Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

British pound edges higher after GDP surprise
UK GDP rises 0.2% US inflation accelerates by 3.2% The British pound is slightly higher earlier on Friday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2706, up 0.24%. UK GDP surprises to the upside The week wrapped up on a high note in the UK, as the economy grew by 0.2% q/q in the second quarter.
by Kenneth Fisher
While the yen weakens again towards 145 against the dollar, EUR/JPY rises to highest levels since 2008
Japan last intervened in October when dollar-yen prices were at 150 Fed rate hike odds fall to 10% for the September 20th meeting Japan's material inflation data continues fell to 3.6% from a year earlier, lowest reading since March 2021 The dollar weakened against most of its major trading partners after soft inflation data supported the Fed's case to keep rates on hold in September.  Yen traders watched global stocks surge, which put a dent in demand for safe-havens.  Dollar-yen is now rallyi
by Edward Moya
GBP/USD dips lower as US inflation rises
US inflation accelerates by 3.2% UK GDP expected to rise 0.1% in Q2 The British pound showed some strength earlier but reversed directions and lost ground after the US inflation report. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2725, up 0.05%. US headline CPI rises, core rate ticks lower The US inflation report was somewhat of a mix, but most important was that both headline and core inflation were within expectations.
by Kenneth Fisher
Dollar drops as inflation continues to cool; Fed September skip confirmed   
Dollar falls as Fed rate hike odds soften to 10% for September and 20.2% in November US Annual CPI rose from 3.0% in June to 3.2% in July, snapping a streak of 12 consecutive declines Core CPI (ex-food/energy) fell to 4.7% year-over-year, lowest reading since October 2021 No surprises from the July CPI report After a roughly in-line inflation report, Wall Street remained optimistic that the Fed won’t need to raise rates in September.  Headline inflation rose but that was mainly due to the large
by Edward Moya
AUD/USD rebounds as inflation expections dip
Australia's inflation expectations ease US inflation is expected to rise to 3.3% The Australian dollar is in positive territory on Thursday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6552, up 0.37%. Australian inflation expectations ease  Australia's consumer inflation expectations dipped in August to 4.9%, down from 5.3% in July.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY higher on strong demand for 10-year notes; Commodities diverge
Thursday's inflation report to seal the deal for a Fed hold in September Treasury sells 10-year notes with strong demand as yields drop China deflation raises prospects of more stimulus USD/JPY rose after a strong auction signaled that Wall Street is very confident that inflation will continue to fall. It looks like investors will gladly be eating all the extra issuance that comes from the Treasury.
by Edward Moya
EUR/USD: Euro steadies after Italy curtails windfall tax and ahead of US CPI
Italy cushions windfall tax blow China deflation to spark stimulus efforts US five-year inflation breakeven nears peak set in April 2022 Yesterday, the euro took a big hit after Italian Premier Meloni’s cabinet approved a 40% levy on lenders’ extra profits.  Today was all about damage control as the Italian government had to tweak and ease up this crushing windfall tax on banks. The initial tax plan crushed the European banking sector, but that might see some relief now that the finance ministr
by Edward Moya
British pound flat on light data calendar
US inflation expected to rise to 3.3% UK GDP projected to fall to 0% Fed member Harker says rates may have peaked The British pound has had a relatively quiet week. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2731, down 0.13%. Markets eye US inflation, British GDP It has been a quiet week on the data calendar, with no tier-1 events out of the UK or the US.
by Kenneth Fisher
New Zealand dollar shrugs as inflation expectations rise
New Zealand inflation expectations rise to 2.83% China's inflation decreases for the first time since February 2021 The New Zealand dollar is showing limited movement on Wednesday, trading at 0.6060 in the European session. New Zealand inflation expectations nudge higher to 2.83% Like most major central banks, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand has been waging a long and tough battle against inflation by raising interest rates. CPI fell to 6.0% in the second quarter, down from 6.7%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar edges higher after mixed confidence data
Australian consumer confidence declines, business confidence steady Fed member Harker says Fed may be done raising rates The Australian dollar has bounced back on Wednesday and is trading at 0.6552, up 0.13%. AUD/USD slipped 0.45% on Tuesday and dropped to its lowest level since June 1st. Australian consumer confidence slips, business mood stays steady Australia's consumers remain deeply pessimistic about economic conditions.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZD/USD slides on China's soft trade numbers
China's exports and imports fall sharply New Zealand dollar slides by 1% China's CPI expected to indicate deflation The New Zealand dollar has declined by 1% on Tuesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6044, down 1.01%. Earlier, NZD/USD touched a low of 0.6034, its lowest level since June 8th. China's trade plunges as the economy struggles China's post-Covid recovery has not gone according to plan, as weak global demand and soft domestic demand have weighed on economic
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro slides as German inflation eases
German inflation declines German Sentix economic index slows Fed members Bowman and Williams send hawkish message to markets The euro has fallen below the symbolic 1.10 level on Tuesday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0944, down 0.53%. German inflation decelerates in July Germany's inflation rate for July was 6.2% y/y, confirming the preliminary reading in June.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD finds support after Fed's Harker suggests rate hikes might be over
Fed rate hike odds stumble (Sept at 13.0% of a hike, November at 20.2%) Fed's Harker will may be at a point where it can hold rates steady Fed's Barkin notes inflation remains too high Risk aversion was providing the dollar with some momentum but that move might have been exhausted after Fed's Harker signaled they could be done raising rates.  Harker noted, "Absent any alarming new data between now and mid-September, I believe we may be at the point where we can be patient and hold rates steady
by Edward Moya
Podcast - Chinese trade figures, UK retail sales, Zoom
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam joined Jonny Hart to discuss how financial markets are trading following the release of Chinese trade data and UK retail sales. They also covered Zoom's decision to revise its flexible working policy.
by Craig Erlam
AUD/USD maintains bearish trend on disappointing China data
China's exports post worst plunge since February 2020 China's imports from Australia fell 10.9% y/y, which was a major reversal from the 6.2% gain seen last month Also adding pressure on AUD was PBOC fixing, which sent the yuan to weakest level in almost a month Global economic recovery suffers major blow on China woes Commodity currencies across the board tumbled after China’s trade data signaled global economic is in trouble over the short-term.  A steadily improving Chinese economic recover
by Edward Moya
USD/JPY rises as BoJ confirms easy policy
BoJ Summary of Opinions takes note of higher inflation US job report a mixed bag The Japanese yen has started the week in negative territory. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 142.36, up 0.42%. BoJ says monetary easing to continue Inflation continues to be a key issue for the Bank of Japan, although it is much lower than in other major economies, at around 3%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Strong dollar sends oil and gold lower; AUD declines on expected Chinese weakness
China increased gold holdings for a ninth straight month in July Oil unfazed as Ukraine sea attack Russian oil tanker didn't lead to a major disruption Dollar supported amidst bond supply concerns; 10-year Treasury yield rises 3.8bps to 4.074% Oil Crude prices are lower following a surge in the US dollar and as Saudi Arabia anticipates a bumpy road for the crude demand.  The Saudis are raising prices across most of Asia and Europe, with the Arab light crude only being boosted by 30 cents, which
by Edward Moya
Hawkish Fed speak boosts dollar across all the board
Fed's Bowman reiterates that more hikes might be need to bring down inflation German Industrial Production fell to a 6-month low US inflation data expected to support a September pause, but possible coin flip for the November meeting The US dollar is stronger across the board as the bond market selloff returns, sending the 10-year Treasury yield 6.9 basis points higher to 4.103%. After a mixed jobs report (slower job growth pace but higher wages) this week is all about an inflation report that
by Edward Moya
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