Forex: all news & analysis

Explore our comprehensive Forex Archive, an essential resource that provides expert insights on price movements, trends, and the currency market. By analysing past price actions and key events, you can uncover vital market dynamics and elevate your understanding of effective trading strategies. Whether you're focusing on major currency pairs or emerging markets, our archive is packed with information to help you sharpen your trading decisions.

Japanese yen correction continues
Japanese yen's slide continues Markets walk back expectations of a change at BoJ December meeting US nonfarm payrolls rise to 199,000, better than expected The Japanese yen has started the week where it left off on Friday, posting sharp losses. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 146.16, up 0.83%. BoJ December mania wanes The yen soared over 2% on Thursday, after comments by senior BoJ officials triggered speculation that Bank of Japan might exit negative interest rates at the Dece
by Kenneth Fisher
How may the US Nonfarm Payroll numbers impact EURUSD Prices?
Talking Points US Data beat expectations, Nonfarm Payroll breakdown Technical analysis for EURUSD Daily Chart Conclusion, What’s next for EURUSD Price? US Data beat expectations, Nonfarm Payroll breakdown The November Nonfarm payroll numbers released this morning were better than expected, the US economy added 199K jobs last month, slightly above the median forecast of 185K jobs and the Unemployment Rate fell to 3.7% compared to the consensus of 3.9% supporting the theory that the US job mar
by Moheb Hanna
Australian dollar on a roller-coaster, US NFP looms
Australian dollar steady after sharp gains on Thursday US nonfarm payrolls expected to climb to 180,000 The Australian dollar is trading quietly on Friday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6611, up 0.14%. It has been a roller-coaster week for the Australian dollar.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro flat as German inflation declines
German inflation confirmed at -0.4% US nonfarm payrolls project to accelerate to 180,000 The euro has edged lower on Friday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0774, down 0.17%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Yen pushes higher, GDP softer than expected
Japan's Q3 GDP revised lower to -2.9% Japanese yen gains ground but can't consolidate US nonfarm payrolls expected to rise to 180,000 The Japanese yen continues to show strong swings. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 143.94, down 0.16%.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY Technical: Potential counter-trend rebound within medium-term downtrend
Recent bizarre hawkish rhetoric from BoJ top officials ahead of Japan's 2024 nationwide spring wage negotiations sparked a further rally in JPY. Increasing expectations of a BoJ pivot to scrap its decade-long plus of short-term negative interest rate policy to come as early as this month, 19 December monetary policy meeting. The interest rates swap market has priced in a 45% chance of removal of negative interest rate on 19 December, a jump from the 3.5% chance seen earlier this week. USD/JPY re
by Kelvin Wong
New Zealand dollar climbs ahead of NZ Manufacturing Sales
New Zealand Manufacturing Sales expected to improve to 0.9% China releases CPI on Saturday The New Zealand dollar is in positive territory on Thursday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6168, up 0.48%. NZ manufacturing sales expected to rebound The manufacturing sector has been in a major slump worldwide and New Zealand has not been immune.
by Kenneth Fisher
Canadian dollar muted as BoC holds rates
Bank of Canada holds rates for third consecutive time US releases nonfarm employment on Friday The Canadian dollar is almost unchanged on Thursday. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3596, up 0.03%. BoC pauses as expected There were no surprises from the Bank of Canada, which maintained the cash rate at 5.0% on Wednesday.
by Kenneth Fisher
What's Next for Gold Price - XAU/USD Technical Analysis
Talking Points: Why did gold prices decline sharply? Daily Chart Analysis 4-Hour Chart Analysis What's next for Gold Prices? Why did gold prices decline sharply? Gold Price fell significantly last week after reaching an all-time high of $2150/Oz, the price fell to $2020/Oz within a day which left many traders stunned and unable to comprehend what has happened, and the more difficult question remains unanswered, what's next for Gold Prices? Over the past few weeks/months, inflation has been
by Moheb Hanna
Hang Seng Index Technical: Entrenched in a downward spiral
China’s negative import growth in November suggests a sticky weak domestic demand environment. China and Hong Kong stock markets have failed to reignite bullish animal spirits despite the weakening trend seen in the US 10-year Treasury yield in the past month. Hang Seng Index now faces a potential major bearish breakdown that may retest the 12,200 October 2008 GFC swing low area in Q1 2024. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “Deflationary spiral is still a recurring risk in China
by Kelvin Wong
British pound shrugs as Construction PMI misses estimate
UK Construction PMI remains in decline BoE's Bailey warns of 'higher for longer' rate policy The British pound is showing limited movement on Wednesday. GBP/USD is trading at 1.2582 in the North American session, down 0.10%. UK Construction PMI barely moves The UK Construction PMI ticked lower to 45.5 in November, compared to 45.6 in October and shy of the consensus estimate of 46.3.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/CAD - BoC Holds, positive US economic figures ahead of Friday's jobs report
First BoC rate cut priced in for as early as March US ADP employment increases 103k in November (131k expected, 106k previously) USDCAD bounces off key moving average BoC remains committed to hiking if necessary, markets price in March cut The Bank of Canada continued to insist it remains prepared to raise rates again if needed despite acknowledging that inflationary pressures have eased and higher rates are weighing on the economy and demand. Markets continue to focus on the latter, pricing in
by Craig Erlam
USD/CAD eyes Bank of Canada rate decision
Bank of Canada expected to hold rates at 5.0% The Canadian dollar is steady ahead of today's Bank of Canada rate decision. Early in the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3526, down 0.22%. BoC expected to pause The Bank of Canada has held the cash rate at 5.0% for two straight times and another pause is widely expected at today's meeting.
by Kenneth Fisher
Australian dollar rebounds despite soft GDP
Australian GDP falls to 0.2% AUD/USD rebounds after two-day losing streak The Australian dollar has bounced back on Wednesday and snapped a two-day losing streak. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6574, up 0.34%. Australian GDP eases to 0.2% Australia's GDP rose 0.2% q/q in the third quarter, below the consensus estimate of 0.4% and the second quarter print of 0.4%.
by Kenneth Fisher
USD/JPY: Bearish momentum remains intact despite softer Tokyo CPI
Tokyo’s CPI for November slowed down further due to a recent drop in oil prices. Tokyo’s services prices accelerated to 3% y/y in November, its fastest pace since 1994. Japan’s latest consumer sentiment data for November also improved to its highest level since August 2023. A boost in consumer sentiment coupled with services inflation on the uptick indicates signs of a potential demand-driven increase in prices has emerged in Japan.
by Kelvin Wong
Japanese yen steady, Tokyo CPI falls
Tokyo Core CPI eases to 2.3% US to release ISM Services PMI later today The Japanese yen has edged lower on Tuesday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 147.08, down 0.10%. Tokyo Core CPI softer than expected Tokyo Core CPI, a leading indicator for nationwide inflation, climbed 2.3% y/y in November.
by Kenneth Fisher
AUD/USD: Challenging key 200-day moving average post RBA
RBA left its policy cash rate unchanged at 4.35% in line with expectations. A slight dovish tonality in the monetary policy statement has reduced the expectations of a “hawkish pause”. Technical analysis suggests that the medium-term uptrend phase of the AUD/USD from its 26 October 2023 low remains intact. Watch the 0.6570 pivotal support. This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “AUD/USD: Bullish breakout ahead of monthly AU CPI data” published on 28 November 2023.
by Kelvin Wong
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