Commodities: all news & analysis

Explore our extensive commodities news, which unveils critical insights into price movements, trends, and expert forecasts in the raw materials market. By examining price actions and understanding the factors influencing commodity values, understand current market dynamics. This page is designed to boost your research on historical trends, identify seasonal patterns, and sharpen your trading strategies across sectors such as energy, metals, and agriculture. Equip yourself with the knowledge necessary to enhance your understanding of the commodities landscape and elevate your trading decisions.

US Close - ISM hits 2-year low, Au Revoir 3.00% on recession worries, Choppy waters for Stocks, Commodity Markets tired of softening, Bitcoin tests $18K waters
US stocks can’t muster up a meaningful rally heading into the long weekend as recession worries grow after the ISM manufacturing report fell to a two-year low. Wall Street isn’t liking seeing so many key economic indicators have a trajectory that looks like they will retest some of the pandemic lows.  A choppy period seems likely until investors feel confident that the economy is still in decent shape and that the Fed won’t miss the opportunity to decelerate their tightening pace in September.
by Edward Moya
Oil edges higher, gold falls
Oil higher amid supply outages Oil prices are edging higher again on Friday after paring gains over the last couple of days. With OPEC+ opting to raise production by 648,000 again in August but not comment beyond then, there is a cloud of uncertainty over the supply side again.
by Craig Erlam
Crude crumbles, gold struggles
Oil The easy oil trade that everyone loved for much of the first half of the year has disappeared as the fundamentals have gotten quite mixed. The OPEC+ decision to maintain the planned 648,000 bpd oil increase in August went as expected, but traders are focusing more on President Biden’s trip to Saudi Arabia.
by Edward Moya
US close - A very bad half, US data supports aggressive Fed tightening for now, bitcoin falls below USD 20k
A global central bank effort to fight inflation is driving rising recession fears that has given Wall Street the worst half of the year since 1970. Added volatility from the final trading day of the quarter is especially crazy because so many investors are rebalancing their portfolios with recession stocks. US stocks pared losses as too many investors feel we are getting close to the bottom and that now isn't that bad of time to start to scale into a longer-term position.
by Edward Moya
Oil dips lower, gold higher on inflation
Oil lower as OPEC+ sticks to August target Oil prices are modestly lower on Thursday, further paring recent gains following yesterday's reversal. As expected, OPEC+ stuck to its planned 648,000 barrel increase in August and refrained from any decision beyond then which could add an element of uncertainty to future targets, particularly given recent reports that even Saudi Arabia and UAE are running near capacity. The global economic uncertainty doesn't make planning ahead any easier, either.
by Craig Erlam
Oil falls on EIA, gold pares gains
Oil retreats on delayed EIA data Oil prices reversed course overnight as the delayed US official EIA crude inventory data was released. With two weeks of data released at once, net crude inventories fell by 3.15 million barrels, but gasoline inventories rose by 4.13 million barrels for the fortnight.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil reverses gains, gold steady, bitcoin nervy
Oil reverses gains after inventory data The rally in oil looked set to extend to the fourth day, as supply concerns outweigh recession fears ahead of the OPEC+ meeting tomorrow. The OPEC meeting today ended without any decisions being made amid speculation around Saudi Arabia and UAE's spare capacity. I'm not sure it makes an enormous difference as neither were likely to save the day anyway or they would have already.
by Craig Erlam
Oil market stays tight, gold ready to shine
Oil Crude prices rallied as the oil market looks like it will remain very tight after indirect nuclear deal talks between the US and Iran ended without result. ​ The supply outlook for crude is looking vulnerable and could see some disruptions lead to much higher oil prices. ​ Ecuador’s oil production is declining rapidly, down 1.8 million barrels during the 15 days of protest. ​ Libya is suspending oil exports from the Es Sider port. Unless the EIA crude oil inventory report posts a surprisingl
by Edward Moya
Oil marches higher, gold yawns
Oil’s rally continues Oil’s march higher continued unhindered overnight, with Brent and WTI posting another set of impressive gains. A surprise drop by US API Crude Inventories by 3.8 million barrels helped the bullish momentum, with markets ignoring the rise in refined product stocks.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil higher, gold slips, bitcoin vulnerable
Oil rallies as OPEC+ fall further short of targets The easing of China's zero-Covid policy helped oil to the third day of gains following a decent correction in recent weeks. As did reports that the UAE and Saudi Arabia are producing near capacity, in stark contrast to claims that both are holding back and could do more.
by Craig Erlam
Oil gains ground, gold fades
Oil prices rally on supply concerns Oil prices rallied once again overnight as a Reuters story over Saudi Arabia and UAE capacity constraints, as well as disruption of supplies from Libya and Ecuador overrode US recession concerns. Another lesson is that markets ignore crude futures backwardation at their peril when trying to pick a top in oil prices.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil softens, gold steadies
Oil dips lower Crude prices remain volatile as energy traders grapple with recession fears and a tight oil market that may see the G7 unveil price caps on Russian crude. Oil might have confusing reactions to economic data until Wall Street agrees upon when the peak is in place for Treasury yields. ​ Stronger economic data would normally be a positive for the crude demand outlook, but right now the reaction might be negative for oil as traders will view strong readings as a greenlight for the Fed
by Edward Moya
Oil edges lower, gold flat
Oil cools further amid some supply hope Oil prices are marginally lower at the start of the week after enjoying a bit of a rebound on Friday. We appear to be seeing an interesting moment in oil where a tight market is being priced against a likely economic decline, even a recession, which could help to rebalance it. And there may be other factors contributing in some way to the cooling-off, with Nigeria indicating that it will be able to hit its production quota by August having fallen well shor
by Craig Erlam
Oil recovers, gold inches higher
Oil prices bounce Oil prices rose on Friday and Brent crude and WTI has unwound most of early last week’s losses. The futures curves remain in very firm backwardation and in the real world, supplies are as tight as ever with increasing risks around Russia and European natural gas exports.
by Jeffrey Halley
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 346)
Disconnect or Rebound? Jonny Hart speaks to APAC Senior Market Analyst Jeffrey Halley about news impacting the market and the week ahead. It's another blockbuster episode today, and we are covering a LOT of ground. Firstly, the stock markets are rallying impressively despite recession expectations rising.
by Jeffrey Halley
Mid-Market Update: Stocks rally on easing inflation expectations and Bullard's optimism, Oil rallies, Gold remains a choppy trade, Bitcoin edges higher
US stocks are rallying after a key survey showed inflation expectations are easing and following Fed Bullard’s optimistic comments about the economy. Hopes that inflation is peaking and that the economy is still on solid footing has some investors confidently buying up heavily discounted stocks.  It seems Wall Street is starting to believe that even if the economy has a recession, it will be a short one. This could still be a bear market rally, but that might change if we get some less pessimist
by Edward Moya
A week of consolidation
A week of consolidation in stock markets after last week's rout, with Europe looking to end the week with small gains. It hasn't been the blockbuster week that last was. But that's only natural, last week we had a wrath of big central bank meetings and rate announcements.
by Craig Erlam
Oil almost unchanged, gold falls
Oil prices are noisy but unchanged Oil prices had another noisy overnight session, trading in wide intraday ranges. Ultimately, as the dust settled, both Brent and WTI finished almost unchanged for the second day in a row.
by Jeffrey Halley
Oil slides again, gold vulnerable to technical selling
Oil falls as demand eases Oil prices softened after softer economic data in the US and Europe confirmed fears that crude demand destruction is happening. The oil market however remains very tight and declining production should prevent prices from falling below the USD 100 a barrel level.
by Edward Moya
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