Stocks: All News & Analysis

US Close: Stocks lower post hot PPI report and hawkish Fed speak, Fed's Mester saw case for 50 bp rise, Oil edges higher, Gold rebounds after six-week low, Bitcoin rises

A hot PPI report and unexpected initial jobless claims decline sent stocks lower as investors started to price in more Fed tightening. This week was a rude awakening for the disinflation process.

16-02-2023 14:28 GMT by Edward Moya

US Open: Stocks edge higher, Standard hawkish speak from Fed’s Bowman, Oil drops on demand risks, Gold vulnerable, Crypto lower

US stocks are rising as traders digest more balloon incidents and ahead of a key inflation that might tilt the Fed rate hiking scale. The initial move to start the week is higher, but traders might struggle to remain excessively bullish before tomorrow’s inflation data. Pricing pressures are expected to rise last month and we should not be surprised if the Valentine's day inflation report is very hot as used car prices and energy costs clearly rebounded last month. Risky assets could struggle

13-02-2023 10:22 GMT by Edward Moya

Market Insights Podcast (Episode 430)

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discussed the University of Michigan Sentiment Report/inflation expectations, Japan PM Kishida's expected pick to head the BOJ, crypto weakness, and the week ahead.

10-02-2023 15:09 GMT by Edward Moya

Stocks lower as rates rise, JPY pops on BOJ Gov nominee, Russia to cut oil output, Gold lower, Bitcoin breaks below $22k

US stocks are weakened as mounting inflation risks continue to drive Fed rate hike bets. The Nasdaq is getting hit the hardest as yields are moving higher again.

10-02-2023 12:32 GMT by Edward Moya

Week Ahead - A valentine's day treat

The Valentine’s Day inflation report is the main event of this week. Disinflation trends will get tested here and we could potentially have a major turning point with Wall Street’s expectations on how high the Fed will have to take interest rates. The January inflation report is expected to show headline CPI from a month ago rose 0.5%, up from the -0.1% reading in the prior month. Inflation from a year ago is expected to improve from 6.5% to 6.2%.

10-02-2023 11:28 GMT by Craig Erlam

Market Insights Podcast (Episode 429)

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discussed the State of the Union address, Fed Chair Powell's interview with David Rubenstein, and cryptos.

08-02-2023 09:26 GMT by Edward Moya

Stocks go on a Powell Rollercoaster Ride, Fed's Missed Opportunity, Oil rises, Gold volatile, Bitcoin higher

US stocks initially rallied after Fed Chair Powell didn’t take anything back from last week’s dovish FOMC press conference. Powell’s talk with David Rubenstein didn’t reveal anything new, but it will probably go down as a missed opportunity as he could have pushed back on what the market is pricing in.

07-02-2023 14:38 GMT by Edward Moya

US Close: Stocks lower on earnings and geopolitical risks, Dollar strength, Oil rises on demand hopes, Gold crushed, Bitcoin steadies

US stocks are declining on poor earnings and mounting geopolitical risks that will likely make it harder for disinflation trends to remain strong. Earnings season may also get the name layoff season as more companies announce their job reduction measures. Today, Dell confirmed they will lose about 6,650 jobs. Much of Wall Street is getting nervous over US-China tensions. A few months ago, China was not investable.

06-02-2023 15:22 GMT by Edward Moya

Week Ahead - Nearing the end of rate hikes?

Now that Wall Street has had enough time to process the dovish FOMC decision and another robust nonfarm payroll report, the focus shifts predominantly to Fed speak and economic data that should support the disinflation process. Traders will pay close attention to initial jobless claims and the University of Michigan sentiment report. Other notable economic releases include trade data, consumer credit, and the monthly budget statement.

03-02-2023 15:35 GMT by Craig Erlam

US Close - Fed irked by NFP shocker and ISM data, Oil sharply reverses, Gold crushed, Bitcoin rally stalls

After a busy and volatile week that included the end of Fed Chair Powell’s hawkish tone and mega-cap tech earnings disappointments, Wall Street should not have been surprised that today’s employment report would rattle markets. An impressive nonfarm payroll report was quickly followed by a report that showed the service sector is refusing to break. US stocks are dropping as investors realize the bearish move love with Treasury yields is over as the Fed may have to deliver a couple more rate hik

03-02-2023 14:13 GMT by Edward Moya

Stocks rally on Fed aftermath and Meta results, ECB plays catch up, oil in no man’s land, gold lower, bitcoin rallies

US stocks are rallying as the Fed has one or two more quarter-point rate rises left in this rate-hiking cycle. The post-Fed playbook was fairly straightforward as traders bought up risky assets after Fed Chair Powell’s dovish tone.

