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Canadian dollar calm ahead of BoC, US inflation

The Canadian dollar posted gains earlier but couldn't consolidate. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4439, up 0.03% on the day. Bank of Canada likely to cut by 25 bps It's decision day at the Bank of Canada, which is widely expected to lower rates by 25 basis points. This would lower the cash rate to 2.75%, its lowest level since July 2022. The BoC has been aggressive and has lowered rates at six straight meetings, chopping 200 basis points during that time. The economy remains

12-03-2025 05:50 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Markets steady after Monday sell-off

Join OANDA Market Analyst Kenny Fisher & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. https://open.spotify.com/episode/3KogqzdfyMS0rU7pk1ECUa?si=adfc29ef8f3745de

11-03-2025 14:20 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Dow Jones (DJIA), S&P 500 Under Pressure as Record Cash Levels Suggest More Downside Ahead

Investors are holding record levels of cash ($7.3 trillion), indicating significant caution and potential for further market downside. Concerns about the Trump administration's tariffs and policy uncertainty, including the threat of universal tariffs, are weighing on market sentiment. S&P 500 recorded its biggest one-day drop since December. Most Read: Will Gold Rally? XAU/USD Price Outlook Amidst Economic Uncertainty Wall Street Indexes have recovered overnight but investors remain cautious.

11-03-2025 10:24 GMT by Zain Vawda

Will Gold Rally? XAU/USD Price Outlook Amidst Economic Uncertainty

Gold prices are under pressure at the start of the week due to market caution surrounding rising tariffs, recessionary fears, and geopolitical uncertainty. US CPI data is expected later in the week, with potential for higher inflation to further impact market sentiment. Technical analysis indicates mixed signals for gold (XAU/USD), with a current downtrend on the H4. Most Read: Weekly Market Outlook: Trigger Uncertainty, Nasdaq in Correction & US CPI Data Ahead Gold is feeling a bit of pressure

10-03-2025 14:42 GMT by Zain Vawda

Surging yen hits 5-month high, wage data mixed

The Japanese yen has started the week with strong gains. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 147.07, down 0.766 on the day. Earlier, the yen strengthened to 146.72, its best level since Oct.

10-03-2025 09:59 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Canadian dollar drops after soft Canadian jobs report

The Canadian dollar is steady at the start of the week. USD/CAD is trading at 1.4356, down 0.11% on the day. The Canadian dollar declined 0.50% on Friday after Canada's job report was weaker than expected. Canada's job growth grinds to a halt Canada's economy gained only 1.1 thousand jobs in February, well short of the market estimate of 20 thousand and following a strong gain of 76 thousand in January. The labor market showed a burst of hiring over the past three months but fell flat in Feb

10-03-2025 06:11 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Weekly Market Outlook: Trigger Uncertainty, Nasdaq in Correction & US CPI Data Ahead

Markets experienced turmoil this week, driven by investor concerns over the Trump administration's tariff policies. The US dollar is on track for its worst week in over a year, Nasdaq entered a correction. The Bank of Canada may cut rates due to tariff impacts and economic concerns. US CPI is also due in the week ahead, will it rescue the ailing US Dollar? Read More: Bitcoin’s (BTC/USD) Wild Ride – Open Interest, ETF Flows Amid Trump’s Crypto Remarks Week in Review: Fear is Rising but US Labor

07-03-2025 14:34 GMT by Zain Vawda

Yen extends gains, markets eye US nonfarm payrolls

Japanese yen extends rally for a third consecutive day BoJ's Uchida says rate hikes still on the table despite tariff concerns US nonfarm payrolls expected to edge slightly The Japanese yen has extended its gains on Friday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 147.79, down 0.13% on the day. It was a light calendar in Japan this week but that didn't stop the yen from taking advantage of a broadly weaker US dollar. The yen has posted gains of 1.9% against the US dollar this week and

07-03-2025 07:34 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

US, Canada release job numbers - will Canadian dollar's rally continue?

The Canadian dollar is on a three-day winning streak, gaining 1.2% during that time. USD/CAD is trading quietly at 1.4316 in the European session, up 0.14% on the day. We could see volatility from the pair later today, as both Canada and the US releases employment reports. Canada's job growth expected to drop sharply Canada's economy remains weak but the labor market has been surprisingly resilient. The economy added 76 thousand jobs in January and 90.9 thousand a month earlier.

