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Stocks rally as PCE report cools and on a weakening consumer, Apple eyes $3 Trillion Market Cap

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  • Dollar weakens as inflation cools
  • Apple reaches historic $3 trillion market cap
  • Fed rate hike bets eye a peak at 5.410%

US stocks are rallying after the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge showed the disinflation process remains intact and the consumer is showing signs of weakness. A hot inflation report and Fed swaps might have been convinced that a second-rate hike by year end was likely.  Treasury yields edged lower after the PCE report was a little dovish.

US Data

The core personal consumption expenditure index, a key reading followed by the Fed rose 0.3% in May, matching the consensus estimate.  On annual basis, the PCE reading dropped from 4.7% to 4.6%.  Personal spending came in softer at 0.1%, while the prior reading was revised lower from 0.8% to 0.6%.  The consumer is starting to look a lot weaker and that should support inflation to drop even further over the coming months.

Apple

Apple is attempting to become the first $3 trillion company as Wall Street remains all-in on mega-cap tech stocks.  Last month, Apple’s capitalization became more valuable than the entire Russell 2000 and it seems like that could widen further.  Apple got a boost after Citi raised their price target to a Street-high price of $240.  Apple’s outlook remains solid given their balance sheet and future revenue projects, but these latest gains might be more of a defensive switch for traders who see a US economy that is recession bound.

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Ed Moya

Ed Moya

Contributing Author at OANDA
With more than 20 years’ trading experience, Ed Moya was a Senior Market Analyst with OANDA for the Americas from November 2018 to November 2023. His particular expertise lies across a wide range of asset classes including FX, commodities, fixed income, stocks and cryptocurrencies. Over the course of his career, Ed has worked with some of the leading forex brokerages, research teams and news departments on Wall Street including Global Forex Trading, FX Solutions and Trading Advantage. Prior to OANDA he worked with TradeTheNews.com, where he provided market analysis on economic data and corporate news. Based in New York, Ed is a regular guest on several major financial television networks including CNBC, Bloomberg TV, Yahoo! Finance Live, Fox Business, cheddar news, and CoinDesk TV. His views are trusted by the world’s most respected global newswires including Reuters, Bloomberg and the Associated Press, and he is regularly quoted in leading publications such as MSN, MarketWatch, Forbes, Seeking Alpha, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal. Ed holds a BA in Economics from Rutgers University.
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