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Oil in choppy waters, gold directionless

Oil trades in a choppy range Oil prices finished almost unchanged overnight, but that belied another large range intraday, with both contracts moving sharply higher before reversing. Russia’s moves on European natural gas continue to underpin prices, while global recession fears continue acting as a headwind. Brent crude finished almost unchanged at USD 104.60, easing slightly to USD 104.45 in muted Asian trading.

27-07-2022 04:58 GMT by Jeffrey Halley

US dollar eyes FOMC decision

Currency markets range-trade overnight It was another night of range trading for currency markets overnight, which seem reluctant to aggressively position until the FOMC is out of the way. One exception was the euro, which fell heavily on natural gas-derived recession fears.

27-07-2022 04:52 GMT by Jeffrey Halley

Asian equities ignore US futures reversal

Asia follows Wall Street's drop Wall Street fell during the main session overnight, as Walmart’s result and soft US confidence and housing data heightened recessionary fears and dampened sentiment. The S&P 500 finished 1.15% lower, the Nasdaq tumbled 1.87% lower, with the Dow Jones losing 0.74%.

27-07-2022 04:46 GMT by Jeffrey Halley

We're here, finally

Markets expecting 75bp hike After what seems like an interminable wait, we are finally at FOMC day, and the last one I shall be covering as the voice of reason in this missive. Markets have baked another 75 basis points into their loaves of bread, but it's going to be all about what the Fed and Jerome Powell say and not what they do.

27-07-2022 04:35 GMT by Jeffrey Halley

Oil stumbles on recession worries, gold awaits FOMC decision

Oil Mounting recession worries are currently trumping how tight the physical crude market remains. Crude prices tumbled after countless warnings from corporate America and after consumer confidence tumbled to the lowest levels since February 2021.

26-07-2022 15:02 GMT by Edward Moya

Stocks drop on soft data and string of cautious earnings outlooks, downbeat earnings, potential SEC probe on Coinbase sinks crypto

US stocks declined after a wrath of gloomy corporate outlooks made it seem like this current wave of growth concerns would send this economy quickly into a recession. Risk appetite is struggling here as European gas prices are skyrocketing, multinationals are complaining of a troubling macro environment, and consumer confidence plunges.

26-07-2022 14:58 GMT by Edward Moya

Oil punches above USD 100, gold slips

Recession the primary downside risk There's naturally a lot of focus on the energy market right now, with Gazprom reducing gas flows to Europe via Nord Stream 1 to only 20% from tomorrow. The news didn't come as a massive shock even if it did trigger a 10% spike in the price.

26-07-2022 13:03 GMT by Craig Erlam

Pessimism creeping back in

We're seeing a little more pessimism in the markets on Tuesday as conditions remain choppy ahead of this evening's tech earnings and the Fed tomorrow. It's impossible to ignore what's to come over the next couple of days and the warning from Walmart has just added to some of the anxiety that was already evident. This earnings season will be anything but straightforward and we should prepare for some disappointments even against the backdrop of low expectations. The Fed has an extremely t

26-07-2022 12:59 GMT by Craig Erlam

Euro slides on Nord Stream squeeze

The euro has taken a nasty tumble today. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0144, down 0.76%. Nord Stream 1 reduced to 20% capacity The energy crisis surrounding Nord Stream 1, a key channel for Russian gas exports to Europe continues to simmer.

26-07-2022 09:36 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Australian CPI expected to rise

The Australian dollar has edged lower today. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6937, down 0.15% on the day. Markets brace for higher CPI Australia releases second-quarter CPI on Wednesday, with the markets expecting a sharp acceleration in inflation, which could wake up the sleepy Australian dollar.

26-07-2022 06:13 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Walmart pushes Asia slightly lower

Asian equity markets are slightly softer after Walmart results US markets had a mixed session overnight, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones booking small gains while the Nasdaq fell. Overall, the picture was of continued range-trading, and investors positioning themselves for the earnings run this week, as well as the FOMC.

26-07-2022 04:21 GMT by Jeffrey Halley

Oil rises on Nord Stream, gold drifting

Russia lifts oil prices Russia has further reduced gas flows to Germany overnight, which is threatening to unwind oil’s move lower on Nord Stream 1 reopening. As that reality set in, Brent crude rose 1.20% to USD 104.85, and WTI gained 1.30% to USD 96.25 a barrel.

26-07-2022 04:16 GMT by Jeffrey Halley

Currency markets range-trade overnight

Will US dollar resume downward correction? Currency markets range-traded overnight, with very little to show in either the G-10, Asia FX, or EM space. The technical picture on the dollar index, however, is testing the bottom of its rising wedge, and it is shouting that the US dollar correction lower still has legs.

26-07-2022 04:01 GMT by Jeffrey Halley

The waiting game

Markets eye earnings, FOMC meeting As expected, markets were quiet overnight ahead of a deluge of tier-1 earnings, data, and the US FOMC policy decision over the rest of the week. Equity, currency, oil, and precious metals markets were content to range trade, with only bitcoin showing some life, falling by nearly 6.0%.

26-07-2022 03:29 GMT by Jeffrey Halley

Oil finds support, gold looks vulnerable

Oil After a rough few weeks, crude prices are showing signs of stabilization around the mid-USD 90s as the oil market still remains tight despite another wave of weakening economic data in the US and Europe. This week is all about geopolitics and the Fed for oil prices and that means, oil might struggle to make fresh lows. Global recession calls were supported by economic data from Germany that showed business confidence plunged to the lowest levels since early in the pandemic and after a wrat

25-07-2022 14:15 GMT by Edward Moya

Operation Hike to a hopefully a mild recession, Nord Stream flows to drop, cryptos drop

US stocks traded mixed ahead of both a pivotal week for corporate earnings and a Fed policy decision that will confirm its aggressive inflation-fighting stance. Investors won’t want to touch Nasdaq stocks until we hear from Alphabet tomorrow and if they don’t like what they hear they may wait to see Thursday’s massive results from Apple and Amazon provide any reasons to be optimistic with tech stocks.

25-07-2022 14:10 GMT by Edward Moya

Canadian dollar higher after solid retail sales

The Canadian dollar has started the week with gains. USD/CAD is trading at 1.2852 in the North American session, down 0.54% on the day. Canada's retail sales sparkle Canada released June retail sales on Friday, and the data was stronger than expected.

25-07-2022 10:35 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

EUR/USD shrugs as German confidence slips

The euro is in positive territory at the start of the week. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0245, up 0.30%. German business confidence sinks The US dollar lost some of its lustre last week and the euro took advantage.

25-07-2022 09:41 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Oil stays below USD 100, gold recovers

Oil holds below USD 100 ahead of the Fed I'm sure oil traders have their sights set on many of the same events this week, as they try to better grasp the economic threat facing the US and other countries around the world. A recession is the primary downside risk for crude prices and it's all that's keeping them below USD 100 in the short term. A faster path of Fed tightening and disappointing earnings reports from the US this week could trigger further weakness in the oil market although I am sc

25-07-2022 08:59 GMT by Craig Erlam

Fed and earnings bring cautious optimism

A quiet start to what will otherwise be a lively week in financial markets with particular focus on the US as the Fed meets Wednesday and big tech report earnings. Stock markets are modestly in the green, with a fair amount of straw clutching at play once more. Earnings not being as bad as feared, the Fed only hiking by 75 basis points and China putting together a plan in the hope of averting the next wave of the property crisis is among the reasons being given for stock markets rising.

25-07-2022 08:56 GMT by Craig Erlam

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