Stocks: All News & Analysis

Wall Street ready for a long weekend, Jobless Claims confirms labor market weakness is here, Canada Jobs Impress

Wall Street looks like it is ready for both a long weekend and a nonfarm payroll report that will likely show labor market weakness is happening. Stocks wavered most of the session as investors refrained from massive positioning before this shortened trading week wraps up. Some traders however don’t want exposure in case we get an upside surprise with the jobs report, just like Canada did today. Stocks settled higher as job softness and Fed Bullard's comments suggest monetary policy is almost

06-04-2023 13:55 GMT by Edward Moya

Stocks fall as Wall Street goes Defensive

ADP mattered this week Wages advance at slowest pace in over a year Services Sector Cools Wall Street is realizing that you need a strong economy to keep stocks heading higher. Treasury yields headed lower after both the ADP private payrolls report and ISM Services Index both suggested the economy is weakening.

05-04-2023 16:20 GMT by Edward Moya

Stocks get Jolted, Labor market is starting to loosen

10-year Treasury Yield tumbles from 10 bps to 3.34% after JOLTS data Stocks 4-day winning streak snapped Dollar looking vulnerable as Fed's tightening work almost done US Stocks Stocks got jolted after labor market weakness suggested both disinflation trends will remain but also the economy is quickly weakening. Job vacancies were dropping pre-banking crisis, so it is seems logical this will become more noticeable in the coming months. The bears are feeling confident that the recent rally ca

04-04-2023 15:33 GMT by Edward Moya

Banking Sector Drama Continues, Stocks pare losses as rate cuts fully priced in

Investors try to shrug off banking drama Wall Street was initially dragged down as banking worries persisted after Deutsche Bank’s costs against default skyrocketed. Deutsche Bank’s 5-year CDS surged from around 150 bps early on Thursday to a four-year high around 210 bps before settling closer to 193 bps. Other European banks, Societe Generale, Credit Agricole and BNP Paribas declined on banking turmoil fears.

24-03-2023 15:32 GMT by Edward Moya

US Close - Fed’s dovish hike trumped by Yellen not considering broad increase in deposit insurance, Oil rallies, Gold gets groove back, Bitcoin softens

Wall Street’s initial take on the Fed was that they delivered a dovish hike and that banking turmoil will finish the job of bringing inflation back to target. Fed Chair Powell started the press conference by noting that the banking system is sound, but Treasury Secretary Yellen put a wrench in that idea. Yellen noted that regulators are not considering a broad increase in deposit insurance. Yellen said she is not considering a broad increase in deposit insurance despite all the discussion aro

22-03-2023 17:07 GMT by Edward Moya

US Close: Fed expected to hike one more time, Yellen calms markets, Oil rebounds, Gold hit by profit-taking, Bitcoin awaits Fed

US stocks are higher as officials signal they will do whatever it takes to protect the banking system. Treasury Secretary Yellen’s comments at the American Bankers Association conference sparked today’s risk-on mood.

21-03-2023 15:52 GMT by Edward Moya

US Open: Stocks waver after UBS takeover deal/coordinated CB action/banking worries, Yen thrives on risk aversion flows, Bullish oil bets abandoned, Gold $2k, Bitcoin closer to $40k than November low

Looks like it will be another long week on Wall Street. It was a busy weekend after a Credit Suisse bailout and a coordinated effort by the Fed and other central banks to boost dollar liquidity. Despite a couple major weekend attempts to contain the risks hitting the banking system, US stocks are wavering as risk aversion won’t be going away until markets are confident that the Fed is done with their rate hiking campaign. The banking system still doesn’t have any confidence as Wall Street tri

20-03-2023 09:47 GMT by Edward Moya

Week Ahead - More turmoil to come?

A week ago, a lot of economists were thinking the Fed was going to pick up the pace of rate hikes as disinflation trends were struggling given a robust core services inflation reading and tight labor market conditions. A banking crisis however is changing how policymakers are assessing the impact of the first eight rate hikes.

17-03-2023 18:24 GMT by Craig Erlam

Market Insights Podcast (Episode 445)

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya reviews the latest market news with Jonny Hart. They discussed the market reaction after this week's banking turmoil, the University of Michigan sentiment report, Fed expectations for next week, recap the ECB decision, cryptos, and the week ahead.

17-03-2023 14:02 GMT by Edward Moya

US Open: Stocks still jittery on banking woes, Inflation expectation fall to lowest levels in nearly 2 years, Crude struggles, Gold shines, Bitcoin eyes $30k

US stocks are weakening on fears that this week’s banking turmoil will lead to tighter lending standards that will cripple small businesses and eventually send this economy into a recession. The Fed’s rate hiking cycle was already feeling restrictive, so now that we have rising risks of more bank bailouts and even tighter credit standards, the growth outlook for the economy is rather bleak. Next week will be huge as markets are unsure if the Fed will continue to tighten or given this week's ban

17-03-2023 10:58 GMT by Edward Moya

US Close: Stocks rally as bank jitters ease, No surprises from Yellen, ECB hikes, Oil rebounds, profit-taking time for gold, Bitcoin edges higher

US stocks are rallying as Wall Street worries over the banking sector are easing after the big banks offer support to First Republic and as the SNB gave Credit Suisse a lifeline. Banking jitters are fading quickly for now and that has everyone scrambling back into risky assets. Yellen Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s testimony to the Senate did not yield any surprises. She defended the proposed budget and reiterated that there will be a careful look at what happened with SVB.

