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Canadian dollar higher after solid retail sales
The Canadian dollar has started the week with gains. USD/CAD is trading at 1.2852 in the North American session, down 0.54% on the day. Canada's retail sales sparkle Canada released June retail sales on Friday, and the data was stronger than expected.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD shrugs as German confidence slips
The euro is in positive territory at the start of the week. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0245, up 0.30%. German business confidence sinks The US dollar lost some of its lustre last week and the euro took advantage.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil stays below USD 100, gold recovers
Oil holds below USD 100 ahead of the Fed I'm sure oil traders have their sights set on many of the same events this week, as they try to better grasp the economic threat facing the US and other countries around the world. A recession is the primary downside risk for crude prices and it's all that's keeping them below USD 100 in the short term. A faster path of Fed tightening and disappointing earnings reports from the US this week could trigger further weakness in the oil market although I am sc
by Craig Erlam
Fed and earnings bring cautious optimism
A quiet start to what will otherwise be a lively week in financial markets with particular focus on the US as the Fed meets Wednesday and big tech report earnings. Stock markets are modestly in the green, with a fair amount of straw clutching at play once more. Earnings not being as bad as feared, the Fed only hiking by 75 basis points and China putting together a plan in the hope of averting the next wave of the property crisis is among the reasons being given for stock markets rising.
by Craig Erlam
Yen rebounds on lower US yields
The yen is lower at the start of the week. USD/JPY is trading at 136.53, up 0.34%. For a change, the yen enjoyed a winning week against the dollar, the first in two months.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil dips lower, gold tries to solidify
Oil prices ease in Asia Brent crude and WTI had another choppy intra-day session on Friday, but like currency markets, closed almost unchanged as the dust settled on the day. ​ Futures markets remain deeply in backwardation, suggesting that in the real world, prompt supplies are as tight as ever, however rising recession fears globally do suggest that gains are likely to be limited in the shorter-term, geopolitics aside.
by Jeffrey Halley
US dollar moves higher in Asia
US dollar edges higher The US dollar has moved slightly higher in Asia today versus both the DM and Asia FX space, most likely due to the Russian attack on Odessa over the weekend. Friday saw a noisy session, with large intra-day trading ranges versus the major currencies.
by Jeffrey Halley
OANDA Market Insights Podcast (Episode 356)
Senior Market Analyst Jeffrey Halley talks about news impacting the market and the week ahead. In this week's action-packed episode, all eyes are on Wednesday's US FOMC policy meeting. Where goes US monetary policy goes the world, it could be argued, but a LOT is happening this week ex-FOMC.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asian equity markets mostly softer
Asia markets in cautious mode Wall Street unwound some of its gains on Friday, as investors lightened positions ahead of the weekend ahead of heavyweight US earnings this week and recession nerves. The S&P 500 finished 0.93% lower, the Nasdaq slumped by 1.87%, and the Dow Jones eased by 0.43%.
by Jeffrey Halley
FOMC week finally
Will FOMC opt for 75bp hike? This month has dragged on and seems to be lasting forever. One reason could be that it is my last full month as a keyboard warrior, toiling as the voice of reason as I try to make sense of the nonsense in the financial markets.
by Jeffrey Halley
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 355)
Jonny Hart looks back on the week's business and markets news with OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya in New York.  This week they talk about the ECB's ending of negative rates, the SARB policy decision, the restart of Nord Stream 1, and what is happening in crypto markets.  They also discuss what the week ahead has in store for financial markets.
by Edward Moya
Week Ahead - Bring on the Fed
Europe took centre stage last week as leaders waited nervously to see if gas would start flowing through Nord Stream 1 again following scheduled maintenance (it did) and the ECB raised its deposit rate to 0%, ending eight years of negative rates. Next week the focus switches back to the US which has a big interest rate decision of its own and a number of major earnings reports.
by Craig Erlam
Mid-Market Update: Global PMIs collapse, Relief Rally will be tested next week, Mixed Earnings, Oil finds support, Gold shines, Bitcoin steadies
US stocks are under pressure as recession fears run wild as business activity contracts and the labor market shows signs of weakness. Wall Street is seeing mixed earnings as social media companies are seeing softer advertising revenues, the US consumer is struggling to pay their phone bills, while American Express says their premium customers are more resilient to inflation. ​ The US consumer is quickly weakening and if the job market cools quickly, the market will start to fear a recession coul
by Edward Moya
Making sense of it all
European stocks are modestly higher on Friday, with Wall Street looking a little flat ahead of the open. A choppy end to the week pretty much sums up how the rest of it has been, as investors have had to make sense of a wide range of data, earnings, rate decisions and geopolitical developments. And all at a time when there is immense uncertainty around the economic outlook as a result of inflation, Covid and the war in Ukraine. Most central banks have come around to the idea that aggressive tigh
by Craig Erlam
Oil prices fall, gold higher as yields drop
Oil slips further amid recession talk Oil prices are heading lower for a third day, with WTI now closer to USD 90 a barrel than USD 100. Perhaps a surprising twist considering the remaining tightness in the market but also a further sign that investors are increasingly coming around to the idea of a recession in the not-too-distant future.
by Craig Erlam
Euro unable to hold onto ECB gains
The euro has reversed directions today and fallen below the 1.02 line. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0188, down 0.42%. ECB surprises with 50bp hike The markets were glued to the ECB meeting on Thursday, uncertain as to whether the rate lift-off would be a 25bp or 50bp hike.
by Kenneth Fisher
Pound edges lower as retail sales fall
The British pound is in negative territory today and has fallen below the 1.2000 line. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.1956, down 0.23%. Retail sales slide in June A busy economic calendar in the UK has wrapped up, with a host of releases.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil falls, gold vulnerable
Oil prices fall overnight Brent crude and WTI had another session of 5.0% intraday ranges overnight, closing quite a bit lower than their opening levels. Global recession fears and the resumption of Russian gas flows to Europe seem to have been the catalyst, although I am sure that trading volatility recently is reducing liquidity as well, exacerbating movers.
by Jeffrey Halley
The end of a messy week
ECB surprise, Nord Stream gas reopens Volatility was the winner overnight, with a multitude of data points and events leaving market price action messier than a teenager's bedroom. The European Central Bank surprised markets by lifting policy rates by 0.50%, ending over a decade of negative interest rates.
by Jeffrey Halley
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