Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

GBP/USD pushes higher as inflation drops to 6.8%
UK inflation drops but core rate remains steady US dollar gets lift from strong retail sales The British pound has posted considerable gains on Wednesday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2754, up 0.39%. UK inflation drops sharply but core CPI unchanged The UK released the July inflation report today and the readings were a mixed bag.
by Kenneth Fisher
GBP/AUD: Bullish run extends as England ends Matildas mania
UK core inflation remains elevated at 6.9% and above the consensus estimate of 6.8% BOE expected to raise rates another by almost 75 bps more in this tightening cycle Aussie downside extends over China's economic struggles World Cup Final Match Set England has advanced to its first Women’s World Cup final with a 3-1 victory over co-host Australia.  Soccer mania was embraced in Australia as the women’s soccer team’s put up an impressive run that fell two wins short of becoming champions.  The Ma
by Edward Moya
New Zealand dollar rises after RBNZ maintains cash rate
RBNZ holds cash rate at 5.5%, as expected New Zealand dollar stems slide The New Zealand dollar is in positive territory on Wednesday in the aftermath of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's decision to maintain interest rate levels. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5965, up 0.25%.
by Kenneth Fisher
NZD/USD Technical: Minor downtrend intact ahead of RBNZ
The Kiwi is the worst-performing currency among the majors where it depreciated by -7.1% against the USD on a rolling one-month basis. RBNZ Is expected to maintain its OCR at 5.50% since the last interest hike in May. Watch the key medium-term support of 0.5900/5860 where the downside momentum of NZD/USD may start to pause after declining for six months. New Zealand central bank, RBNZ will announce its latest monetary policy decision today at 0200 GMT.
by Kelvin Wong
USD/CAD rises despite quickening Canadian CPI; Commodities stumble except for Natural Gas
Headline Canadian inflation surges above BOC's 1-3% target range Mixed report as core inflation falls to 9-month low European Natural Gas skyrockets on fears Aussie labor strikes could disrupt 10% of global LNG exports Canadian CPI The Canadian dollar initially rallied after the July inflation rose back the Bank of Canada’s inflation-control target range of 1% to 3%. ​ This was not entirely hot as both core readings remained subdued.
by Edward Moya
GBP/USD: BOE to hike further after hot wage data, US stocks struggle on China and banking concerns
Record UK wage growth keeps the pressure on the BOE to deliver more tightening PBOC rate cut surprise shows officials growing concern with the property crisis Fitch warns US banks could face downgrades Record wage growth will keep the pressure on the BOE to deliver more tightening. The economy still has a tight labor market as companies need to pay their employees more money.  The rise in the unemployment rate was due to more people returning to the workforce.  Average pay excluding bonuses
by Edward Moya
Canadian dollar steady despite rise in inflation
Canada's inflation rises to 3.3% US retail sales climb 0.7%, core rate soars 1% The Canadian dollar is showing limited movement on Tuesday. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3477, up 0.13%. Canada's inflation jumps Canada released the July inflation report earlier today.
by Kenneth Fisher
GBP/USD shrugs off mixed employment report
UK job growth falls but wages soar UK releases CPI on Wednesday The British pound has edged higher on Tuesday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2697, up 0.08%. UK job market cools but wages jump Investors were treated to a mixed UK employment report today.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar extends losses as wage growth falls
Australian dollar extends losses Australia's wage growth eases to 3.2% China's retail sales decline The Australian dollar hasn't recorded a winning daily session in over a week and is in negative territory on Tuesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6468, down 0.28%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Yields rise alongside dollar; Tech leads the charge higher as stocks rebound from 2-week lows
US 10-year tips yield rise to the highest levels since 2009 NY Fed near-term inflation falls to lowest levels since 2021 Nasdaq rebounds as AI trade returns Summer trading and some choppiness has helped the US dollar continue to rally as rates remain volatile.  It has not been a smooth ride for the dollar as investors weigh concerns on rising debt levels, cooling inflation expectations, and rising confidence that the Fed will cut rates next year.  What is fascinating is that the 10-year TIPS yi
by Edward Moya
USD/CNH: Time to start paying attention to the yuan again
CNH (offshore yuan) eyes 2023 lows as property sector concerns drive contagion fears China's top Wealth Manager misses payment Country Garden suspends trading on onshore bonds The offshore yuan is becoming a trade that more people are starting to pay attention to on Wall Street. The outlook for China is turning rather bleak and that has made the yuan short an easy trade for some traders.  China was expected to hit 5% growth this year and that still could happen even with the property sector wei
by Edward Moya
Japanese yen hits 9-month low
Japanese yen dips below 145 line Japan's GDP expected to expand by 3.2% US retail sales projected to rise by 0.4% The Japanese yen continues to slide. USD/JPY touched the symbolic 145 line on Friday and has moved higher on Monday.
by Kenneth Fisher
GBP/USD steady ahead of jobs data
UK wages expected to accelerate by 7.9% US retail sales projected to rise 0.4% The British pound is quiet at the start of the week. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2701, up 0.05%. UK wage growth expected to jump The UK releases key employment numbers on Tuesday and the data is expected to show that the UK labour market remains tight.
by Kenneth Fisher
Aussie under pressure ahead of wage growth release
Australian dollar extends losses Australia's wage growth expected to rise Chinese Industrial Production projected to remain unchanged The Australian dollar started the week by dropping 50 basis points but has recovered most of these losses. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6488, down 0.12%. It has been a rough ride lately for the Australian dollar.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY Technical: Lethargic bulls below 145.50
USD/JPY’s two weeks rally ex-post BoJ’s flexible YCC implementation has almost reached a key resistance zone of 145.50/146.10. Rising of concerns about another bout of verbal FX interventions from Ministry of Finance officials to talk down the USD/JPY at around the 145.00 psychological level. Short-term momentum has turned bearish, risk of downside mean reversion towards the 20-day moving average now acting as support at 141.85. The ex-post effect of Bank of Japan (BoJ)’s flexible 10-year Japa
by Kelvin Wong
Week Ahead - A busy week ahead! FOMC minutes, US retail sales, UK Jobs/CPI, RBNZ Decides and Japan GDP/CPI
US With Wall Street very confident that the Fed won’t be raising rates in September, the focus shifts to how strong is the economy and whether it is too robust and if that could sparking fear that inflation might reaccelerate. The economic data starts on Tuesday with a July retail sales report that should show spending picked up from a month ago, which was boosted by Amazon’s Prime Day.  Also on Tuesday is the Empire manufacturing report which should show August activity remains weak and t
by Edward Moya
GBP/USD - UK economy beats expectations in Q2, US PPI stronger but not a concern
UK economy grew 0.5% in June, 0.2% in Q2 (QoQ) US headline and core PPIs rose 0.3% last month, more than expected GBPUSD steady near major support zone The UK economy showed further resilience toward the end of the second quarter, buoyed by better weather. The cost-of-living crisis has clearly been an immense drag on the economy and due to its nature, will have hit some households much harder than others. But overall, consumer activity has been very resilient which has ultimately stopped the ec
by Craig Erlam
Dollar pares losses after hotter-than-expected PPI
US PPI posts first gain in three months (last month revised to a flat reading) Dollar eyes a fourth week of strength 10-year Treasury rises 2.9bps to 4.135%; November rate hike odds rise to 26.3% The dollar pared losses after supplier inflation in July came in mostly hotter-than-expected.  Hold your horses on calls that the Fed is done raising rates.  This was a notable increase for producer prices and that could very well keep the risk of a November Fed rate hike on the table. The producer-pr
by Edward Moya
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