Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

Dollar-yen back below 150 as greenback retreats
Yen improves after soft US nonfarm payrolls BOJ September minutes indicated members saw no need to tweak YCC The Japanese yen is steady on Monday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 149.66, up 0.20%. US nonfarm payrolls cements pause in December US nonfarm payrolls fell to 150,000 in October, down from a downwardly revised 297,000 in September and shy of the consensus estimate of 170,000.
by Kenneth Fisher
Potential bullish tactical movements arise for Hong Kong and China equities due to USD weakness
The latest set of lacklustre US non-farm payrolls and ISM Services PMI data for October has reinforced further US dollar weakness. The narrowing of the 2-year US Treasury yield over the 2-year China sovereign bond has negated the current major downtrend of the offshore yuan (CNH) against the US dollar. A further breakdown below 7.2675 on the USD/CNH may trigger a potential tactical multi-month up moves in China and Hong Kong equities. In the past week, the medium-term uptrend of the US dollar
by Kelvin Wong
EUR/USD - A very good jobs report for the Federal Reserve, PMIs fall again
US job growth slows as prior months revised lower Wage growth slows to 0.2% on a monthly basis in October  EURUSD rebounds off channel lows The Federal Reserve could not realistically have hoped for a better jobs report today but it will need to be one of a number of positive economic reports over the coming months before it's ready to declare victory.
by Craig Erlam
USD/CAD steady ahead of Canada, US job reports
Canada's job growth expected to ease to 22,500 US nonfarm payrolls projected to decline to 170,000 The Canadian dollar is showing little movement on Friday. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3740, up 0.03%. US, Canadian job growth expected to ease The week wraps up with US and Canadian employment reports, which could mean volatility from the Canadian dollar during the North American session. The US releases nonfarm payrolls, which had a massive September and crushed expectatio
by Kenneth Fisher
British pound eyes US nonfarm payrolls
US nonfarm employment expected to fall sharply The British pound has posted strong gains on Thursday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2222, up 0.16%. US nonfarm payrolls expected to decline The week wraps up with the US nonfarm employment report.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro calm ahead of US nonfarm payrolls
US nonfarm payrolls expected to ease to 170,000 The euro is showing limited movement on Friday after posting strong gains a day earlier. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0633, up 0.10%. All eyes on US nonfarm payrolls The US dollar has been under broad pressure since the Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/GBP - BoE in wait and see mode with wage growth now key
BoE leaves Bank Rate at 5.25% MPC believes inflation risks are to the upside EURGBP fails to break key resistance zone The Bank of England left interest rates unchanged today at 5.25%, as expected, with the vote widening slightly but remaining very close. The fact that the vote remains close highlights how uncertain the outlook remains in the view of the MPC and how, as Bailey reaffirmed in the press conference after, the risks to inflation are still to the upside. That said, based on its
by Craig Erlam
Swiss franc pares gains after inflation release
Swiss inflation unchanged at 1.7% The Swiss franc has edged higher on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/CHF is trading at 0.9064, down 0.17%. Swiss inflation steady at 1.7% Switzerland's inflation rate remained at 1.7% y/y in October, matching the market consensus.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro jumps after Fed pause
Euro rises as Fed holds rates German Manufacturing PMI declines The euro has posted sharp gains on Thursday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0628, up 0.56%. US dollar loses steam after Fed pause There wasn't any drama ahead of the Federal Reserve's meeting on Wednesday.
by Kenneth Fisher
British pound gets lift from Fed and BoE pauses
British pound posts sharp gains BoE and Fed pause for second straight time The British pound has posted strong gains on Thursday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2216, up 0.54%. Bank of England pauses The Bank of England voted to maintain interest rates at 5.25% at today's meeting.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/GBP Technical: Medium-term bullish basing as BoE looms
Three key technical developments have suggested that the EUR/GBP cross pair has formed a potential medium-term bullish basing configuration since 23 August 2023 Watch the key short-term support at 0.8680. Immediate resistances stand at 0.8750 and 0.8820. The price actions of the EUR/GBP cross pair have started to trace out a medium-term bullish basing configuration since 23 August 2023 as we await the latest Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy decision later today. Clearance above 200-d
by Kelvin Wong
Fed React: USD/JPY softer after Fed fails to deliver hawkish hold
Back-to-back holds means the Fed is content keeping rates at a 22-year high Atlanta Fed GDP cuts Q4 GDP outlook from 2.3% to 1.2% Powell noted, “given how far we have come… the committee is proceeding carefully. The FOMC statement did not surprise many as the Fed kept rates on hold as they assess how tighter financial and credit conditions weigh on the economy.  The Fed did not rule out a rate increase in the coming months , but swap contracts showed traders weren't convinced.
by Edward Moya
EUR/USD extends losses, Fed meeting looms
Fed widely expected to hold rates The euro is in negative territory on Wednesday after posting a losing session a day earlier. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0532, down 0.40%. Fed expected to pause rates The Federal Reserve makes its interest rate announcement later today and the markets have fully priced in rate pause, which would keep the benchmark rate at 5.25%-5.50%.
by Kenneth Fisher
New Zealand dollar steady, employment eases
New Zealand job growth declines US JOLTS Job Openings rise Fed widely expected to pause at today's meeting The New Zealand dollar is trading quietly on Wednesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5830, up 0.10%. New Zealand employment declines, unemployment rises New Zealand's labour market was expected to ease in the third quarter, but the decline in job growth was a surprise.
by Kenneth Fisher
EUR/USD - Fed likely to stick to the (slightly less) hawkish script
All eyes on the Fed No forecasts so tone will be important EURUSD threatening to break lower ahead of the decision The Fed meeting should be quite straightforward, with policymakers having come out in force to soothe market fears of another rate hike from the central bank, claiming recent moves in bond markets may have done some of the job for them. This followed previous commentary that strongly hinted that another rate hike is likely, aligning with the dot plot from the September meeting, whi
by Craig Erlam
EUR/USD: Dollar wavers on slower pace of Treasury Refunding Sales and mixed labor data
10-Year Treasury Yield plunges 14.6 bps to 4.782% after Treasury slows pace of increase in quarterly sales of long-term debt ISM Manufacturing plunges from 49.0 to 46.7; New Orders plunged to a five-month low JOLTS Report: Job openings rise more than expected, suggesting labor demand is still strong Wall Street was surprised that the Treasury did not need to boost the pace of long end issuance.  The Treasury might be worried with how high rates have skyrocketed with the long end of the curve. T
by Edward Moya
Japanese yen stabilizes on intervention threat
Yen steadies after intervention warning Fed widely expected to pause at today's meeting The Japanese yen has steadied on Wednesday, following massive losses a day earlier. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 151.19, down 0.34%. Tokyo warns of intervention after yen plunges It was Black Tuesday for the Japanese yen, which plunged 1.78% and fell as low as 151.71, its lowest level since October 2022.
by Kenneth Fisher
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