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Oil and gold rise

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Crude prices rose after constant reminders that the oil market is still tight. ​ Saudi energy minister Abdulaziz noted that they need to retain spare oil capacity. On Halliburton’s earnings conference call they stated that oil and gas supply is tight for the foreseeable future. ​ Earlier Valero said that US fuel demand has surpassed 2019 levels.

Risk appetite was somewhat healthy and that helped keep oil prices positive this morning. ​ The dollar rally hit a wall and that should provide a boost for all commodities.

Gold higher as Treasury yields fall

Gold prices got a boost as Treasuries kept the rally going on strong. US economic data is deteriorating and that is helping push down Treasury yields. ​ If the data keeps on getting uglier, the December FOMC meeting debate might not be between a half-point increase and 75 basis-point hike, but with a quarter-point rise and 50 basis-point boost.

Gold’s rebound is gaining momentum as the 10-year Treasury yield continues to drop further away from last Friday’s high. ​ Gold’s bearish trend has firmly been in place after prices could not hold the $2000 level in the spring. ​ We’ve seen some bullion rallies stall around the 50-day SMA, which means this current rebound could target the $1700 level.

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Ed Moya

Ed Moya

Contributing Author at OANDA
With more than 20 years’ trading experience, Ed Moya was a Senior Market Analyst with OANDA for the Americas from November 2018 to November 2023. His particular expertise lies across a wide range of asset classes including FX, commodities, fixed income, stocks and cryptocurrencies. Over the course of his career, Ed has worked with some of the leading forex brokerages, research teams and news departments on Wall Street including Global Forex Trading, FX Solutions and Trading Advantage. Prior to OANDA he worked with TradeTheNews.com, where he provided market analysis on economic data and corporate news. Based in New York, Ed is a regular guest on several major financial television networks including CNBC, Bloomberg TV, Yahoo! Finance Live, Fox Business, cheddar news, and CoinDesk TV. His views are trusted by the world’s most respected global newswires including Reuters, Bloomberg and the Associated Press, and he is regularly quoted in leading publications such as MSN, MarketWatch, Forbes, Seeking Alpha, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal. Ed holds a BA in Economics from Rutgers University.
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