- Nonfarm Payrolls June (NFP), +147k vs. +110k expected, beat of +37,000
- Average Monthly Earnings June (YoY), +3.7% vs. +3.9% expected, miss of -0.2%
- Average Monthly Earnings June (MoM), +0.2% vs. +0.3% expected, miss of -0.1%
- Unemployment Rate June, 4.1% vs. 4.3% expected, beat of 0.2%
Nonfarm Payrolls (June 2025):
Breaking: The US Economy added +147,000 jobs in June, beating expectations by +37,000. Monthly unemployment also fell to 4.1%, its lowest level since March.
As part of the same release, average monthly earnings rose by 0.2% MoM and 3.7% YoY, both falling short of consensus.
Key takeaway: The US labor markets is healthier than previously thought, reducing rate cut bets.
Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 147,000 in June, and the unemployment rate changed little at 4.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in state government and health care. Federal government continued to lose jobs.
Employment Situation Summary, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 03/07/2025
Market reaction
In the minutes following the release, the DJIA trades 0.17% higher, extending daily gains, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 trade 0.23% and 0.31% higher respectively.
Otherwise, the dollar (DXY) has rallied 0.5%, while gold (XAU/USD) has fallen 0.91%.
Markets now look towards further US economic releases today:
- 09:45 EDT, S&P Global Composite PMI June
- 10:00 EDT, ISM Services PMI June
- 10:00 EDT, ISM Services Prices Paid June
- 10:00 EDT, ISM Services New Orders Index June
- 10:00 EDT, ISM Services Employment Index June
- 10:00 EDT, Factory Orders May (MoM)
- 11:00 EDT, Fed Raphael Bostic Speech
Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only.
If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use.
Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets.
© 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.