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Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

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NZD/JPY Technical: Another potential falling knife as Fed and BoJ looms next week
The CME FedWatch tool has suggested a total of 250 bps Fed funds rate cuts through September next year, to bring the Fed funds rate to 2.75%-3.00%. An upbeat BoJ’s monetary policy statement next Friday may trigger another round of JPY strength. Watch the key levels of 83.80 and 91.60 on the NZD/JPY. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report “JPY crosses face another round of potential downside pressure as NFP looms” published on 6 September 2024. Click here for a recap.
13-09-2024 07:28 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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NZ dollar drifting ahead of manufacturing data
The New Zealand dollar is showing little movement on Thursday. NZD/USD is trading at 0.6139 at the time of writing, up 0.05% on the day. New Zealand’s Manufacturing PMI expected to improve New Zealand’s manufacturing sector has been in the doldrums, as the manufacturing PMI has posted 17 consecutive declines.
12-09-2024 10:23 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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AUD/USD edges higher as inflation expectations eases
The Australian dollar has posted slight gains on Thursday. In the European session, AUD/USD is up 0.16%, trading at 0.6684 at the time of writing. Australia’s inflation expectations dip to 4.4% Australia’s consumer inflation expectations eased to 4.4% in September, down slightly from 4.5% in August but above the forecast of 4.1%.
12-09-2024 09:10 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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Euro flat ahead of ECB decision
The euro continues to show limited movement and is almost unchanged on Thursday. EUR/USD is trading at 1.1010 in the North American session at the time of writing. ECB expected to deliver 25 bps cut The European Central Bank meets later today and the markets are expecting a rate cut of 25 basis points, which bring down the key rate to 3.5%.
12-09-2024 05:05 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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AUD/USD steady after US inflation drops to 2.5%
The Australian dollar dipped lower earlier but has recovered. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6655, up 0.04%. Smaller Fed cut more likely after drop in CPI The eagerly-anticipated US inflation report came in as expected and didn’t have much impact on the movement of the US dollar.
11-09-2024 12:45 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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Gold Technical: Poised for a potential bullish breakout as US CPI looms
In the past four weeks, Gold (XAU/USD) has traded in a tight range environment below US$2,532 key intermediate range resistance. Positive momentum reading and a major bearish breakdown seen in the 10-year US Treasury real yield may trigger a bullish breakout in Gold (XAU/USD). Watch the key medium-term support at US$2,435 for Gold (XAU/USD).
11-09-2024 07:41 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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Gold (XAU/USD) Flirts with All-Time Highs. Will US CPI Prove the Catalyst for a Breakout?
Gold prices are inching higher as the market awaits the US CPI release. Market reaction to the CPI data will depend on whether rate cut expectations are already priced in. From a technical analysis perspective, the gold chart may be forming a double top pattern ahead of the CPI release. Most Read: Brent Crude – Oil Slides Below $70 a Barrel, First Time Since December 2021 Gold prices inched higher in Asian trade as market participants brace for the US CPI release.
11-09-2024 06:17 GMT by Zain Vawda
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Japanese yen gains ground, US inflation looms
The Japanese yen is in positive territory on Tuesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 142.63 at the time of writing, down 0.37% on the day. Will BoJ stay on the sidelines until 2025? Bank of Japan meetings used to be sleeper events but that has changed now that the central bank has exited its negative rate policy and is likely to continue tightening.
10-09-2024 11:29 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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GBP/USD steady as UK wage growth eases, GDP next
The British pound has edged lower on Tuesday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3055, down 0.14% on the day. UK wage growth drops to 2-year low UK wage growth eased in the three months to July, an encouraging sign for the Bank of England as it looks to continue lowering rates. Average earnings excluding bonuses climbed 5.1% y/y, down from 5.4% in the previous period and in line with the market estimate.
10-09-2024 10:43 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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AUD/USD shrugs after weak confidence data
The Australian dollar continues to have a quiet week. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6671 in the European session, up 0.17% today at the time of writing. With the Australian economy sputtering, it should come as no surprise that today’s confidence indicators pointed downward.
10-09-2024 07:37 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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GBP/USD Rises on Robust Labor Data - Challenges Ahead for the BoE
UK labor data beats expectations, with regular pay rising by 5.1% and employment increasing by 265k. BoE faces challenges in balancing strong employment figures with moderating wage growth and rate cut hopes. US CPI and PPI, and BoE Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden's comments, could impact GBP/USD's trajectory. Most Read: Is EUR/USD Vulnerable Ahead of ECB Meeting…? DXY to Play a Major Role The GBP benefitted following a positive UK labor data release this morning.
10-09-2024 05:45 GMT by Zain Vawda
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Is EUR/USD Vulnerable Ahead of ECB Meeting…? DXY to Play a Major Role
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has rebounded since Friday's jobs data release, driven by altered rate cut expectations. EUR/USD is particularly affected by the DXY recovery, with the Euro's recent strength potentially waning due to poor German data and shifting rate cut expectations. The DXY's technical analysis suggests further upside potential, with immediate resistance at 102.16 and 102.60.
09-09-2024 11:56 GMT by Zain Vawda
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EUR/CHF: Another potential downleg may intensify after weak China inflation
EUR/CHF has continued to exhibit a high direct correlation with France CAC and Germany DAX. China’s core inflation and producer prices for August have indicated a persistent trend of lackluster internal demand. Sluggish China’s consumer demand may hurt the profits of key European makers of luxury goods, cars, and machinery. Watch the key intermediate support of 0.9255 on the EUR/CHF. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “EUR/CHF: Medium-term global risk-off kickstarts (Part 2)” pu
09-09-2024 07:12 GMT by Kelvin Wong
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Markets Weekly Outlook - ECB Rates, China and US Presidential Debate in Focus
US jobs data missed estimates, keeping recessionary fears very much in play. US Equities continue their September struggles as Oil falters as well. ECB expected to cut rates amidst slowing European economy, while UK jobs data and US CPI figures remain in focus. Read More: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Eyeing a Deeper Reversal as ETF Outflows Continue Week in Review: Jobs Data Fails to Provide Clarity as Underlying Data Flashes Warning Signs
06-09-2024 13:14 GMT by Zain Vawda
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EUR/USD dips after US payrolls misses estimate
The euro has edged lower on Friday. EUR/USD is trading at 1.1088 in the North American session at the time of writing, down 0.20%. US nonfarm payrolls improves but misses estimate Today’s US nonfarm payrolls wasn’t a disaster but certainly nothing to smile about.
06-09-2024 10:36 GMT by Kenneth Fisher
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