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Euro stablizes after sharp slide
The euro has edged higher on Wednesday, after sliding over 1% yesterday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0147, up 0.29% on the day. All eyes on Federal Reserve The markets are eagerly awaiting the FOMC decision later today.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil trades around USD 100, gold edges higher
Oil hovers amid recession chat Oil prices are cautiously higher again on Wednesday, with Brent trading around USD 100 and WTI a little below. It's interesting that the recession narrative is having a significant impact on the crude price, even as the market remains extremely tight.
by Craig Erlam
Navigating an uncertain future
European stocks are modestly higher on Wednesday, while US futures are making slightly better gains on the back of tech earnings relief. We're in the midst of a critical 48-hour period for the markets and already there's so much to process. And that's before we even get to the Fed which is undoubtedly the headline event this week. Tech shares are expected to open strongly, with Microsoft and Alphabet both more than 3% higher in pre-market despite a rare miss on revenue and earnings.
by Craig Erlam
Aussie shrugs after inflation report
The Australian dollar has edged higher on Wednesday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6950 in European trade. CPI rises, but less than expected Australia's inflation rate accelerated in the second quarter, but the market reaction was muted, as the 6.1% gain was a notch below the estimate of 6.2%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil in choppy waters, gold directionless
Oil trades in a choppy range Oil prices finished almost unchanged overnight, but that belied another large range intraday, with both contracts moving sharply higher before reversing. Russia’s moves on European natural gas continue to underpin prices, while global recession fears continue acting as a headwind. Brent crude finished almost unchanged at USD 104.60, easing slightly to USD 104.45 in muted Asian trading.
by Jeffrey Halley
US dollar eyes FOMC decision
Currency markets range-trade overnight It was another night of range trading for currency markets overnight, which seem reluctant to aggressively position until the FOMC is out of the way. One exception was the euro, which fell heavily on natural gas-derived recession fears.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asian equities ignore US futures reversal
Asia follows Wall Street's drop Wall Street fell during the main session overnight, as Walmart’s result and soft US confidence and housing data heightened recessionary fears and dampened sentiment. The S&P 500 finished 1.15% lower, the Nasdaq tumbled 1.87% lower, with the Dow Jones losing 0.74%.
by Jeffrey Halley
We're here, finally
Markets expecting 75bp hike After what seems like an interminable wait, we are finally at FOMC day, and the last one I shall be covering as the voice of reason in this missive. Markets have baked another 75 basis points into their loaves of bread, but it's going to be all about what the Fed and Jerome Powell say and not what they do.
by Jeffrey Halley
Stocks drop on soft data and string of cautious earnings outlooks, downbeat earnings, potential SEC probe on Coinbase sinks crypto
US stocks declined after a wrath of gloomy corporate outlooks made it seem like this current wave of growth concerns would send this economy quickly into a recession. Risk appetite is struggling here as European gas prices are skyrocketing, multinationals are complaining of a troubling macro environment, and consumer confidence plunges.
by Edward Moya
Oil punches above USD 100, gold slips
Recession the primary downside risk There's naturally a lot of focus on the energy market right now, with Gazprom reducing gas flows to Europe via Nord Stream 1 to only 20% from tomorrow. The news didn't come as a massive shock even if it did trigger a 10% spike in the price.
by Craig Erlam
Pessimism creeping back in
We're seeing a little more pessimism in the markets on Tuesday as conditions remain choppy ahead of this evening's tech earnings and the Fed tomorrow.   It's impossible to ignore what's to come over the next couple of days and the warning from Walmart has just added to some of the anxiety that was already evident. This earnings season will be anything but straightforward and we should prepare for some disappointments even against the backdrop of low expectations.   The Fed has an extremely t
by Craig Erlam
Euro slides on Nord Stream squeeze
The euro has taken a nasty tumble today. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0144, down 0.76%. Nord Stream 1 reduced to 20% capacity The energy crisis surrounding Nord Stream 1, a key channel for Russian gas exports to Europe continues to simmer.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian CPI expected to rise
The Australian dollar has edged lower today. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6937, down 0.15% on the day. Markets brace for higher CPI Australia releases second-quarter CPI on Wednesday, with the markets expecting a sharp acceleration in inflation,  which could wake up the sleepy Australian dollar.
by Kenneth Fisher
Walmart pushes Asia slightly lower
Asian equity markets are slightly softer after Walmart results US markets had a mixed session overnight, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones booking small gains while the Nasdaq fell. Overall, the picture was of continued range-trading, and investors positioning themselves for the earnings run this week, as well as the FOMC.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil rises on Nord Stream, gold drifting
Russia lifts oil prices Russia has further reduced gas flows to Germany overnight, which is threatening to unwind oil’s move lower on Nord Stream 1 reopening. As that reality set in, Brent crude rose 1.20% to USD 104.85, and WTI gained 1.30% to USD 96.25 a barrel.
by Jeffrey Halley
Currency markets range-trade overnight
Will US dollar resume downward correction? Currency markets range-traded overnight, with very little to show in either the G-10, Asia FX, or EM space. The technical picture on the dollar index, however, is testing the bottom of its rising wedge, and it is shouting that the US dollar correction lower still has legs.
by Jeffrey Halley
The waiting game
Markets eye earnings, FOMC meeting As expected, markets were quiet overnight ahead of a deluge of tier-1 earnings, data, and the US FOMC policy decision over the rest of the week. Equity, currency, oil, and precious metals markets were content to range trade, with only bitcoin showing some life, falling by nearly 6.0%.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil finds support, gold looks vulnerable
Oil After a rough few weeks, crude prices are showing signs of stabilization around the mid-USD 90s as the oil market still remains tight despite another wave of weakening economic data in the US and Europe. ​ This week is all about geopolitics and the Fed for oil prices and that means, oil might struggle to make fresh lows. Global recession calls were supported by economic data from Germany that showed business confidence plunged to the lowest levels since early in the pandemic and after a wrat
by Edward Moya
Operation Hike to a hopefully a mild recession, Nord Stream flows to drop, cryptos drop
US stocks traded mixed ahead of both a pivotal week for corporate earnings and a Fed policy decision that will confirm its aggressive inflation-fighting stance. ​ Investors won’t want to touch Nasdaq stocks until we hear from Alphabet tomorrow and if they don’t like what they hear they may wait to see Thursday’s massive results from Apple and Amazon provide any reasons to be optimistic with tech stocks.
by Edward Moya
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