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UK inflation jumps to 3%, pound eyes FOMC minutes
The British pound continues to have an uneventful week.  In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2595, down 0.13% on the day. UK inflation hits 3% in January Consumer inflation in the UK rose to 3% y/y in January, a sharp rise from the 2.5% gain in December and higher than the market estimate of 2.8%.  This was the highest level since March 2024 and was driven by price increases in transportation, fuel and food.  Monthly, CPI decreased by 0.1%, following a 0.4% gain in December and abov
by Kenneth Fisher
New Zealand central bank lowers rates by 50 bps, New Zealand dollar gains ground
The New Zealand dollar has posted gains on Wednesday.  NZD/USD is trading at 0.5721 in the European session, up 0.31% on the day. RBNZ chops rates by 50 bps as expected The Reserve Bank of New Zealand slashed the cash rate by 50 basis points, bringing the cash rate to 3.75%.  The markets had priced in the cut at 90% so there was no surprise at the jumbo cut.  This lowered the cash rate to its lowest level since Nov. 2022.  The RBNZ demonstrated again that it can be aggressive, as it h
by Kenneth Fisher
S&P 500 Records All-Time Highs Led by Chipmakers, Dow Jones (DJIA) Seesaw Continues
The S&P 500 reached new all-time highs, driven by a late-session rally in chipmakers, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average showed mixed movements. President Trump has proposed new tariffs, potentially targeting the Pharmaceuticals and Automobiles sectors with a 25% tariff rate. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes and S&P PMI data releases are upcoming and expected to provide further insights into the Fed's monetary policy stance.
by Zain Vawda
Gold (XAU/USD) Eyes Fresh Highs, US-Russia Talks Fail to Quell Haven Demand
Geopolitical tensions continue to support gold prices despite talks between the US and Russia, and a potential phase two deal between Israel and Hamas. Gold has held above the $2900/oz level to start the week, but the RSI indicates it is in overbought territory. The article identifies key support levels for gold at 2924, 2913, and 2882, and resistance levels at 2937, 2942, and 2950.
by Zain Vawda
New Zealand dollar slips ahead of expected RBNZ cut
The New Zealand dollar is sharply lower on Tuesday.  NZD/USD is trading at 0.5700 in the North American session, down 0.62% on the day. RBNZ expected to chop rates by 50 basis points The Reserve Bank of New Zealand meets on Wednesday for the first time this year.  The RBNZ lowered rates by a half-point at the last meeting on Nov. 27 and the markets have priced in another half-point cut on Wednesday at 90%, which would bring the cash rate down to 3.75%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Canada's CPI expected to remain under 2 percent
The Canadian dollar is calm on Tuesday.  In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4194, up 0.08%. Canada's CPI expected to creep up to 1.9% Canada releases the January inflation report later today and headline inflation is expected to edge higher to 1.9% from 1.8% in December, which was a three-month low.  Headline inflation has remained at or below the 2% target for five consecutive months but that does not mean that inflation worries are over.
by Kenneth Fisher
RBA finally lowers rates, Aussie shrugs
The Australian dollar is drifting on Tuesday after three straight days of gains.  In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.63671, up 0.09% on the day. RBA lowers rates to 4.1% The Reserve Bank of Australia cut the cash rate by a quarter-point on Tuesday to 4.10%.  The decision was widely expected and the Australian dollar has shown little reaction.  Still, the move is a milestone, as the RBA delivered its first rate cut in over four years.
by Kenneth Fisher
AUD/NZD: Further Aussie outperformance over Kiwi supported by a weaker New Zealand labour market
New Zealand's unemployment rate has accelerated to 5.1% in Q4 2024, a whisker below its Covid peak of 5.2% while Australia’s unemployment rate remained stable at 4%. A further steepening of yield spreads between Australian and New Zealand sovereign bonds may trigger further upside in the AUD/NZD cross rate. Watch the 1.0980 key medium-term support on AUD/NZD. This week, the Antipodean countries’ central banks will decide their respective monetary policy; Australia’s RBA on Tuesday, 18 February,
by Kelvin Wong
British pound eye jobs report
The British pound is showing little movement on Monday.  In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2592, up 0.06% on the day. UK job growth expected to plunge The markets are bracing for a sharp decline in employment in the three months to December, with a forecast of -130 thousand.  This follows an increase of 36 thousand in the three months to November.  Job growth has posted eight consecutive three-month periods of growth and the resilient labor market has eased pressure on the B
by Kenneth Fisher
Yen extends gains on strong GDP
The Japanese yen continues to roll against the US dollar and has posted gains for a third straight trading day, gaining 1.9% during that time. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 151.43, down 0.53% on the day. Japan's Q4 GDP beats estimate Japan's GDP in the fourth quarter rose 0.7% q/q, blowing past the market estimate of 0.3% and above the upwardly revised 0.4% gain in the third quarter.
