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New Zealand dollar stems bleeding
The New Zealand dollar has edged higher today. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6261, up 0.11% on the day. NZD/USD took a tumble on Tuesday, as nervous investors waited to see if Nancy Pelosi would indeed visit Taiwan, despite furious threats from China.
by Kenneth Fisher
US Close - Rollercoaster stock market after Pelosi arrives in Taiwan, Fed nowhere near done hiking, JOLTS miss, Oil rises, Gold lower on strong dollar, Bitcoin steadies
US stocks went on a rollercoaster ride as traders grew nervous over China’s retaliation over House Speaker Pelosi’s trip to Taiwan, a reminder from Fed’s Daly that their interest rate hiking cycle is nowhere near done, and further signs the labor market is cooling but still remains tight enough for the Fed to deliver a couple more rate hikes. China’s response to Pelosi’s trip to Taiwan could have an impact on supply chains and demand, which could keep the inflationary pressures going strong.
by Edward Moya
Euro eyes Services PMIs
The euro is in negative territory today. EUR/USD is trading at 1.0207, down 0.51% on the day. Will weak German data weigh on euro? Germany, the largest economy in the eurozone, is showing signs of weakness, which bodes badly for the rest of the eurozone as well as the euro.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil dips ahead of OPEC+, gold flat
How influential is Biden in OPEC+? Oil prices are slipping again on Tuesday as traders take a more cautious stance ahead of the OPEC+ meeting. There's a lot more uncertainty this time around as they're no longer on a pre-set path that people were hoping would change but never really did.
by Craig Erlam
Nerves amid China warnings
We're seeing more risk aversion on Tuesday as Nancy Pelosi's trip to Taiwan generates numerous unsettling headlines at a time of strained ties between the US and China. US House Speaker Pelosi's proposed visit has been met with numerous threats from Beijing including an unspecified military response. They have continued this morning, hours ahead of the apparent arrival which is clearly making investors very nervous. Stock markets throughout most of Asia are in the red, with those in China, Hong
by Craig Erlam
Australian dollar sinks after RBA hike
The Australian dollar has declined sharply and is back below the symbolic 0.7000 level. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6931, down 1.35% on the day. RBA raises rates by 50bp The Reserve Bank of Australia raised interest rates by 50bp today.
by Kenneth Fisher
Stocks dip on economic slowdown fears, Asia/Europe PMIs contract while ISM softens, Oil tumbles on demand outlook, Gold rally intact, Polkadot tumbles
US stocks are off to a lackluster as the start of a new month was filled with a bunch of reminders of how quickly the global economy is slowing down and as the risks to the outlook continue to grow.  The shock contraction in China was immediately followed up with a wrath of EU manufacturing data that fell into contraction territory for the first time in almost two years. US factories are growing at the slowest pace in a couple of years, but the slower expansion was better than what most economis
by Edward Moya
Swiss franc rebound continues
USD/CHF dips below 0.9500 The Swiss franc is showing little movement today, but USD/CHF has fallen below the 0.9500 line for the first time since May. The US dollar pushed the Swiss franc above the parity line in June, but since then the Swiss franc has steadily strengthened.
by Kenneth Fisher
Aussie higher ahead of RBA decision
The Australian dollar has posted strong gains today. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.7036, up 0.67% on the day. RBA expected to hike by 50 bp The Reserve Bank of Australia meets on Tuesday and is expected to deliver a third straight hike of 0.50%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 359)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discuss the latest PMIs from China and Europe, earnings season and the week ahead.
by Craig Erlam
Euro edges despite weak German data
The euro is in positive territory today extending the gains seen on Monday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0262, up 0.35% on the day. German manufacturing declines The data out of the eurozone was none too encouraging today, but the euro shrugged off the numbers.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil dips, gold pares gains
Attention turns to OPEC+ meeting Oil prices are lower at the start of the week as traders eye the next OPEC+ meeting on Wednesday. With the previous agreement having expired as the group has theoretically unwound all of the pandemic production cuts, attention will now shift to how OPEC+ plans to actually hit those targets and whether any further increases will be announced going forward. Not many have the capacity to do that but some potentially do and President Biden will be hoping his Middle E
by Craig Erlam
A mixed start to the week
A mixed start to the week in Asia where Chinese PMIs dampened the mood as the reopening boost to activity quickly faded. The country was already facing an uphill challenge, to put it mildly, with regards to its growth target this year and the fact that manufacturing activity is slowing again doesn't bode well. While the non-manufacturing survey is much healthier, it also experienced a deceleration last month which further suggests the economy is struggling to get back to full strength. One posit
by Craig Erlam
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 358)
Jonny Hart looks back on the week's business and markets news with OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya in New York.  This week they talk about the FOMC decision, the second consecutive negative GDP reading for the US, mega-cap earnings, and what is happening in crypto markets.  They also discuss what the week ahead has in store for financial markets.
by Edward Moya
US Close: Earnings and pivot hopium boost stocks, US data impresses, Oil rallies, Gold shines, Bitcoin nears $24k
Stocks rallied after robust mega-cap tech earnings, hopium that the Fed will pivot soon, and economic data that suggests the consumer is doing just fine. ​ Apple Investors embraced Apple’s slight earnings beat with both the top and bottom line. ​ The standout miss was Mac revenue which was the first decline of the pandemic, which was due to supply constraints and FX headwinds. ​ The iPhone and services numbers were solid and will lead many to believe the consumer is still fine. ​ The numbers out
by Edward Moya
Week Ahead - Next up, jobs
Last week was action-packed and it's not likely to ease up with attention now shifting from the Fed and the "technical recession" in the US to the labour market. Various officials have highlighted the strength of the labour market when explaining why the US isn't in a real recession which will draw increased scrutiny on Friday's jobs report.
by Craig Erlam
Summer surge
Equity markets are ending another winning week in positive territory following a bumper few days of earnings, data and of course, the Fed. This week has delivered another 75 basis point rate hike, earnings and revenue misses for some of the biggest tech names and an unexpected recession that isn't a real recession in the world's largest economy. And yet, the way equity markets have responded, the week couldn't have gone much better.
by Craig Erlam
Yen extends gains on US GDP decline
USD/JPY continues to fall as the Japanese yen rally continues. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 133.26, down 0.72%. Yen rises after soft US GDP Thursday's US GDP for Q1 was weaker than expected, as the -0.9% reading surprised the markets, which had projected a 0.5% gain.
by Kenneth Fisher
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