Asian equities cautiously mixed

Inflationary fears continued to ease overnight, as data from the US and Asia pointed downwards. In the US, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index retreated from near fifty-year highs to 31.5, much lower than expected. In Asia this morning, the data has been equally benign. South Korean PPI, MoM for April, fell to 0.60%, Australia’s Markit Composite Flash PMI for May fell to 58.10, led by services, while Preliminary Retail Sales MoM for April eased to 1.10%. Japan’s Inflation Rate MoM for April fell by -0.40%, which was a sharper drop than expected.

Wall Street rallies but Asia cautious

Although Wall Street rallied strongly overnight, with the intra-day momentum tail-chasers continuing to rule the roost, Asia is decidedly more subdued as caution rather than exuberance rules. Having decided that inflation wasn’t a problem yesterday, the S&P 500 rose 1.06%, the Nasdaq leapt by 1.77%, and the Down Jones edged 0.53% higher. Futures on all three have edged up 0.10% in Asian trading.

In Asia, ranges have been small. The picture is more mixed, with local positioning flows driving small ranges with even the retail fast-money hotspots of Japan, South Korea, Australia and Hong Kong having a rest. The Nikkei 225 is 0.56% higher, while the Kospi has edged 0.16% lower. Mainland China’s Shanghai Composite has moved o.45% lower, while the CSI 300 has fallen 0.85%. Hong Kong has drifted 0.38% lower.

Singapore is up just 0.10%, while Taipei has climbed 1.0% as value hunters continue to unwind last week’s sell-off and look for semi-conductor bargains. Malaysia is the region’s underperformer, with the KLCI falling 1.25% today. Record Covid-19 cases and the fall in oil prices lie behind the fall, while the massive jump in CPI to 4.70% this morning has sparked inflation fears in one corner of the world. Meanwhile, Australian markets are quiet, the ASX 200 and All Ordinaries down just 0.10%.

European markets are set to open modestly higher as a sense of calm descends on equity markets. Low prints on European and US data today will alleviate inflation nerves even more and likely spark a rally in both centres into the end of the week.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Jeffrey Halley

Jeffrey Halley

Senior Market Analyst, Asia Pacific, from 2016 to August 2022
With more than 30 years of FX experience – from spot/margin trading and NDFs through to currency options and futures – Jeffrey Halley was OANDA’s Senior Market Analyst for Asia Pacific, responsible for providing timely and relevant macro analysis covering a wide range of asset classes. He has previously worked with leading institutions such as Saxo Capital Markets, DynexCorp Currency Portfolio Management, IG, IFX, Fimat Internationale Banque, HSBC and Barclays. A highly sought-after analyst, Jeffrey has appeared on a wide range of global news channels including Bloomberg, BBC, Reuters, CNBC, MSN, Sky TV and Channel News Asia as well as in leading print publications such as The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal, among others. He was born in New Zealand and holds an MBA from the Cass Business School.
Jeffrey Halley
Jeffrey Halley

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