Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

USD/JPY breaks 160, will Tokyo intervene?
Japanese yen slumps to 37-year low USD/JPY is trading at 160.68 in the North American session, up 0.62% on the day. The Japanese yen broke below the psychological barrier of 160 today and has fallen to its lowest level since December 1986. The Japanese currency had been hovering just below 160 throughout the week and has finally broken through. The yen’s downward move has raised concerns that the Bank of Japan will intervene in the currency markets yet again.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar slightly higher as CPI rises to 4%
The Australian dollar rose 0.40% after the Australian CPI release but has given much of those gains. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6663 in the European session, up 0.24% on the day. Australian inflation surprises on the upside Australia’s CPI accelerated to 4.0% in May, up from 3.6% in April and above the market estimate of 3.8%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Gold prices under pressure as the Dollar Index (DXY), US Yields Rise
Gold continues its decline with $2300/oz firmly back in sight. US Dollar index and US 10Y yield continue to rise, US 10Y now at 4.275%. PCE inflation data could be the catalyst needed for gold prices to find some direction. Fundamental Overview  Gold prices remain under pressure this morning as rising US yields and a stronger US Dollar weigh on the precious metal.
by Zain Vawda
AUD/JPY: Aussie outperformance with a hotter AU CPI
Australia’s monthly CPI has increased to 4% from 3.6% in April, a sign of a sticky and elevated consumer inflationary trend. The odds of an RBA interest rate in the near-term horizon have reduced which increased the yield premium of 2-year Australian government bond over JGB. AUD/JPY is likely on a path of bullish acceleration within its medium-term & major uptrend phases.
by Kelvin Wong
Australian dollar edges lower, CPI next
The Australian dollar is slightly lower on Tuesday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6638 in the North American session, down 0.27% on the day. Australian consumer sentiment climbs Australia’s Westpac Consumer Sentiment index flexed some muscle earlier on Tuesday but that didn’t help the Australian dollar.
by Kenneth Fisher
Japanese Yen Technical Outlook: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY & GBP/JPY
FX intervention chatter returns, but is it enough for the ailing JPY? USD/JPY at psychological 160.00 handle. EUR/JPY prints morningstar candlestick pattern, hinting at the potential for further upside. Fundamental Overview  The Japanese Yen continues to tread water against its G 7 peers as its monetary policy stance continues to be scrutinized. Many analysts, myself included, had hoped for a bold approach from Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Ueda at the June meeting of the BoJ.  The Governor howe
by Zain Vawda
Euro rises despite soft German business climate
The euro has started the week with gains. EUR/USD is trading at 1.0727 in Monday’s European session, 0.34% on the day. German Business Climate surprises with dip Germany’s Ifo Business Climate surprised on the downside, declining to 88.6 in June.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY: Verbal intervention intensified but real intervention may have to wait
The USD/JPY has traded higher in the past 7 sessions and printed an intraday high of 159.85 last Friday, 21 June which coincided with its 34-year high of 160.23 printed on 26 April. Last week’s persistent JPY weakness prompted Japan’s Ministry of Finance Vice Minister-in-charge of the FX market to issue a “firmer” verbal intervention. The current upmove of USD/JPY is more orderly rather than excessive which may not trigger an actual FX intervention from MoF. Watch the key medium-term support of
by Kelvin Wong
GBP/USD shrugs despite sparkling retail sales
The British pound is slightly lower on Friday. GBP/USD is trading at 1.2636 early in the North American session, down 0.17% on the day. UK retail sales hit 4-month high UK retail sales jumped 2.9% m/m in May, an impressive turnaround from the revised 1.8% decline in April and blowing past the market estimate of 1.8%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Hang Seng Index: Near-term weakness prevails over trade war jitters and soft yuan
Canada’s upcoming new tariffs on Chinese EVs have sparked a potential trade war between G-7 and China. A weaker yuan to indirectly offset the negative impact of trade tariffs on China’s exports may spark a currency war. Fears of a currency war emerging may see lesser capital inflows into Asian stock markets.   This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “Hang Seng Index: Improvement in market breadth and southbound flows, the bull run may not be over” dated 5 June 2024.
by Kelvin Wong
Euro extends losses after soft PMIs release
The euro has edged lower on Friday. EUR/USD is trading at 1.0687 in the European session, down 0.14% on the day. Is the eurozone economy slowing down? The week ended on a sour note in Europe as June PMIs declined in the eurozone.
by Kenneth Fisher
Gold & Silver test two-week highs on geopolitical concerns and rate cut optimism
Key Points:  Geopolitics return to the fore as concerns mount around the Middle East and Asia.. Safe haven demand sees gold (xau/usd) rise toward 2350 resistance. Silver technicals hint at the potential for further upside. Commodity markets have returned to positive territory this morning, driven by gains in both silver (XAG/USD) and gold (XAU/USD).
by Zain Vawda
SNB cut sends Swiss franc tumbling
The Swiss franc is down sharply on Thursday. USD/CHF is trading at 0.8897 in the European session, up 0.67% on the day. Swiss National Bank trims rate to 1.25% The Swiss National Bank kept investors hanging right up to the last minute as to whether or not it would cut rates at Thursday’s meeting.
by Kenneth Fisher
CHF: Getting bid up due to safe haven status
The prior 6-month weakness of the Swiss franc against G-10 currencies has seen a short-term bullish reversal due to safe haven demand. Ongoing political uncertainty arising from the upcoming French legislative elections reinforced the ongoing CHF strength which led to three consecutive weekly losses on the EUR/CHF cross pair. A surprise dovish stance from the SNB monetary policy decision out on Thursday, 20 June may put a short-term halt to the ongoing CHF strength. EUR/CHF short-term downtrend
by Kelvin Wong
USD/CHF – Flat ahead of SNB rate decision
The Swiss franc is almost unchanged on Wednesday. USD/CHF is trading at 0.8838 in the North American session, down 0.04% on the day. Will the Swiss National Bank cut rates again? Switzerland’s central bank will announce its rate decision on Thursday and the markets are on edge.
by Kenneth Fisher
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