by Kenneth Fisher
RBA poised to cut rates, Aussie edges higher
The Australian dollar is higher for a third consecutive trading day. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6363, up 0.25% on the day.  Earlier, AUD/USD climbed as high as 0.6373, its highest level this year. RBA expected to cut rates to 4.1% The Reserve Bank of Australia meets on Feb.
by Kenneth Fisher
Swiss franc soars as Trump pushes off tariffs
The Swiss franc has steadied on Friday after sliding 1.1% a day earlier.  In the European session, USD/CHF is trading at 0.9016, down 0.16% on the day. The US dollar beat a hasty retreat against the major currencies on Thursday, after the White House announced that the US would not impose reciprocal tariffs before April 1.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZ dollar extends gains after strong mfg. data
The New Zealand dollar continues to rally on Friday.  NZD/USD is trading at 0.5702 in the European session, up 0.43% on the day. Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly expands New Zealand's Manufacturing PMI rose to 51.4 in January, up sharply from the December reading of 45.9 and above the market estimate of 46.0.  This was a milestone reading as it marked the first expansion in almost two years and was the highest level since September 2022.  All key sub-categories posted growth, including new
by Kenneth Fisher
Aussie inflation expectations jump, AUD higher
The Australian dollar has edged higher on Thursday.  In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6292, up 0.22% on the day. Australian consumer inflation expectations jump Consumer inflation expectations in Australia climbed sharply to 4.6% in February, compared to 4% a month earlier. This blew past the forecast of 3.8% and marked the highest reading since April 2024.
by Kenneth Fisher
UK GDP beats forecast, gives sterling a lift
The British pound has edged higher on Thursday.  GBP/USD is trading at 1.2460, up 0.15% on the day. UK GDP beats forecast The UK economy ended 2024 on a high note, as GDP rose 0.4% m/m in December. This was the fastest pace of growth in nine months and blew past the market estimate of 01.%.
by Kenneth Fisher
New Zealand dollar calm after inflation expectations ease
The New Zealand dollar is drifting on Thursday.  NZD/USD is trading at 0.5639 in the European session, down 0.04% on the day. NZ inflation expectations dip to 2.06% in Q1 2025 New Zealand business inflation expectations didn't show much change in the first quarter.  Two-year inflation expectations, which are closely monitored by the central bank, edged lower to 2.06%, compared to 2.12% in the fourth quarter of 2024 and higher than the forecast of 1.8%.  The business sector expects inflat
by Kenneth Fisher
Germany DAX Technical: Bullish acceleration towards fresh all-time highs
The current bullish trend in the German stock market is supported by positive momentum, market breadth & intermarket dynamics. The DAX and Hang Seng Index (HSI) have a high direct correlation where a further bullish move in HSI may trigger a positive feedback loop into the DAX. Watch the 21,100 key medium-term pivotal support on the DAX. The latest key economic data for January such as manufacturing PMI and consumer confidence in the Eurozone and Germany, one of the anchor European economies a
by Kelvin Wong
US CPI higher than expected, dollar strengthens
Join OANDA Market Analyst Kenny Fisher & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets.
by Kenneth Fisher
Dow Jones (DJIA) Analysis: Inflation Impact and Market Recovery
The Dow Jones initially fell following a US inflation report but recovered somewhat. US consumer prices saw their biggest jump in over a year, supporting the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates. Fed Chair Powell cautioned against reading too much into the inflation data, citing the PCE inflation gauge as the preferred measure. Uncertainty remains in the markets regarding how tariffs will impact global growth and inflation. The Dow Jones fell around 400 points on Wednesday following a hot
by Zain Vawda
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