Strong dollar weakens commodities, Cryptos lower as banking drama dies down

  • Poor PMI data from China drive crude demand concerns
  • Gold struggles as yields surge; 10-year Treasury yield rises 14.4 basis points to 3.566%
  • Bitcoin falls 3.8% to $28,200

Oil

The ISM manufacturing report showed prices paid surged to the highest level since July as steel, copper, plastics, aluminum and diesel. The economy appears to be weakening at a slower pace and that should be good news for the crude demand outlook.  Crude prices are paring losses on optimism the economy can strengthen now that banking drama is behind us and on signs factory activity is improving.

Tensions between the US and Iran will not be easing anytime soon as the Iranian Navy intercepted an oil tanker that was headed for the US.  Energy traders are not expecting wide scale disruptions with the transportation of crude from that part of the world, but if we see a couple more ships seized, it might start to move markets.

Oil remains heavy as crude demand concerns remain and as the dollar stages a comeback.

Gold

Gold prices are lower as US banking drama, one of the big market risks, appears to be off the table.  Treasury yields are surging and that is bad news for bullion. ​ Wall Street can now focus on inflation and today’s ISM report should keep the pressure on the Fed to remain vigilant with their fight against inflation.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin is struggling here as Wall Street grows confident that the banking crisis risk has been removed from the table.  It is looking like the US banking system has a playbook to deal with the next banking crisis when it emerges, which is somewhat dampening the case for cryptos.  Bitcoin wasn’t going to make a move above the $30,000 level before the FOMC decision, so selling it after JPMorgan’s acquisition of the majority of First Republic’s assets.

Bitcoin has key support at the $27,000 level, followed by the $25,300 region.

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Ed Moya

Ed Moya

Contributing Author at OANDA
With more than 20 years’ trading experience, Ed Moya was a Senior Market Analyst with OANDA for the Americas from November 2018 to November 2023. His particular expertise lies across a wide range of asset classes including FX, commodities, fixed income, stocks and cryptocurrencies. Over the course of his career, Ed has worked with some of the leading forex brokerages, research teams and news departments on Wall Street including Global Forex Trading, FX Solutions and Trading Advantage. Prior to OANDA he worked with TradeTheNews.com, where he provided market analysis on economic data and corporate news. Based in New York, Ed is a regular guest on several major financial television networks including CNBC, Bloomberg TV, Yahoo! Finance Live, Fox Business, cheddar news, and CoinDesk TV. His views are trusted by the world’s most respected global newswires including Reuters, Bloomberg and the Associated Press, and he is regularly quoted in leading publications such as MSN, MarketWatch, Forbes, Seeking Alpha, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal. Ed holds a BA in Economics from Rutgers University.