Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

Japanese yen rebounds, key inflation data next
Japanese yen rebounds, but intervention worries remain Japan releases July inflation on Friday The Japanese yen has bounced back on Thursday after failing to post a winning day since August 4th. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 145.92, down 0.30%. USD/JPY has been the worst performer among the major currencies over the past month, declining about 7%.
by Kenneth Fisher
GBP/USD rises ahead of UK retail sales
UK retail sales expected to slip in July Fed minutes note concern about inflation The British pound has extended its gains on Thursday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2772, up 0.32%. UK retail sales expected to decline The UK will wrap up a busy week with retail sales on Friday.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar extends losses
AUD/USD touches 9-month low Australian job growth slips Fed minutes note concern about inflation The Australian dollar has been on a nasty slide. Earlier, AUD/USD fell as low as 0.6364, a nine-month low, before recovering.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY Technical: Bullish tone resumes, 148.20/85 next resistance to watch
USD/JPY cleared above 145.50/146.10 resistance that confluences with BoJ’s FX intervention conducted on 22 September last year. Primary driver of USD/JPY rallies has been a weak Chinese yuan and rising sovereign yield premium of the 10-year US Treasury over the 10-year JGB. The next medium-term resistance to watch will be at 148.20/85 on the USD/JPY. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “USD/JPY Technical: Lethargic bulls below 145.50” published on 14 August 2023.
by Kelvin Wong
USD/JPY: Dollar rallies as Fed sees significant upside risks with inflation
Fed officials at the June 26th meeting saw significant upside risks A couple of officials wanted to keep rates on hold Before the Minutes release the yen fell to levels that triggered intervention last September At 3am Tokyo time (2pm NY), Japanese officials watched the yen weaken to the dollar following the release of the Fed Minutes.  The dollar index hit a two-month low as Fed officials remain worried about inflation and are still positioned to deliver more tightening.  Only two Fed voters w
by Edward Moya
GBP/USD pushes higher as inflation drops to 6.8%
UK inflation drops but core rate remains steady US dollar gets lift from strong retail sales The British pound has posted considerable gains on Wednesday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2754, up 0.39%. UK inflation drops sharply but core CPI unchanged The UK released the July inflation report today and the readings were a mixed bag.
by Kenneth Fisher
GBP/AUD: Bullish run extends as England ends Matildas mania
UK core inflation remains elevated at 6.9% and above the consensus estimate of 6.8% BOE expected to raise rates another by almost 75 bps more in this tightening cycle Aussie downside extends over China's economic struggles World Cup Final Match Set England has advanced to its first Women’s World Cup final with a 3-1 victory over co-host Australia.  Soccer mania was embraced in Australia as the women’s soccer team’s put up an impressive run that fell two wins short of becoming champions.  The Ma
by Edward Moya
New Zealand dollar rises after RBNZ maintains cash rate
RBNZ holds cash rate at 5.5%, as expected New Zealand dollar stems slide The New Zealand dollar is in positive territory on Wednesday in the aftermath of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's decision to maintain interest rate levels. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5965, up 0.25%.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZD/USD Technical: Minor downtrend intact ahead of RBNZ
The Kiwi is the worst-performing currency among the majors where it depreciated by -7.1% against the USD on a rolling one-month basis. RBNZ Is expected to maintain its OCR at 5.50% since the last interest hike in May. Watch the key medium-term support of 0.5900/5860 where the downside momentum of NZD/USD may start to pause after declining for six months. New Zealand central bank, RBNZ will announce its latest monetary policy decision today at 0200 GMT.
by Kelvin Wong
USD/CAD rises despite quickening Canadian CPI; Commodities stumble except for Natural Gas
Headline Canadian inflation surges above BOC's 1-3% target range Mixed report as core inflation falls to 9-month low European Natural Gas skyrockets on fears Aussie labor strikes could disrupt 10% of global LNG exports Canadian CPI The Canadian dollar initially rallied after the July inflation rose back the Bank of Canada’s inflation-control target range of 1% to 3%. ​ This was not entirely hot as both core readings remained subdued.
by Edward Moya
GBP/USD: BOE to hike further after hot wage data, US stocks struggle on China and banking concerns
Record UK wage growth keeps the pressure on the BOE to deliver more tightening PBOC rate cut surprise shows officials growing concern with the property crisis Fitch warns US banks could face downgrades Record wage growth will keep the pressure on the BOE to deliver more tightening. The economy still has a tight labor market as companies need to pay their employees more money.  The rise in the unemployment rate was due to more people returning to the workforce.  Average pay excluding bonuses
by Edward Moya
Canadian dollar steady despite rise in inflation
Canada's inflation rises to 3.3% US retail sales climb 0.7%, core rate soars 1% The Canadian dollar is showing limited movement on Tuesday. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3477, up 0.13%. Canada's inflation jumps Canada released the July inflation report earlier today.
by Kenneth Fisher
GBP/USD shrugs off mixed employment report
UK job growth falls but wages soar UK releases CPI on Wednesday The British pound has edged higher on Tuesday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2697, up 0.08%. UK job market cools but wages jump Investors were treated to a mixed UK employment report today.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar extends losses as wage growth falls
Australian dollar extends losses Australia's wage growth eases to 3.2% China's retail sales decline The Australian dollar hasn't recorded a winning daily session in over a week and is in negative territory on Tuesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6468, down 0.28%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Yields rise alongside dollar; Tech leads the charge higher as stocks rebound from 2-week lows
US 10-year tips yield rise to the highest levels since 2009 NY Fed near-term inflation falls to lowest levels since 2021 Nasdaq rebounds as AI trade returns Summer trading and some choppiness has helped the US dollar continue to rally as rates remain volatile.  It has not been a smooth ride for the dollar as investors weigh concerns on rising debt levels, cooling inflation expectations, and rising confidence that the Fed will cut rates next year.  What is fascinating is that the 10-year TIPS yi
by Edward Moya
USD/CNH: Time to start paying attention to the yuan again
CNH (offshore yuan) eyes 2023 lows as property sector concerns drive contagion fears China's top Wealth Manager misses payment Country Garden suspends trading on onshore bonds The offshore yuan is becoming a trade that more people are starting to pay attention to on Wall Street. The outlook for China is turning rather bleak and that has made the yuan short an easy trade for some traders.  China was expected to hit 5% growth this year and that still could happen even with the property sector wei
by Edward Moya
Japanese yen hits 9-month low
Japanese yen dips below 145 line Japan's GDP expected to expand by 3.2% US retail sales projected to rise by 0.4% The Japanese yen continues to slide. USD/JPY touched the symbolic 145 line on Friday and has moved higher on Monday.
by Kenneth Fisher
GBP/USD steady ahead of jobs data
UK wages expected to accelerate by 7.9% US retail sales projected to rise 0.4% The British pound is quiet at the start of the week. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2701, up 0.05%. UK wage growth expected to jump The UK releases key employment numbers on Tuesday and the data is expected to show that the UK labour market remains tight.
by Kenneth Fisher
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