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AUD/USD steady as consumer sentiment slips lower
The Australian dollar is showing little movement on Tuesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6174, down 0.06% at the time of writing. Australian consumer sentiment declines for second straight month The Australian consumer remains pessimistic about the economic outlook.
by Kenneth Fisher
US Inflation: PPI, CPI Release Dates, DXY Analysis & Market Impact
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is awaiting US inflation data (PPI and CPI), with PPI data releasing on Tuesday, January 14, and CPI on Wednesday, January 15. Tariff rumors from the Trump team have caused a pause in the US Dollar's rise. Key support for the DXY is at 109.57, with resistance at 110.00; a break above 110.00 could signal a move towards 111.00.
by Zain Vawda
Nasdaq 100 Technical: Weak market breadth with tightening liquidity is a deadly concoction
The recent three-week slide in the Nasdaq 100 has almost wiped out its post-US presidential gains. The persistent uptrend of the 10-year US Treasury yield has made US equities unattractive and overvalued as measured by the S&P 500 Shiller excess CAPE yield. 20,790 remains the key downside trigger level for the Nasdaq 100. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report “Nasdaq 100 Technical: At risk of staging a multi-week corrective decline” published on 20 December 2024.
by Kelvin Wong
AUD/USD stabilizes after post-NFP slide
The Australian dollar has started the week quietly. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6151, up 0.07% at the time of writing.  Earlier, the Australian dollar fell as low as 0.6130, its lowest level since April 2020. It was another rough week for the Australian dollar, which declined 1.7% last week.
by Kenneth Fisher
Brent Crude - Oil Advances on Russian Sanctions. Will the 100-day MA Cap Gains?
Oil prices rose due to new US sanctions on Russian oil and tankers. The Kremlin warned these sanctions could destabilize global energy markets. Indian 'sources' stated it would avoid purchasing Russian oil from sanctioned entities and vessels. Markets are assessing the potential for a supply shock and whether OPEC+ will increase output.
by Zain Vawda
AUD/USD: Aussie bears have taken a foothold reinforced by longer-term US Treasury yield premiums
A higher 10-year yield premium of the US Treasuries over Australian sovereign bonds has reduced the attractiveness of the Aussie dollar as a “high-yielding” currency. Deflationary risk in China coupled with potential higher trade tariffs policy from the US has reinforced recent languish movements in the Iron Ore CFR China futures. Major bearish breakdown in AUD/USD with next medium-term support at 0.6030/5990. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report “AUD/USD: Surviving at the 0.6360 k
by Kelvin Wong
Markets Weekly Outlook - Fed Policy in Focus as US Inflation Lies Ahead
Strong US Jobs Report Impacts Fed Expectations with some analysts now predicting no cuts at all.  The S&P 500 experienced a sell-off, breaking below key support levels and raising concerns about further potential downside. US inflation and retail sales data will be crucial in shaping market expectations for future monetary policy. In addition to US data, the week ahead includes key economic releases from China, UK and Australia.
by Zain Vawda
Japan's household spending declines, yen edges higher
The yen is slightly higher on Friday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 157.89, down 0.12% on the day. Japan's household spending continues to decline Japanese consumers are holding tight on the purse strings and that could spell tr0uble for Japan's fragile economy.
by Kenneth Fisher
NFP Preview: US Jobs Report & Market Impact
The NFP report will provide insights into the health of the US labor market and may influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. The consensus forecast is 160,000 jobs added, with the unemployment rate expected to hold steady at 4.2% and average hourly earnings at 4.1% YoY. The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring wage growth as a key indicator of inflation, which could impact their policy decisions.
by Zain Vawda
USD/CHF Technical Outlook: Bulls in Charge as Potential Double Top Pattern Forms
USD/CHF has been in a strong uptrend since September 2024, largely mirroring the US Dollar Index (DXY). A potential double top pattern is forming around the 0.9137 resistance level. Key support levels to watch are 0.9087, 0.9040, and the psychological 0.9000 handle. A break above the 0.9137 resistance could lead to further gains. Most Read: Global Market Outlook 2025: Trends, Risks, and Opportunities for Traders USD/CHF has been on an incredible run since bottoming out in September 2024. The ra
by Zain Vawda
Yen shrugs as wage growth a mixed bag
The yen is trading quietly on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 157.98, down 0.21% on the day. Japan's base salaries rise but real wages decline Japan's wage growth for November was a mixed bag, with both good and bad news.
by Kenneth Fisher
GBP Price Action: GBP/USD, GBP/JPY and GBP/AUD Analyzed
The British pound is under pressure due to Donald Trump's potential tariff policies, causing volatility in GBP/USD and global markets. GBP/USD is approaching its 2024 yearly low, with potential for further downside if Trump's tariff rhetoric continues and the US dollar strengthens. GBP/JPY's price action is uncertain due to conflicting signals from the Bank of Japan's monetary policy. GBP/AUD is in a defined bearish trend, with key support and resistance levels identified. Most Read: SPX & Nasd
by Zain Vawda
Japanese yen eyes wage data
The yen has edged higher on Wednesday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 158.33, up 0.19% on the day. Japan's consumer confidence for December data showed a slight decline, falling to 36.2 from 36.4 in November.
by Kenneth Fisher
SPX & Nasdaq 100 React to Strong US Data: Rate Cut Outlook Shifts
Stronger-than-expected US economic data (JOLTs job openings and ISM Services Index) weigh on US Indices. Markets exhibited sensitivity to monetary policy expectations and potential volatility, with sector performance varying. Technical analysis of the S&P 500 suggests a range-bound market with key support and resistance levels identified. Upcoming non-farm payrolls and Fed meeting minutes releases are expected to further influence market volatility. Most Read: Gold (XAU/USD) Price Outlook: Bull
by Zain Vawda
Euro rally fizzles, Eurozone CPI climbs to 2.2%
The euro is slightly lower on Tuesday after rallying 1.2% over the past two trading sessions. In the North American session, EUR/USD is currently trading at 1.0363, down 0.25% on the day. Eurozone, German CPI rises in December Eurozone inflation accelerated for a third successive month, climbing to 2.4% y/y in December, up from 2.2% in November and in line with the market estimate.
by Kenneth Fisher
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