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Swissie drifting ahead of inflation release
The Swiss franc is showing little movement for a second straight day. In the North American session, USD/CHF is trading at 0.9993, down 0.03%. Swiss consumer sentiment remains in deep-freeze Consumer confidence fell in the October survey to -47, down from -42 in the previous quarter.
by Kenneth Fisher
The dovish pivot
We're unsurprisingly seeing some caution in financial markets on Wednesday as we await the Federal Reserve rate decision. Markets have heavily priced in a 75 basis point rate hike from the FOMC and there doesn't appear to be any doubt about that outcome. The communication that accompanies it is where the interest is, with increasing numbers anticipating a hint at a slower pace from December. In many ways that would make a lot of sense.
by Craig Erlam
Oil steady, gold eyes FOMC
Oil steady after Chinese rumours fuel surge Oil prices are relatively flat, trading with some caution on Wednesday after another decent move higher the day before. The prospect of fewer restrictions in China is certainly a good reason for the move on Tuesday, assuming of course there's any actual truth or substance to it. Broadly speaking though, it continues to trade around the middle of what appears to be the newly established range between $90 and $100, in the case of Brent.
by Craig Erlam
Euro shrugs after soft manufacturing data
EUR/USD is in positive territory today. In the European session, the euro is trading at 0.9905, up 0.32%. German, eurozone manufacturing PMIs fall The manufacturing sector in the eurozone continues to struggle, as PMIs in Spain, Italy and France slowed in October and remained in contraction territory, with readings below 50.0.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZ dollar jumps on solid jobs report
NZD/USD is sharply higher today. In the European session, the New Zealand dollar is trading at 0.5883, up 0.71%. New Zealand employment data shines New Zealand posted a strong employment report for the third quarter, indicative of a robust labour market.
by Kenneth Fisher
Aussie climbs despite weak mfg. data
AUD/USD has posted strong gains today. In the European session, the Australian dollar is trading at 0.6424, up 0.48%. The Australian dollar rose as much as 0.80% after the Reserve Bank of Australia raised rates by 25 basis points on Tuesday, but couldn't consolidate and ended the day virtually unchanged. Lowe urges caution The RBA rate hike raised the cash rate to 2.85%, its highest level since April 2013.
by Kenneth Fisher
Stocks drop as labor market stays hot, ISM softens, bitcoin vulnerable if Fed stays hawkish
US stocks are struggling here as the labor market refuses to cool, which should prevent the Fed from delivering a dovish hike tomorrow. ​ Wage pressures are not going away anytime soon and that will prevent inflation from cooling. ​ Wall Street saw a major reversal after another round of economic data showed the labor market remains robust and that could keep the door open for the Fed to remain aggressive with tightening in December. ​ Momentum was building on expectations for the Fed to downshi
by Edward Moya
Crude rallies on China reopening hopes, gold pares gain after JOLTS data
Oil Crude prices jumped after rumors that China was preparing for a full reopening in March 2023. Oil is looking bullish again as it did a decent job holding onto gains despite a strong reversal with king dollar. ​ Risks to energy supplies remain elevated after reports that Iran was planning an attack on targets that include Saudi Arabia and Northern Iraq. ​ The news was not all bullish for crude prices as the Atlanta Fed GDPNow lowered their GDP forecast from 3.1% to 2.6%.
by Edward Moya
Euro pares gains
EUR/USD posted strong gains earlier but was unable to consolidate. In the European session, the euro is trading at 0.9885, up 0.01%. The ECB's delivered a jumbo rate hike of 75 basis points last week, bringing the benchmark rate to 2.0%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Recovering ahead of the Fed
Another volatile session in store in financial markets as we await the next move from the Fed amid rising expectations of a dovish pivot to close out the year. While a 75 basis point hike looks locked in tomorrow, the messaging is what investors are interested in. Despite inflation remaining at eye-watering levels, there's a growing belief that the central bank will signal a desire to ease off the brake over the following few meetings starting with a 50bps hike in December. It may come too late
by Craig Erlam
Oil steady, gold edges higher
Oil steadies amid bullish OPEC forecasts Oil prices are higher once more on Tuesday, with Brent and WTI up close to 1.5%. Little has changed over the last week on the oil front, with the price appearing to stabilize after a pretty turbulent period. OPEC released its 2022 oil market report on Monday and sees demand continuing to grow in the coming years.
by Craig Erlam
Oil lower on demand fears, gold hurt by strong dollar
Oil Crude prices pared losses after energy traders were reminded that while the market might flip to a surplus next quarter, OPEC will keep prices supported. ​ The release of the OPEC 2022 world oil outlook still supports both medium and long-term cases for higher prices.
by Edward Moya
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 392)
Jonny Hart looks back on last week's business and markets news with OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya in New York.  This week they talk about Brazil's presidential election, global manufacturing weakness, and crypto resilience.  They also discuss what the week ahead has in store for financial markets.
by Edward Moya
Sterling sinks at start of week
After a splendid week, in which GBP/USD jumped 2.8%, the pound has reversed directions and is sharply lower today. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.1489, down 1.07% on the day. Markets eye Bank of England The Bank of England is on track to deliver its largest interest rate hike since 1989 on Thursday.
by Kenneth Fisher
Huge uncertainty
Uncertainty sums up the feeling in the markets at the moment and that is perfectly highlighted by the moves seen on the opening day of the week. Equity markets in Asia were a mixed bag, with the Shanghai Composite and Hang Seng making decent losses while those elsewhere made steady gains. Europe is slightly in the green as we move towards the close while the US is a sea of red, with tech shares being hit particularly hard. There's going to be a lot to take in this week, from the Fed on Wednesday
by Craig Erlam
Oil eases, gold choppy
Oil eases Oil prices are a little lower today although nothing has dramatically changed in recent weeks as far as the outlook is concerned. The global economy is facing major challenges, even recession, OPEC+ is prepared to make unpopular cuts alongside member Russia, whose war in Ukraine has been a dominant driver of market volatility.
by Craig Erlam
Aussie extends losses ahead of RBA meeting
AUD/USD is down for a third straight day. The Australian dollar is trading at 0.6395, down 0.24%. Will RBA deliver a 0.50% hike? The RBA kicks off a busy week of central bank decisions when it meets on Tuesday.
by Kenneth Fisher
Japanese yen falls to 148
All eyes were on the Bank of Japan rate meeting, which wrapped up on Friday. It was business as usual for the BoJ, which maintained its dovish stance.
by Kenneth Fisher
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