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Market Insights Podcast (Episode 337)
Jonny Hart speaks to APAC Senior Market Analyst Jeffrey Halley about news impacting the market and the week ahead. With Jonny returning from a four day holiday to celebrate Her Majesty's platinum jubilee, it's time to look at the week ahead for financial markets. First of all, though, we glance back to the market reaction to last Friday's US Non-Farm Payrolls.
by Jeffrey Halley
Gloominess persists after Robust Jobs report and Musk’s Super Bad Feeling, Oil's strong week , Gold eases, Bitcoin below $30,000
Robust hiring in May pretty much guarantees the Fed will move forward with a couple half-point rate hikes at the next two meetings. ​ US stocks edged lower as the latest employment report showed slower job growth and potentially softening inflation, but still keeps the door open for the Fed to continue with its rate hiking campaign well beyond the summer.
by Edward Moya
Aussie slips after strong NFP report
The Australian dollar has reversed directions on Friday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.7225, down 0.55% on the day. US nonfarm payrolls are traditionally the highlight of the week, but the Ukraine war, spiralling inflation and surging oil prices have taken up much of the market's attention.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil rebounds, gold rises
Oil stages spectacular reversal higher A disappointing outcome from the OPEC+ meeting (for consumer nations), saw oil’s selloff in Asia yesterday completely reversed plus interest. Markets were disappointed when OPEC+ only agreed to hike production to 650,000 bpd for the next two months, instead of more structural increases from OPEC to cover the Russian shortfall.
by Jeffrey Halley
US dollar loses all of its previous gains
US dollar eyes nonfarm payrolls There was a wax on, wax off feel to currency markets overnight. Soft ADP Employment data spurring a risk-on rally across asset classes as the Fed hiking outlook was tempered.
by Jeffrey Halley
Dude, where’s my oil?
OPEC+ agrees to increase output The most anticipated OPEC+ meeting of the year turned out to be a damp squib in the end. OPEC+ agreed to increase output in July and August to 648,000 bpd from the previously agreed 432,000 bpd, with the increased allocation spread across all its members, including, you guessed it, Russia.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil surges after modest OPEC+ boost and bullish EIA report, gold surges
Oil The Saudis pulled it off again.  They managed to keep both the Russians and Americans somewhat happy, while boosting production targets without triggering a collapse in oil prices.  The oil market will still remain tight given the production boost is modest at best. Hikes for both July and August will be 50% higher at 648,000 bpd.
by Edward Moya
Investors focus on Fed path, stocks were oversold, bitcoin above USD 30k
US stocks are playing a game of dizzy bat (players place a baseball bat on the ground and spin 10 times) as traders remain divided with recession calls and when the Fed could be in a position to pause their interest rate hikes. Hopes for a less aggressive tightening campaign by the Fed improved after a wrath of economic data suggests the economy is softening and that inflation is cooling.
by Edward Moya
Euro rebounds on PMIs
The euro has posted gains and pushed above the 1.07 line on Thursday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0702, up 0.48% on the day. Eurozone grapples with high inflation, low growth German and European Manufacturing PMIs were within expectations, pointing to continued expansion.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar higher on solid data
The Australian dollar is showing some jump. AUD/USD has punched above the 0.72 level today and has posted gains of 0.59%, as it trades close to 1-month highs. Australian releases were positive, giving the Aussie a strong boost.
by Kenneth Fisher
Swiss franc rises on higher inflation
The Swiss franc is slightly higher on Thursday. USD/CHF is trading at 0.9596, down 0.39% on the day. Those of us who think "staid and steady" when the Swiss franc comes to mind will be forgiven for not recognizing the currency lately.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil slides on OPEC+ report, gold steady
Oil sinks in Asia on FT/OPEC+ story Oil prices have fallen in Asia today after the Financial Times ran a story that Saudi Arabia has indicated to western allies that it could raise oil production if Russian output fell substantially. Overnight, oil gave back all its gains after a WSJ story released yesterday morning suggested that OPEC+ might exempt Russia from its production quotas. Taken in totality, today's OPEC+ meeting is assuming far greater importance for global markets than the US Non-Fa
by Jeffrey Halley
US dollar soars versus euro and sterling
US dollar rises on strong data, Fed expectations The dollar index leapt higher overnight, thanks in part to the heavy weighting of the euro and yen in it, which slumped against the greenback. Robust US data and an ensuing extinguishing of hopes that the Fed would need to ease hiking expectations were behind the US dollar rally.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asia markets follows the leader
Asian equity markets dip Asian equity markets are lower today as a thin data calendar and slow news ticker leave them content to produce another follow-the-leader session, coat-tailing the direction of overnight US markets. Robust US data overnight reinforced Fed hiking expectations which saw US equities fall once again.
by Jeffrey Halley
What’s the good oil?
Oil slides on OPEC+ report Oil markets are on the move this morning, with oil prices dipping by 2.0% in early trading after the Financial Times reported that Saudi Arabia has indicated to western allies it could raise production to cover any substantial fall in Russian production. That follows on from my comments yesterday that this week's OPEC+ meeting later today could be a pivotal one if Russia is given an exemption from its production quotas, which would allow the two main swing producers, S
by Jeffrey Halley
Gold - Gathering momentum?
Or a failed recovery? Gold fell heavily between the middle of April and May but then started to recover as interest rate expectations were pared back. How sustainable is the recovery? It ran into trouble quite quickly around $1,870, at which point it struggled to gather any upward momentum.
by Craig Erlam
Oil rallies, gold turns positive
Oil Oil prices are rallying as the crude fundamentals continue to turn bullish, while uncertainty persists with how OPEC+ will handle Russia's output quota and if the group will be able to deliver more output in the coming months. Economic data from the US shows the economy is holding up, which supports the idea that crude demand should improve and that this will be a strong driving season. OPEC+ needs to figure out how they will handle Russia’s crude output quota, but regardless the group as
by Edward Moya
Oil rises on OPEC+, gold gains ground
Oil prices are rising on Wednesday, clawing back some of the losses from a day earlier that came following reports that OPEC+ is planning to suspend Russia from the quota system due to the sanctions against it and the EU embargo. The move could see output increase faster by other members that have the capacity to do so, most notably Saudi Arabia and the UAE, and alleviate some of the pressure in the oil market.
by Craig Erlam
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