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Risk aversion remains strong
Asian markets ended mostly lower on Wednesday as trade data from China weighed on sentiment, while Europe is also lower amid heightened economic uncertainty. Trade data another blow Chinese imports and exports slumped much more than expected last month as the economy continued to stall under the weight of Covid lockdowns, heatwaves, a property market wobble, slower global demand and a weaker yuan. The headwinds facing the Chinese economy are becoming increasingly fierce and recent efforts to sho
by Craig Erlam
Canadian dollar steady ahead of BoC meeting
The Canadian dollar has edged higher today. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3173, up 0.17%. BoC expected to remain aggressive The Bank of Canada meets later today and policy makers are expected to keep their foot on the pedal and deliver a sizeable hike of 0.75%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro dips as 0.75% ECB hike in question
EUR/USD slipped to a new 20-year low earlier today, falling to 0.9864. Currently, the euro is trading at 0.9910, down 0.20%. Is ECB backtracking on a super-size hike? Eurozone government yields fell sharply today on reports that the ECB may decide to scale down an expected 75 basis point hike on Thursday.
by Kenneth Fisher
Pound up as construction data beats estimate
The British pound is in positive territory today. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.1535, up 0.13%. UK Construction PMI remains in contraction mode The UK PMIs releases for August are reflecting weak conditions across the economy.
by Kenneth Fisher
Aussie slips after RBA raises rates
The Australian dollar is in negative territory today. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6763, down 0.51%. RBA raises by 50bp The RBA isn't getting much love, even after raising rates by 50 basis points earlier today.
by Kenneth Fisher
Brent edges lower after OPEC, gold rises
Brent steadies after OPEC+ boost Brent crude is a little lower today after seeing decent gains at the start of the week following the OPEC+ output announcement. The decision to reverse the 100,000 barrel per day increase in September was more symbolic than fundamentally significant, in that it doesn't really change the dynamics in the market but it will make traders think twice about driving prices lower in the way they have recently. The disturbing global economic outlook combined with the pros
by Craig Erlam
Steady after a rocky start
It's been a mixed start to trade on Tuesday, similar to what we saw in Asia overnight, and as we await the return of the US after the long bank holiday weekend. Europe in particular was rattled on Monday by the Gazprom announcement that came after the close on Friday in relation to Nord Stream 1. The latest move in the apparent weaponisation of energy supplies has once more created huge uncertainty ahead of the winter.
by Craig Erlam
AUD/USD edges lower ahead of RBA decision
The Australian dollar has started the week with slight losses. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6798, down 0.19%. Will RBA stay aggressive with a 50bp hike? The Reserve Bank of Australia meets on Tuesday, with investors unclear as to the size of the next rate move.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro hits 20-year low on oil shutdown
The euro fell below the 0.9900 line earlier in the European session but has pared its losses. Currently, EUR/USD is trading at 0.9937, down 0.19%. Euro falls on Nord Stream 1 shutdown US markets are closed for the Labour Day holiday.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil eyes OPEC and Nord Stream 1, gold steady
OPEC+ meets after price cap announcement Today's OPEC+ meeting has been somewhat overshadowed by all the talk of oil price caps and Nord Stream 1. The group is expected to leave output targets unchanged but it's likely that a cut will be at least discussed which, if followed through on, would create more volatility and uncertainty at a time of considerable unease.
by Craig Erlam
Market Insights Podcast (Episode 371)
OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discuss the US jobs report, 24-year high in USDJPY, oil ahead of the OPEC+ meeting and Nord Stream 1.
by Craig Erlam
Week Ahead - Rate Hikes Keep Coming
The countdown to the September 13 inflation report begins as investors fixate over a wrath of Fed speak, with special attention going towards Chair Powell’s Thursday discussion on monetary policy. It is a slow start to the trading week as US markets are closed on Monday for Labor Day. Tuesday contains the release of the August ISM services index.
by Craig Erlam
A welcome US jobs report
Investors appear relatively pleased with the jobs report despite some initial choppy trade following the release. Nonfarm payrolls nudges above forecast The headline NFP figure was a little larger than expected at 315,000 which may have created that initial unease as a knockout report could have effectively paved the way for a 75 basis point rate hike this month. But once you dig a little deeper, there are aspects of the report that will please the Fed and support the case for easing off the bra
by Craig Erlam
Yen edges lower as NFP close to forecast
It has been a week to forget for the Japanese yen, as USD/JPY has climbed 2.23% and has pushed across the symbolic 140 line. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 140.57, up 0.26% on the day. US Nonfarm Payrolls within expectations There was plenty of anticipation ahead of today's nonfarm payrolls, with a consensus of 300 thousand.
by Kenneth Fisher
Aussie stabilizes after slide, NFP looms
After three straight losing sessions, the Australian dollar is in positive territory today. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6802, up 0.21%. It has been a rough stretch for the Australian dollar, which fell 2.89% in August.
by Kenneth Fisher
Euro rebounds after sharp losses, NFP next
The euro is in positive territory today after taking a nasty spill on Thursday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 0.9984, up 0.40%. Euro slides as risk appetite slides Thursday was a day to file away and move on for the euro, as EUR/USD tumbled 1.07%.
by Kenneth Fisher
Oil prices rebound, gold struggling
JCPOA talks seemingly stall but Macron remains confident Oil prices are higher today after falling close to their summer lows over the course of the week. The rebound comes as nuclear talks between Iran and the US appear to have stalled, with the former claiming they had sent a "constructive" response to proposals and the latter quickly deeming them "not constructive".
by Craig Erlam
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