Oil breaks higher, gold choppy after nonfarm payrolls

Oil finally breaks higher and with decent momentum

Another strong showing on Friday saw oil prices finally make a significant move higher, with Brent breaking above $77 and ending the series of lower highs in price. There still remain obstacles above but this could be a very significant breakout in the price after such a long period of consolidation.

What’s more there doesn’t appear to be any shortage of momentum behind the move; in fact, it has seemingly increased which could be another bullish signal. The next obstacle for Brent could be $78.50 where it failed in June and appears to be seeing some resistance again. Saudi Arabia and Russia may finally get what they wanted with the recent cuts.

Gold choppy after NFP, US inflation data up next

It’s been a choppy couple of weeks for gold which appears to have consolidated again, this time in the $1,900-$1,940 range. There hasn’t been any particularly good news for the yellow metal of late and Friday’s jobs report seemingly gave with one hand and took with the other.

Perhaps Wednesday’s inflation data will change that but for now, gold traders appear quite uncertain about what lies ahead and therefore what it ultimately means for the yellow metal. They aren’t giving up easily but a hotter inflation number could change that.

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Former Craig

Former Craig

Former Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary. His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.