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ECB calms markets ahead of the Fed
We're seeing a modest recovery in equity markets ahead of some key central bank meetings but investors remain wary of what's to come. It's become very clear that central banks are going to have to be very aggressive in countering mounting price pressures around the globe and that the probability of recessions has increased. Stagflation is not yet here but the risks around it have risen considerably in recent months which makes central bank responses all the more critical.
by Craig Erlam
Aussie surges ahead FOMC, jobs report
The Australian dollar has reversed directions on Wednesday and climbed sharply. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6937, up 0.98% on the day. If your fancy is a currency with wild swings, then stay put and don't change the channel.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil drifting, gold dips lower
Oil is noisy but sideways Oil prices traded in a very wide range overnight, but like currency markets, once the histrionics passed and the dust settled, didn’t do a lot, remaining near to recent highs. Brent crude ranged between USD 119.00 and USD 125.00 before finishing just 1.05% lower at USD 120.85 a barrel.
by Jeffrey Halley
US dollar consolidates pre-FOMC
Dollar eyes FOMC rate decision Currency markets had a choppy but ultimately range trading session overnight, as higher US yields once again supported the US dollar modestly, while pre-FOMC caution limited its gains. The Asian session is being marked by similar price action, the US dollar easing today as investors lighten their exposure.
by Jeffrey Halley
Noisy pre-FOMC consolidation
The sell-everything trade has mostly paused for breath over the last 24 hours, with US equities finding their feet overnight, Asian equities rallying today, and the US dollar giving back some of its recent gains. Bond markets remain the exception.
by Jeffrey Halley
Morning rebound faded as PPI remains elevated, Oracle impresses, MicroStrategy all-in on bitcoin, bitcoin holding above USD20k
Wall Street was quick to fade the morning rebound that stemmed a modest improvement with producer prices, possibly providing some hope that core inflation continues to ease for businesses. Wholesale prices are still climbing higher and while they are slightly off the record annual pace, this report does not change anything for the Fed.  Aggressive tightening over the next handful of policy meetings is the only course of action for the Fed. PPI PPI rose 0.8% for the month and 10.8% over the pas
by Edward Moya
Oil market remains tight, gold lower ahead of Fed
Oil gains on tight supplies, China concerns Crude prices rallied as energy traders focus on the supply-demand imbalance that shows no signs of easing and shrugs off China COVID concerns and the early signs of crude demand destruction in the US. Gasoline prices are above five dollars a gallon nationally and no relief is expected anytime soon.  Refiners need to get diesel inventories higher otherwise we could see some shortages in the near future. President Biden will visit Saudi Arabia in the m
by Edward Moya
Anxiety heightened ahead of the Fed
European stocks are tumbling again on Tuesday, while US futures are marginally higher ahead of the open after a terrible start to the week. Markets await FOMC meeting The mood has turned very negative since the latter half of last week, with the ECB initially leaving investors in a haze and the US inflation data on Friday delivering the knockout blow. While Wall Street is eyeing a marginally higher open, I'm far from convinced it can maintain that ahead of the Fed decision tomorrow. Expectations
by Craig Erlam
Yen steady ahead of FOMC meeting
The Japanese yen continues to drift this week. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 134.30, down 0.09% on the day. All eyes on the Federal Reserve The Federal Reserve holds its policy meeting on Wednesday.
by Kenneth Fisher
Aussie stabilizes after nasty tumble
It has been a rough spell for the Australian dollar, which has steadied after a four-day slide. This downswing saw AUD/USD plunge over 300 points and break below the symbolic 70 level. Market nerves weigh on the Australian dollar Ahead of Wednesday's FOMC rate meeting, risk sentiment is nowhere to be found.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil steady, gold slides
The supply-side squeeze keeps oil prices elevated Oil prices remained almost unchanged overnight, with Brent crude finishing at USD 122.10, and WTI closing at USD 121.10 a barrel. The continuing squeeze on refined products globally, as well as a lack of investment to bring online more supplies from OPEC members, or other sources, means lost Russian production is nowhere near being covered by global markets.
by Jeffrey Halley
Risk aversion boosts US dollar
Higher yields, safety first, sends US dollar higher The dollar index soared overnight, driven by risk aversion, higher yields and ramped-up hiking expectations from the FOMC this week. The dollar index finished 0.97% higher at 105.20, easing slightly in Asia to 105.10.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asian equities fall once again
Markets nerves ahead of FOMC meeting Overnight, panic around rate hike expectations by the Fed increased and US bond yields rose aggressively across the curve. Recessionary fears increased and in the self-fulfilling negative feedback loop created, US equities were once again crushed.
by Jeffrey Halley
The bears come out to play
Equity markets jittery, US dollar soars Things didn’t improve from Friday overnight in New York, as the market scrambled to price in a 0.75% by the FOMC, whose two-day meeting starts today. Among the biggest casualties were the bond market, where yields soared, and the 2/10-year tenor spent part of the day inverted.
by Jeffrey Halley
US Close: Panic ahead of the Fed, S&P 500 back in Bear Market, King Dollar, Oil market to remain very tight, Gold weakens, Crypto crash
US stocks only had one way to go after inflation fears intensified and raised the risk of stronger tightening by the Fed and a much sooner recession. ​ Wall Street is facing a plethora of negative headlines, but the problem is that until we see a deterioration with credit conditions and market functioning, the Fed has the greenlight to tighten as much as possible to get inflation under control. An ugly inflation report is being followed by a ‘ferocious’ COVID outbreak in Beijing that will weigh
by Edward Moya
Aussie sinks as risk sentiment slides
The Australian dollar has started the week with sharp losses. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6933, down 1.55% on the day. US recession fears send Australian dollar tumbling The week ended with a disappointing US inflation report.
by Kenneth Fisher
Action-packed start
We're only a few hours into trading on Monday and already it's been action-packed across the board, setting us up for another blockbuster week. We'll start with equity markets which are in freefall as the reality of high inflation, even faster monetary tightening and a cost-of-living crisis really kick in. Investors spent the last couple of weeks of May asking themselves whether the worst is priced in and they very much now have their answer. We all sensed the change in tone from ECB President L
by Craig Erlam
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