Gold and Silver Liftoff as Dollar Dumped and North Korea Tests

Renewed dollar selling and a North Korean missile test supercharge gold and dragging silver higher.


Gold powers higher in early Asia, leaping from 1310 to 1325 at one stage as North Korea conducted a missile test that flew over Japan. Gold has pulled back since as USD/JPY, and the Nikkei regained some of their losses but still sits AT 1318.00, up 0.60% on the day. Risk aversion following this morning’s missile test should see gold bid on any dip from these levels.

The events of this morning have somewhat overshadowed gold’s performance in the New York session where gold proceeded directly to go and put in a monster 20 dollar rally from its opening 1290.00 level. Trump’s negative comments on the NAFTA renegotiation and no tightening signals from Jackson Hole see U.S. dollar selling renew with vigour in New York.

Gold broke the previous monthly high at 1301.00 with ease which will now become an intraday pivot level. The momentum of the rally is impressive although we note that the daily relative strength index is entering an overbought territory which may slow gold’s ascent temporarily in the absence of any more geopolitical tensions.

Nevertheless, with the U.S. dollar and stock markets under pressure, today gold should find support at 1310.00, and its initial target around  1337.00 is now well and truly in sight, perhaps sooner rather than later.


Silver also enjoyed an excellent overnight session, moving higher in a straight line from its 200-day moving average and daily support at 17.0400, some 40 cents to 17.4400. In the process taking out the top of its ascending triangle and initial resistance at 17.3900, now intra-day support, to close at 17.4500.

Silver’s next target now becomes the May high at 17.7600 with a daily close above here implying a technical move above  18.0000 is possible. Silver has had a more muted start in Asia than gold, trading slightly higher to 17.4800 in early trading.


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Jeffrey Halley

Jeffrey Halley

Senior Market Analyst, Asia Pacific, from 2016 to August 2022
With more than 30 years of FX experience – from spot/margin trading and NDFs through to currency options and futures – Jeffrey Halley was OANDA’s Senior Market Analyst for Asia Pacific, responsible for providing timely and relevant macro analysis covering a wide range of asset classes. He has previously worked with leading institutions such as Saxo Capital Markets, DynexCorp Currency Portfolio Management, IG, IFX, Fimat Internationale Banque, HSBC and Barclays. A highly sought-after analyst, Jeffrey has appeared on a wide range of global news channels including Bloomberg, BBC, Reuters, CNBC, MSN, Sky TV and Channel News Asia as well as in leading print publications such as The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal, among others. He was born in New Zealand and holds an MBA from the Cass Business School.
Jeffrey Halley
Jeffrey Halley

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