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What’s the good oil?
Oil slides on OPEC+ report Oil markets are on the move this morning, with oil prices dipping by 2.0% in early trading after the Financial Times reported that Saudi Arabia has indicated to western allies it could raise production to cover any substantial fall in Russian production. That follows on from my comments yesterday that this week's OPEC+ meeting later today could be a pivotal one if Russia is given an exemption from its production quotas, which would allow the two main swing producers, S
by Jeffrey Halley
Gold - Gathering momentum?
Or a failed recovery? Gold fell heavily between the middle of April and May but then started to recover as interest rate expectations were pared back. How sustainable is the recovery? It ran into trouble quite quickly around $1,870, at which point it struggled to gather any upward momentum.
by Craig Erlam
Oil rallies, gold turns positive
Oil Oil prices are rallying as the crude fundamentals continue to turn bullish, while uncertainty persists with how OPEC+ will handle Russia's output quota and if the group will be able to deliver more output in the coming months. Economic data from the US shows the economy is holding up, which supports the idea that crude demand should improve and that this will be a strong driving season. OPEC+ needs to figure out how they will handle Russia’s crude output quota, but regardless the group as
by Edward Moya
Oil rises on OPEC+, gold gains ground
Oil prices are rising on Wednesday, clawing back some of the losses from a day earlier that came following reports that OPEC+ is planning to suspend Russia from the quota system due to the sanctions against it and the EU embargo. The move could see output increase faster by other members that have the capacity to do so, most notably Saudi Arabia and the UAE, and alleviate some of the pressure in the oil market.
by Craig Erlam
Equities struggle for a second day
Equity markets have turned more negative as we go into the middle of the week, with inflation and growth concerns potentially triggering the latest declines.   We saw a decent recovery last week as investors reacted to the S&P 500 falling into bear market territory by buying the dip and hoping it marked the end of the decline. There wasn't anything to be particularly bullish about when it came to the data or the improved prospects for the economic outlook which is why many were referring to it
by Craig Erlam
Dollar pushes wobbly yen to 130
The Japanese yen continues to lose ground, as USD/JPY has punched above the symbolic 130 line. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 130.01 up 1.02% on the day. The US dollar is having its way with the yen this week as USD/JPY has surged 2.23%.
by Kenneth Fisher
BoC hikes by 0.50%, Canadian dollar yawns
The Canadian dollar is almost unchanged in Wednesday trading. The loonie has reeled off five consecutive winning sessions and is trading at a 5-week high. BoC delivers a 50-bps hike As expected, the BoC raised the benchmark rate 50-bps at today's meeting, bringing the rate to 1.5%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar edges up, GDP looms
The Australian dollar is in calm waters this week, as AUD/USD trades quietly just below the 0.73 level. GDP slows to 0.8% Australia's Q1 GDP slowed to 0.8% QoQ, after a massive 3.6% QoQ gain in Q4 of 2021. Investors were braced for a softer release after the impressive Q4 surge, and the Q1 reading actually outperformed, beating the estimate of 0.5%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil prices fall, gold under pressure
OPEC+ rumours sink crude prices The announcement of the partial EU ban on Russian crude imports was a mild tailwind yesterday, but by and large, looked to have been already priced into markets. What did surprise markets was a Wall Street Journal article suggesting that OPEC might exempt Russia from the production quota agreement at tomorrow’s OPEC+ meeting.
by Jeffrey Halley
Higher US yields lift US dollar
Dollar gains ground against majors Currency markets continued to trade in a choppy, but ultimately consolidative range overnight and this morning. Higher US yields overnight allowed the US dollar to be ascendant, the dollar index rising 0.48% to 101.78, having probed above 102.00 intraday.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asian markets are mostly lower
Soft PMIs sends Asian equities lower Weakening Manufacturing PMI data from across the Asia-Pacific, combined with a low close on Wall Street, sees most of Asia trading in the red today, ignoring the bounce in US index futures this morning. Overnight, a rise in US yields saw the S&P 500 finish 0.63% lower, the Nasdaq lost 0.41%, with the Dow Jones easing by 0.57%.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asia gets no Shanghai surprise
Shanghai ends virus restrictions Asian markets are trading with a negative tone today, with the ending of virus restrictions in Shanghai today having little to no positive impact. Mostly that is due to the flip-flop of the day in US markets, which reopened overnight.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil climbs, gold in choppy waters
Oil jumps again amid Shanghai reopening The price of a barrel of Brent crude hit USD 120 earlier in the day on the back of the EU deal, as well as the continued reopening of Shanghai and the better than expected Chinese PMIs. The gradual phasing in of the deal along with the exemptions included prevented the price from rising much higher but ultimately it further tightens a market that's already undersupplied. The reopenings in China are another major bullish factor for crude prices, for obvio
by Craig Erlam
European markets dip lower
Europe lower amid another inflation record European stock markets are a little lower on Tuesday, handing back Monday's gains to trade relatively flat on the week. It's not particularly surprising that we've seen a reversal of Monday's moves considering the inflation data we've had from the bloc. The data from Germany and Spain meant the risks were heavily tilted to the upside and that's how it materialised.
by Craig Erlam
Euro drops as EU bans Russian oil
The euro is seeing red on Tuesday and dropped below the 1.07 line earlier. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0707, down 0.67% on the day. EU to block most Russian oil  The EU announced on Tuesday that it had reached an agreement to ban most Russian oil imports by the end of this year.
by Kenneth Fisher
Canadian dollar eyes GBP, BoC meeting
After a 3-day rally, the Canadian dollar has reversed directions on Tuesday and edged lower. Canada releases GDP for March later in the day. Canada's GDP climbed in February by 1.1% MoM, the highest monthly growth rate since March 2021.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZD falls as business confidence swoons
The New Zealand dollar rally has fizzled out on Tuesday. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6517, down 0.63% on the day. Business Confidence slides New Zealand's business sector remains deeply pessimistic about the economy.
by Kenneth Fisher
Crude rises on EU oil ban, gold steady
Europe's ban on Russian oil sends black gold higher The announcement that a partial EU ban on Russian oil imports has made it over the finish line sent oil prices higher overnight. Recovering PMI data from China today, and by default recovering energy consumption, has seen the rally continue in Asia.
by Jeffrey Halley
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