Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

US Close: Stocks slump as inflation fears drive Fed rate hike expectations, Dollar follows Treasury yields
US stocks are sliding as surging pricing pressures have the Fed on a fast-track to get rates back to neutral.  Every trader over the weekend read the Goldman note that eyed four Fed rates hikes and balance sheet runoff in July, if not sooner. Surging yields are kryptonite for many tech stocks and that theme won't change until after we get past the first couple rate hikes. Today is all about risk aversion as fears grow that financial markets completely misread the Fed's scramble to battle inflat
by Edward Moya
Aussie steady ahead of retail sales
The Australian dollar is trading quietly at the start of the week. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.7172, down 0.14% on the day. US dollar unable to capitalize on soft NFP December job numbers in the US were mixed.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro edges lower at start of week
The euro is in negative territory at the start of the new trading week. EUR/USD is trading around 1.1320 in the European session. Investment confidence up, unemployment down The week kicked off with positive European events, although the euro was unable to gain any ground.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil and gold directionless
Oil ignores US jobs data Oil prices were almost unchanged on Friday, with Brent crude and WTI maintaining their gains even as headline US jobs data came in soft. Brent crude edged 0.20% lower to USD 81.80, and WTI fell 1.0% to USD 78.85 a barrel.
by Jeffrey Halley
The US dollar retreats
US dollar dips after weak nonfarm payrolls Perhaps the most surprising move post the US Non-Farm Payrolls, came from the US dollar, which staged a sharp retreat versus major currencies, even as US yields rose. The dollar index slumped 0.52% to 95.74, before recovering to 95.90 in Asia today.
by Jeffrey Halley
Asia struggling for conviction
US jobs data a mixed bag The conflicting hodgepodge of US employment data released on Friday night hasn’t given Asia much in the way of themes to hang their hats on today, complicated by a Japanese holiday reducing liquidity. An underlying theme of caution still permeates the region, but it is a very mixed picture in equity markets across the region, while currency markets look like they are stuck in the mud, going nowhere fast. On Friday, the US Non-Farm Payrolls disappointed, adding only 199
by Jeffrey Halley
Week Ahead - Earnings season is upon us
It's been quite the start to the year, with omicron fears subsiding only to be replaced by interest rate anxiety once more. This could be the theme for the coming months, as policymakers are forced to take inflationary pressures more seriously in the hope that a little now will prevent the need for a lot more later.
by Craig Erlam
Oil rally, bullish gold case weak, bitcoin lower
Oil at two month high as OPEC struggles to hit quotas Oil prices are continuing to climb at the end of the week as unrest in Kazakhstan and lower output from Libya further hamper producers' ability to gradually return to pre-pandemic levels. We are already seeing OPEC+ struggle to deliver the agreed 400,000 barrel per day increase and this is further exacerbating the problem. And it's happening at a time when demand is expected to remain strong thanks to omicron symptoms being mild by comparison
by Craig Erlam
Pound steady as markets eye NFP
UK Construction PMI cools off The UK Construction PMI for December indicated that growth at cooled off and fallen to a 3-month low. The PMI slowed to 54.3, down from 55.5 in November.
by Kenneth Fisher
Canadian dollar calm ahead of job reports
The Canadian dollar is on a holding pattern ahead of key Canadian and US employment reports later today. Currently, USD/CAD is trading just above the 1.27 line. Nonfarm payrolls could shake up US dollar It could be an active North American session for the Canadian dollar, with the release of Canada's job creation numbers and the US nonfarm payrolls.
by Kenneth Fisher
Yen hovers just below 116
All eyes are on US nonfarm payrolls, perhaps the monthly highlight on the economic calendar. An interesting prelude to nonfarm payrolls was the ADP employment report on Wednesday.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil rises on supply disruptions, gold slides
Oil rallies impressively As mentioned yesterday, oil’s price action is bullish, as it shrugged off a series of seemingly bearish news inputs over the last 48 hours. That news swung the other way overnight, with domestic protests disrupting local production, and with the arrival of Russian paratroopers to restore order.
by Jeffrey Halley
Euro yawns as German factory orders jump
The euro is showing little movement, as it trades just above the 1.13 line. German Factory Orders recovered in November, with a robust gain of 3.7% m/m. This follows a sharp decline of -5.8% m/m in October.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil and gold trading sideways
Oil is bid despite its fall today Oil prices were almost unchanged overnight, despite a massive 10 million barrel increase in US Gasoline Inventories, distillates rising by 4.4 million barrels and Crude Inventories falling only 2.5 million barrels, with Cushing Stocks climbing by about the same. That should all have been bad news for oil prices, implying that omicron is weighing on mobility and consumption.
by Jeffrey Halley
The US dollar holds steady
US dollar recovers on hawkish FOMC minutes The US dollar spent most of last night under pressure from the omi-gone rally, until the release of the hawkish FOMC minutes. The committee members felt inflation risks were more persistent and to the upside, and there was general agreement that the taper should be accelerated with three tentative rate hikes pencilled in. With US yields rising after that, the US dollar reversed most of its losses intra-day, leaving it only slightly lower and marking th
by Jeffrey Halley
The street was clearly long Omi-gone
US tech stocks sink after FOMC minutes Greetings from day four of managed isolation in New Zealand, and no, I’m not a tennis player. All the chatter overnight was about the implosion on tech stocks in New York after seemingly hawkish FOMC minutes from the December meeting.
by Jeffrey Halley
Euro recaptures 1.13, German PMI declines
The euro started the New Year with sharp losses, but the currency has rebounded on Wednesday, posting gains of 0.44% and punching above the 1.13 level. German Services PMI contracts Germany's service sector showed contraction in December, falling below the 50-level for the first time in eight months. The PMI fell from 52.7 to 48.7 points.
by Kenneth Fisher
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