close: Powell ready for super sized hikes, Inversion focus as bonds selloff, Boeing 737 plane crashed in Southern China, Oil rises as calls for EU to ban Russian energy grow, Gold sideways as yields surge, Bitcoin holds $41k

US stocks had an uninspiring start to the trading week after Fed Chair Powell delivered another round of hawkish comments and as commodity prices surged on growing expectations the EU could consider an oil embargo on Russia this week. The harsh reality of faster rate rises is setting in for some traders and that could eventually lead to a taper tantrum which might happen alongside stagflation. Monetary policy is still accommodative for now, but that could quickly change if the Fed delivers a c

21-03-2022 16:34 GMT by Edward Moya

Euro drifting on lack of data

It has been a quiet start to the week, as the euro trades at 1.1040 in the North American session. There are no tier-1 events out of the eurozone or the US, so we can expect limited movement from EUR/USD for the remainder of the day. The US dollar had a rough week, as it retreated against the majors, with the exception of the Japanese yen.

21-03-2022 12:59 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Dollar/yen closing in on 120 level

It was another dreadful week for the Japanese yen, which fell 1.60%. USD/JPY climbed as high as 119.39 on Friday, its highest level since February 2016.

21-03-2022 10:29 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Cad. dollar posts best week of 2022

The Canadian dollar is coming off its best week of the year, in which it gained 1.14%. The currency has posted slight gains on Monday, dropping below the 1.26 line for the first time since late January. Retail sales rebound The Canadian dollar has extended its rally on Monday, after posting four straight winning days.

21-03-2022 08:10 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Oil edges up, gold under pressure

Oil prices spike higher once again Oil prices rose slightly in New York on Friday, with volatility modest by recent standards. Brent crude finished 0.85% higher at USD 107.80 a barrel, and WTI rose 1.70% to USD 105.35 a barrel. In Asia, however, prices have spiked higher once again, continuing a trend we saw all last week, where Asia bought oil no matter what the price action was in New York.

21-03-2022 06:30 GMT by Jeffrey Halley

Currency markets are ranging

Currency markets are ranging Currency markets had another choppy session on Friday, but ultimately, remained content to continue range trading. The US dollar rallied somewhat, despite US yields falling.

21-03-2022 05:53 GMT by Jeffrey Halley

Asian markets edges higher

Asian equities are cautiously higher Wall Street had another exuberant session on Friday, pricing in the worst of the Fed being out of the way, and expectations of progress in a resolution of the Ukraine-Russia conflict. Asia, with one eye on oil prices this morning, is somewhat more cautious.

21-03-2022 05:42 GMT by Jeffrey Halley

Asia awaits geopolitical developments

Asian markets are cautiously higher this morning as the weekend produced lots of noise, but little of real actionable substance. US markets continue to price in an almost certain Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and seem to be quickly putting an expectedly hawkish FOMC behind them.

21-03-2022 05:26 GMT by Jeffrey Halley

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