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Pound extends losses, employment report next
The British pound is in negative territory for a third straight day. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2083, down 0.44% on the day. UK wages expected to decelerate There were no UK releases on the economic calendar today, but things will get busy, with employment data on Tuesday and the inflation report on Wednesday.
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 365)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart.  They discuss the economic data from China and Japan, Saudi Aramco results and oil.
by Craig Erlam
Oil and gold lose ground
Oil slips amid poor China data One area where traders are paying attention to the Chinese data is clearly commodity markets, with crude off 2% on Monday. The figures from China really are a concern and the authorities have a big job on their hands arresting flagging domestic demand.
by Craig Erlam
An underwhelming start
It's been an underwhelming start to the week in financial markets with the eternal optimism of investors clashing with the reality of Chinese economic data. There's a ​ bizarre willingness to turn a blind eye to the economic reality at the moment as long as the Fed doesn't raise rates too fast. That doesn't feel particularly sustainable but as we've seen so often before, it can last much longer than you may expect. Rate cut does little to ease Chinese fears The economic data from China overnight
by Craig Erlam
GBP/USD slips on GDP, US confidence data next
The British pound is in negative territory today, after a contraction in UK GDP. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2126, down 0.61% on the day. British economy declines in Q2 The British pound posted dazzling gains on Wednesday, surging 1.19%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil rebounds, gold consolidates
Brent eyes $100 after mixed headline week The oil market has bounced back this week, with Brent once more flirting with triple-figures. There's been a lot to digest this week, with Iran nuclear talks ongoing, US inventories rising, US output also rising, the Druzhba pipeline saga and the various forecasts. Even the forecasts themselves offered contrasting views, with OPEC downgrading demand growth and expecting the oil market to tip into surplus this quarter.
by Craig Erlam
The run goes on
It's been another very good week for equity markets, extending the run to four weeks in many cases as investors become more optimistic about the economic outlook. This week has been all about the inflation data and, frankly, it could be the dominant force in the markets now right up until the Jackson Hole symposium. The fact that inflation not only decelerated in the US but at a faster pace than the consensus forecasts was a double win and risk assets are feeling the benefit. Of course, it doesn
by Craig Erlam
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 364)
Jonny Hart discusses what is driving markets today with OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya in New York.  This week they talk about the latest inflation report, what is driving oil prices, and Bitcoin's rebound. They also discuss what the week ahead has in store for financial markets.
by Edward Moya
Traders reassess Fed pivot optimism, First PPI decline since early in the pandemic, Bitcoin above $24K
​Stocks were unable to hold onto robust gains following back-to-back reports that suggest inflation has peaked. ​ After a little pushback from the Fed, Wall Street is starting to second guess how soon the Fed will be in a position to pivot. ​ Fed rate hike expectations will bounce between a half-point and 75 basis-points ahead of the September policy meeting, but it is way too early to continue to expect the next round of inflation readings to keep that declining pace. PPI posts decline Producer
by Edward Moya
Oil rallies, gold rally capped
Oil  Crude prices are rising after demand destruction fears have become overdone. Nationwide gas prices are now below $4 a gallon and that should definitely provide some relief for what has been a lackluster summer driving season. ​ The economy is in too good shape for further crude demand destruction to occur and that should keep oil prices supported well above the $90 level. The IEA is noting that global oil demand growth will continue as oil consumption will benefit from new demand as elevate
by Edward Moya
Pound steady ahead of UK GDP
The British pound is trading quietly today, after posting sharp gains on Wednesday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2220, up 0.02% on the day. US inflation falls, dollar takes a tumble US inflation surprised on Wednesday, as both the CPI and the core CPI readings were lower than expected.
by Kenneth Fisher
Welcome relief
Investors are certainly in a more upbeat mood as the relief from the US inflation data ripples through the markets. Positive surprises have been hard to come by on the inflation front this year and yesterday's report was very much welcomed with open arms. While we shouldn't get too carried away by the data, with headline inflation still running at 8.5% and core 5.9%, it's certainly a start and one we've waited a long time for. Fed policymakers remain keen to stress that the tightening cycle is f
by Craig Erlam
Oil stablizes, gold pares gains
Oil treading water after volatile 24 hours Needless to say, it was quite a volatile session in oil markets on Wednesday. A positive surprise on inflation was followed by a huge inventory build reported by EIA and then the highest US output since April 2020.
by Craig Erlam
Australian dollar rises to 2-month high
The Australian dollar has extended its gains today, after rising sharply on Wednesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.7099, up 0.26% on the day. Aussie rockets on US inflation Spectacular.
by Kenneth Fisher
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 363)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discuss the inflation surprises from the US and China, and the impact on the markets.
by Craig Erlam
Oil's busy day, No need for safe-havens keep gold grounded
Oil Oil prices went on a rollercoaster ride after inflation eased slightly, the resumption of oil flows through the Druzhba pipeline, and as US production rose to the highest levels since April 2020, while oil inventories posted a large build. The EIA crude oil inventory had a lot to take in.
by Edward Moya
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