02-02-2023 15:30 GMT by Edward Moya

Stocks rally as ECI softens and confidence weakens, Mixed earnings (Exxon, UPS, GM, McDonalds), a great January for Cryptos

US stocks are rallying after some standout earnings and economic data that suggests disinflation trends should remain in place for a while. Wall Street is slowly growing confident that this week's Fed rate hike might end up being the last one in this tightening cycle. US Data The quarterly employment cost index provided optimism that wage pressures are cooling. The fourth quarter ECI report printed at 1.0%, a decline from the 1.2% prior and lower than the 1.1% consensus estimate.

31-01-2023 13:45 GMT by Edward Moya

Week Ahead - All eyes on the Fed, ECB, BOE and NFP report

US Traders will focus on the FOMC decision, but they should also closely watch mega-cap tech earnings, and the nonfarm payroll report. The Fed is expected to continue slowing their rate hiking pace with a small 25 basis point rate rise. Disinflation trends are clearly here, but Core PCE suggest price pressures are coming and the labor market refuses to break and could prompt the Fed to remain vigilant with its inflation fight.

27-01-2023 14:00 GMT by Edward Moya

Mid-Market Update: Stocks edge higher, Core PCE, Intel's woes, Oil dips below $80, Gold hovers, Bitcoin wavers at $23K

US stocks are slightly higher as investors digest mixed earnings and hold onto hopes that the Fed will not overtighten. Stocks have gone from oversold to elevated levels as recession risks fade and investors doubt the Fed will follow through with their dot plot forecast.

27-01-2023 12:54 GMT by Edward Moya

The end of global tightening, Tesla, Chevron, airlines, bitcoin softens

US stocks rallied after recession risks eased following better-than-expected GDP data. So today’s data was good news that was able to send stocks a little bit higher, but not all the way as rate cut bets were pared back.

26-01-2023 12:09 GMT by Edward Moya

US Close - Stocks stay hot, Dollar wavers, Oil steady, Gold rally hits a wall, Crypto momentum

US stocks are rallying as Wall Street awaits a busy earnings week as well as major GDP and core PCE data later this week that should confirm Fed calls for another downshift in tightening of rates. Corporate earnings have been coming in softer than expected and that should continue to drive recession trends, which are what is needed to get the Fed to stop tightening. Salesforce is gaining much attention after activist Elliot Management took a multibillion-dollar stake in it. Spotify also announ

23-01-2023 15:26 GMT by Edward Moya

Stocks rally as Google job cuts support disinflation trends, Fed speak, Oil’s good week, Gold hovers near 9-month highs, Bitcoin above $21k

US stocks are rallying as tech stages a comeback following Google parent Alphabet’s announcement that they will cut its global workforce by more than 6%. The reduction of 12,000 jobs globally for Google confirms a clear trend of mega-cap cost-cutting measures. First it was Amazon and Microsoft with major job cut announcements and now it is Google. We should see this theme spread across other sectors throughout the year and that should help keep disinflation trends intact.

20-01-2023 12:09 GMT by Edward Moya

Week Ahead - Earnings season a highlight

US It will be a busy week filled with the first look at Q4 GDP, corporate earnings, and US debt ceiling gridlock. There is a lot of risk on the table and a key focal point for many will be the modest growth we will see alongside a plethora of data points that are signalling recession warnings.

20-01-2023 12:01 GMT by Craig Erlam

Mid-Market Update: Stocks drop on tightening and growth fears, Fed speak, Treasury uses special measures, US Data, Oil higher, Gold shines, Bitcoin finds support ahead of $20k

US stocks are declining after another labor market statistic shows that despite all the big-tech post-pandemic layoffs, the jobs market remains hot. The labor market needs to break to allow the Fed to comfortably keep rates on hold.

19-01-2023 11:09 GMT by Edward Moya

US Close: A busy Tuesday (China’s GDP, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Empire, ECB), Commodities mixed, Cryptos soften

US stocks are wavered as traders digest mixed bank earnings, a disheartening Empire manufacturing report, and as Treasuries rally at the front-end of the curve. The Dow’s decline is mostly thanks to Goldman Sachs massive earnings miss. China’s GDP The good outweighs the bad with the outlook for China’s economic future. China’s latest swathe of economic data points provide significant optimism that their reopening momentum could impress throughout the year.

17-01-2023 14:02 GMT by Edward Moya

Stocks: all news & analysis