07-03-2025 06:54 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

EUR/USD keeps rolling after ECB rate cut

Euro rally continues ECB lowers rates by 25 bps to 2.5% ECB's Lagarde warns of growing risks and uncertainty US nonfarm payrolls expected to rise slightly to 160 thousand The euro has posted strong gains on Friday after taking a pause a day earlier. EUR/USD is trading at 1.0858 in the European session, up 0.69% on the day. It's been a remarkable week for the euro, which has soared 4.7% against the US dollar. ECB cuts but Lagarde warns of uncertainty The ECB lowered rates by 25 basis points on

07-03-2025 05:09 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

NFP Preview: February 2025 Jobs Report and US Dollar Impact

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the non-farm payroll (NFP) and jobs data for February 2025 on Friday, March 7th, 2025. Economists are predicting 170,000 jobs added and the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.0%. Key factors influencing February's jobs report include potential federal job cuts, changes in trade policies, a strong services sector, and mild weather conditions. Technical analysis of the US Dollar Index (DXY) shows it at a crossroads, where to next? Most Read: Dow J

06-03-2025 15:51 GMT by Zain Vawda

ECB Expected to Cut Rates: What It Means for the Euro and Markets

A 25 basis point cut to the ECB deposit facility rate is widely anticipated, marking the seventh cut in the current cycle. The ECB continues to cut rates amid slow Eurozone growth, while the Federal Reserve pauses, creating a notable divergence in monetary policy. What next for EUR/USD? Most Read: Dow Jones (DJIA) Holds Support: Tariffs, Data & US Auto Tariff Exemption A 25 basis point cut to the ECB deposit facility rate is fully expected today. However, the chances of another cut in April are

06-03-2025 07:14 GMT by Zain Vawda

Canadian dollar higher as US suspends auto tariffs

The Canadian dollar is steady on Thursday after gaining around 1% over the past two days. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4351, up 0.07% on the day. We could see some volatility from the Canadian dollar over the next two days, with the release of the Ivey PMI today and the employment report on Friday. US suspends auto tariffs but trade tensions with Canada remain The Trump tariff saga took a twist on Wednesday, as the US announced it would exempt automakers in Canada and Mexic

06-03-2025 05:42 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Markets turbulent on tariff fears, ADP jobs data adds to uncertainty, US Dollar slides

Join OANDA Market Analyst Kenny Fisher & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world.

06-03-2025 04:40 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

EUR/USD Outlook: Germany's fiscal bazooka ignites Euro bulls, but a minor pullback is imminent as ECB looms

An aggressive fiscal spending proposal by Germany has attracted bullish animal spirits into EUR/USD. A significant rally in the longer-end German Bund yields is likely to alter ECB monetary policy guidance towards a “less dovish stance.” The three-month rally in the EUR/USD has reached overbought condition, at risk of a minor corrective pull-back below 1.0885/0940. In the upcoming European Central Bank (ECB) meeting on Thursday, 6 March, where market participants are expecting another 25 basis

06-03-2025 03:52 GMT by Kelvin Wong

Dow Jones (DJIA) Holds Support: Tariffs, Data & US Auto Tariff Exemption

US stock markets (Dow Jones, S&P 500) are experiencing volatility due to Trump administration tariffs. A one-month tariff exemption for US automakers has temporarily eased market pressure, but the long-term sustainability of this is uncertain. US economic data is mixed, with a services PMI showing growth but rising input costs. Technically, the Dow Jones is in a bearish trend but holding key support levels. Most Read: Brent Oil Price Analysis: Six-Month Lows Amid OPEC Output, Tariffs & Russia-U

05-03-2025 14:47 GMT by Zain Vawda

Swiss franc hits new 2025 high as inflation continues to fall

The Swiss franc has rallied for a third straight trading day. In the North American session, USD/CHF is trading at 0.8884, down 0.12% on the day. The Swiss franc has jumped 1.6% this week and earlier strengthened to 0.8856, its best level this year. Switzerland's inflation falls to lowest in nearly four years Swiss inflation has been falling and the trend continued in February.

05-03-2025 09:37 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Australian GDP beats forecast, Aussie edges higher

The Australian dollar has extended its gains on Wednesday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6271 in the European session, up 0.20% on the day. The Australian dollar jumped 0.75% on Tuesday, driven by the hawkish Reserve Bank of Australia minutes and a solid retail sales report. Australian GDP rises 1.3% Australia's economy expanded by 1.3% y/y in the fourth quarter of 2024, up from 0.8% in Q3 and above the market estimate of 1.2% and the RBA's forecast of 1.1%. This marked the fastest pace of growth s

05-03-2025 05:50 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Brent Oil Price Analysis: Six-Month Lows Amid OPEC Output, Tariffs & Russia-Ukraine Negotiations

Brent crude oil prices have fallen to a six-month low due to OPEC+'s decision to increase output. The US has announced the end of Chevron's license to operate in Venezuela, an OPEC member. Market participants are also concerned about potential easing of sanctions on Russia, which could increase oil supply. Delayed talks to restart oil exports from Iraq’s Kurdistan region, which also could lead to increased supply are also a concern. Most Read: Brent Crude Oil Price Update – 100-day MA Keep

04-03-2025 13:56 GMT by Zain Vawda

Euro hits three-month high, eurozone unemployment rate unchanged

The euro has extended its gains on Tuesday. EUR/USD is trading at 1.0523 in the North American session, up 0.36% on the day. Earlier, the euro rose as high as 1.0559, its highest level since December 10. Eurozone unemployment remains at 6.2% The eurozone economy is sputtering but there's nothing wrong with the employment picture. The unemployment rate remained at 6.2% for a third straight month in January, a record low. The December reading was revised downwards from 6.3%. Germany, the la

04-03-2025 10:22 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

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