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Stocks rally after decent data with focus on Ukraine, bitcoin benefits from risk-on rally
US stocks rose as investors assess the impact of the latest round of sanctions against Russia, mostly impressive US data, and as oil prices edge lower. Wall Street knows that the US economy is still looking pretty good but they are trying to figure out how aggressive the Fed will be with tightening, how high oil prices will get, and will the war in Ukraine be over in a few months' time.
by Edward Moya
Dollar/Yen punches above 122
Yen slides close to 1 per cent The US dollar is pummelling the Japanese yen, as USD/JPY trades at 122.31 in the North American session, up 0.97% on the day. USD/JPY hasn't been at these levels since December 2015.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil steadies, gold has firm support
Oil stabilises as OPEC expresses concerns Oil prices are a little flat after spiking higher on Wednesday in response to apparent storm damage on the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) that will affect around a million barrels per day from Kazakhstan for up to a couple of months. Coming at a time when the market is already extremely tight, it could ensure prices remain higher and vulnerable to further increases. OPEC has reportedly expressed its unease to the EU regarding a proposed ban on Russi
by Craig Erlam
Recovery losing momentum
It's been a relatively slow start to trading in equity markets as we approach the end of the week, with stocks losing the momentum that's driven the strong recovery in recent weeks. The recovery has arguably been overdone considering the invasion of Ukraine is ongoing and commodity prices are at sky-high levels and still prone to surges. But the fact that Ukraine and Russia remain in negotiations seems to be enough to keep investors on board. The threat of very high inflation and rapid rate hi
by Craig Erlam
Swiss franc steady after SNB meeting
In this topsy-turvy new world of ours, it's reassuring to know that some things stay the same. For example, the Swiss National Bank, which maintained its expansionary monetary policy at today's policy meeting.
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 310)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discussed the latest moves in oil and gas, and the UK Spring Statement and inflation data.
by Craig Erlam
British pound stabilizes at 1.32
The British pound has shown some volatility this week but is flat on Thursday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at the round number of 1.3200. The currency markets have been taking a breather and sticking to the sidelines.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro holds steady at 1.10
EUR/USD is calm, trading on both sides of the 1.1000 level. In the European session, the currency is at 1.0988. Roubles only, please The euro continues to trade in choppy waters, unable to maintain any momentum due to the uncertainties over the war in Ukraine.
by Kenneth Fisher
RUB-bed the wrong way
Putin shakes up oil markets Energy markets were shaken overnight as Russian President Putin directed that payments for Russian natural gas by “unfriendly nations” be paid for in roubles (RUB), giving government officials and the central bank a week to come up with a mechanism. As telegraphed yesterday, Russia also announced the full closure of the Caspian Pipeline Consortium’s Black Sea terminal because of “storm damage.” The rouble natural gas announcement sent European gas benchmarks 30% hig
by Jeffrey Halley
Asian markets mixed after Wall Street slips
Asian equities mixed after a torrid New York session Overnight, sharply higher energy prices, and a procession of hawkish Federal Reserve officials on the wires, saw the gains of the previous day mostly wiped out, despite yields falling. Energy markets were turbulent overnight as Russian President Putin directed that payments for Russian natural gas by “unfriendly nations” be paid for in roubles, giving government officials and the central bank a week to come up with a mechanism. The S&P 500
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil surges, lower US yields boost gold
Oil prices soar overnight Russian President Putin shocked the energy markets on Wednesday when he directed that payments for Russian natural gas by “unfriendly nations” must be paid for in roubles. The announcement and the full closure of the Caspian Pipeline Consortium’s (CPC) pipeline by Russia sent European natural gas prices 30% higher, and also aggressively lifted crude prices, helped by lower official US Crude Inventories.
by Jeffrey Halley
Currency markets looking for direction
Currency markets remain in a holding pattern Currency markets had another night of quite wide ranges, but ultimately closed once again not far from where they started. The currency space appears to have moved to the sidelines, for now, content to wait and watch for developments elsewhere for its next directional cues.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil soars, gold looks for direction
Oil surges amid further supply issues Oil prices are more than 5% higher after Russia confirmed that oil exports via the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) will fall by around a million barrels a day for up to two months as a result of storm damage. This comes at a time of significant tightness in the market and could contribute to further increases in the price in the coming weeks. That is of course unless other producers step up and utilise the spare capacity in order to prevent oil prices fr
by Craig Erlam
Mid-Market Update: Stocks lower as soft landing fantasy seems unlikely, Energy prices jump, Gold rallies, Bitcoin Hovers
US stocks declined as the harsh reality sets in that the Fed most likely won’t be able to navigate a soft landing as geopolitical risks will continue to keep upward pressures on prices and force the Fed into a difficult decision later this year.  The Fed will either have to tighten policy so much that it sends the economy into a recession, or it will once again have to flip flop and prevent policy from becoming too restrictive.  Wall Street's resilience for risky assets can't handle a flip-flopp
by Edward Moya
Euro dips below 1.10 level
The euro has edged lower on Wednesday and is trading just below the 1.10 level, a psychologically important line. A tale of two central banks? The Federal Reserve came out swinging this week, reiterating its pledge to do everything it can to wrestle sizzling inflation back to lower levels. Fed Chair Powell said that inflation was putting the recovery at risk and he was prepared to raise interest rates by 0.50% increments if needed.
by Kenneth Fisher
Japanese yen steadies
March has been a sea of red for the Japanese yen, as USD/JPY has soared 5.04% this month. The currency is steady on Wednesday, after breaking above the 121 line earlier in the day. Rate differential weighing on yen The yen took a double-punch in the ribs on Tuesday, as USD/JPY jumped 1.14%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Pound slips as inflation surges
UK inflation outperforms The markets were bracing for inflation to accelerate in February, and the readings were even higher than expected. CPI hit 6.2% YoY, a new 30-year high.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil surges, gold eases
Oil prices soar overnight Oil markets are a mess of volatility at the moment, along with my oil data feeds, as Brent crude and WTI endured another day of very choppy trading in a very wide intraday range. Brent crude gave back all its intraday gains, even after API Crude Inventories fell, to finish 1.85% lower at USD 114.50 a barrel.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asian equities follow Wall Street higher
Asian markets rally The perpetual armies of bullish investors dominated New York overnight, and also key fast-money markets like Japan today, as they wishfully priced there was no more bad news to come from Eastern Europe or the Fed. That sparked an “efficient market pricing” rally that saw New York record some impressive gains, with “value” the winner, over growth.
by Jeffrey Halley
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