16-03-2023 13:52 GMT by Edward Moya

EUR/USD - Credit Suisse woes knock down euro, will ECB hike today?

The euro has rebounded on Thursday after sliding 1.5% a day earlier, its worst daily showing since September 2022. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0613, up 0.35%. The financial markets are in turmoil, with fears growing that the Silicon Valley collapse could lead to a full-blown banking crisis.

16-03-2023 06:21 GMT by Kenneth Fisher

Mid-Market Update: Stocks fall as banking worries persist, Credit Suisse crisis, Euro plunges, Oil crashes through $70, Gold demand surges, Bitcoin softer

US stocks are dropping as Wall Street anticipates further global banking turmoil after Credit Suisse fails to secure additional capital and their CDS hit crisis levels. Weak banks are feeling exposed to the past year of global central bank tightening and they will likely now have to deal with skyrocketing funding costs. The bloodbath is not just hitting financials, but also sending energy, material, and industrial stocks lower. Yields/FX Treasury yields are in freefall and so our Fed rate

15-03-2023 13:35 GMT by Edward Moya

US Close: Regional Banks crushed, Chaotic Stock session as Fed Regulators intervened, Oil pummeled, Gold surges, Bitcoin posts best rally since FTX turmoil

US stocks had a chaotic day as bank stocks crumbled and interest rate sensitive sectors rallied as Treasury yields tumbled. Over the weekend, Federal regulators rushed in to squash a growing liquidity crisis.

13-03-2023 15:04 GMT by Edward Moya

US Close: A cooling wage/hot payroll report, Banking System Fears, Rate Hike bets slashed, SVB fails, Oil rebounds, Gold shines bright, Crypto breaks below $20k

US stocks settled lower in a volatile session as traders digested a cooling wage/ robust job growth report and SVB contagion risks. This was supposed to be an easy Friday with one massive jobs report, but SVB, a large bank with exposure across a range of sectors failed and triggered distress for several other smaller banks. At the end of the day, traders are seeing this cooling/hot payroll report as confirmation that Fed policy is restrictive and that the their tightening work is almost done.

10-03-2023 13:44 GMT by Edward Moya

US Open: Stocks turn positive after Jobless Claims rise, Biden’s Budget DOA, Yen strength, Oil rebounds, Gold stabilizes, Crypto pain post Silvergate liquidation

US stocks erased losses after some softening labor data helped cool down this week’s surging Fed rate hike bets. Wall Street is hoping we are about to see a quicker cooling of the labor market, but we probably won't see major positioning until after Friday's NFP report. Fed Chair Powell seems to have signaled they will accelerate the tightening pace to a half-point rate rise if we get both a hot NFP and inflation reports.

09-03-2023 09:26 GMT by Edward Moya

Mid-Market Update: Powell Part Deux, Labor Market still looks hot after ADP & JOLTS, Stocks struggle, Oil remains heavy, Gold wavers, Bitcoin softens

US stocks struggled to find direction after another round of labor data suggests this market will remain tight and on Fed Chair Powell’s second day of testimony on Capitol Hill. Powell did not deliver any surprises, repeating that the Fed may need to speed up the pace of its interest rate increases if necessary.

08-03-2023 13:43 GMT by Edward Moya

US Close: King Dollar returns, Hawkish Powell sinks risk appetite, Oil and gold punished, Bitcoin nears lower boundaries

Fed Chair Powell killed risk appetite with a hawkish first day on Capitol Hill. Powell said that the Fed will likely need to raise interest rates more than expected due to the recent strong data and is prepared to move in larger steps if the "totality" of incoming information suggests more needs to be done to bring down inflation. US stocks did not stand a chance after Fed Chair Powell convinced markets that policymakers are comfortable taking this rate hiking campaign much higher.

07-03-2023 15:28 GMT by Edward Moya

US Open: Stocks waver ahead of Powell, Biden eyes higher taxes, RBA almost done hiking, EUR supported on rising ECB bets, Oil and gold await Fed, Bitcoin softens

US stocks are slightly higher ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s Congressional testimony. Everyone is expecting Fed Chair Powell to deliver his best hits of ‘we have more work to do’ and ‘higher for longer’. Powell might not commit how much higher rates will go, but he will keep the door open for the Fed’s dot plots to move higher. Lawmakers will argue that we don’t need to see a recession to bring inflation back to target. Powell will likely signal that Americans could see economic pain later this

07-03-2023 07:46 GMT by Edward Moya

Week Ahead - A pivotal moment

The US has a very busy week ahead. The two main events are Fed Chair Powell’s semi-annual testimony to Congress and the nonfarm payroll report. Powell’s two days at Capitol Hill will undoubtedly draw scrutiny from lawmakers as more tightening will raise the risk this economy is recession bound. Traders will look to see how hawkish Powell will remain given the mostly strong data, recently.

03-03-2023 17:38 GMT by Craig Erlam

Stocks: all news & analysis