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Crude demand outlook takes a hit, gold stumbles on strong dollar
Oil Oil bulls thought they were in the clear, but ‘just when they thought they were out, they pull me back in.’ ​ Oil’s true enemy is global growth fears and they are not going away anytime soon. ​ In addition to a weakening crude demand outlook, Iran reportedly gave into a ‘red line demand’ that might be a gamechanger in reviving the elusive nuclear deal.
by Edward Moya
Europe’s energy crisis, Jackson Hole, crypto resilience
This was supposed to be a quiet Monday, but inflation pressures are heating up again over Europe’s troubling energy crisis, crop shortages from severe heat and droughts, and production shutdowns in China. Stocks are declining as it looks like inflation will continue to rise and that should keep the Fed staying hawkish. Energy Crisis Europe’s recession is a foregone conclusion, especially as the risks of disruptions for energy supplies remain elevated. ​ Maintenance for Nord Stream 1 is a big ris
by Edward Moya
Euro slides to 20-year low
It was a case of the Monday morning blues for the euro. The week started with EUR/USD falling below parity, a psychologically significant line.
by Kenneth Fisher
Yen falls to 137 as US dollar shines
The Japanese yen is drifting at the start of the week. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at the 137 line. The US dollar flexed some muscles last week, posting strong gains against the major currencies.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil slips, gold under pressure
Oil choppy as traders await JCPOA decision Oil prices are off more than 1% this morning as choppy trade continues. There remain many factors influencing the oil price right now from a tight market to a diminishing growth outlook and a potential Iran nuclear deal.
by Craig Erlam
Nervously awaiting Jackson Hole
Stock markets are off to a bad start on Monday as investors question whether the recovery trade has gone too far. Last week brought an end to the late summer winning streak that saw stock markets recover a significant - and some would argue overly so - portion of the losses endured this year. And it seems that has set the tone going into this week, with Asia and Europe posting losses of more than 1% and US futures pointing to a similar open. Naturally, all eyes are on Jackson Hole later in the w
by Craig Erlam
Cdn. dollar down despite solid retail sales
The Canadian dollar is coming off a rough week, as USD/CAD climbed 1.70%. In today's European session, USD/CAD is trading at the 1.30 line. Canadian retail sales beats estimate Canadian retail sales jumped 1.1% in June, which was much stronger than the 0.3% forecast.
by Kenneth Fisher
Week Ahead - On to Jackson Hole
Jackson Hole has been heavily discussed since the Fed's supposed "dovish pivot" last month when it adopted a more data-dependent stance. While policymakers have pushed back against the idea of a pivot, markets have continued to price in a slower path of tightening.
by Craig Erlam
Oil remains steady, gold under pressure
Are oil prices stabilising? Oil prices are paring yesterday's gains in what is yet another volatile session and week. The list of downside risks has definitely grown lately, with growth certainly top of it.
by Craig Erlam
Winning streak coming to an end?
Asia has ended the week in negative territory while Europe and the US may be on course to end their winning streaks amid choppy trade. August can often be an odd time for the markets, with summer holiday's often leading to reduced activity and interest. Of course, these days a quiet week in the markets is hard to come by and this week has certainly not been without drama.
by Craig Erlam
USD/CAD eyes 130, retail sales next
The Canadian dollar is lower for a third straight day. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.2984, up 0.29% on the day. Markets brace for soft Canadian retail sales The US dollar has rebounded this week against the majors, including the Canadian dollar. USD/CAD is on the verge of breaking above the 1.30 line, which has held firm since July 18th.
by Kenneth Fisher
Yen slide continues as inflation rises
The struggling Japanese yen is in negative territory for a fourth straight day. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 136.71, up 0.61%. Japanese Core CPI hits 14-year high Japan's core inflation continued to accelerate, with a gain of 2.4% YoY in July.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil gains ground, gold struggling
Oil rallies after strong US numbers Oil prices rallied after another round of impressive US economic data boosted optimism for an improving crude demand outlook. The US economy still looks good and China’s economy could be ready to bounce back fairly soon.  Momentum from yesterday’s bullish EIA crude oil inventory still lingers, but technical resistance at the $90 a barrel level is capping WTI’s rally for now. OPEC Secretary General Al Ghais reminded energy traders that OPEC could be in a posi
by Edward Moya
Mixed session for stocks, Bed Bath & Beyond mania, bitcoin in vacation mode
US stocks traded mixed as investors grappled with relatively strong US economic data that might keep the door open for aggressive Fed tightening for the rest of the year.  The economy still looks good as the housing market continues to cool.  Initial jobless claims dipped, easing concerns a little bit that the labor market was starting to head in the wrong direction.  The Philly Fed Business Outlook was a nice surprise given the disastrous Empire manufacturing survey from the beginning of the we
by Edward Moya
Oil rebounds, gold tries to form a range
Oil Oil prices rallied after another round of impressive US economic data boosted optimism for an improving crude demand outlook. The US economy still looks good and China’s economy could be ready to bounce back fairly soon.  Momentum from yesterday’s bullish EIA crude oil inventory still lingers, but technical resistance at the $90 a barrel level is capping WTI’s rally for now. OPEC Secretary General Al Ghais reminded energy traders that OPEC could be in a position to cut production if needed.
by Edward Moya
USD/JPY eyes Japanese CPI
It hasn't been a good week for the Japanese yen, as USD/JPY has climbed 1.24%. The yen is almost unchanged today, trading at 135.16. Japan wraps up the week with a key inflation release on Friday.
by Kenneth Fisher
British dips below 1.20, retail sales next
The British pound continues to lose ground and has fallen below the 1.20 line for the first time since July 26th. GBP/USD is trading at 1.1996 in the North American session, down 0.47%. Pound eyes UK retail sales It has been a busy economic calendar in the UK this week.
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 366)
Jonny Hart discusses what is driving markets today with OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya in New York.  This week they talk about the yesterday's US retail sales report, UK inflation and BOE rate hike expectations, Elon Musk's tweet about buying Manchester United, and Ethereum's outperformance to Bitcoin.
by Edward Moya
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