Euro dips to 4-week low

The euro has declined for a second successive day. Currently, EUR/USD is trading at 1.2119, down 0.32% on the day.

Euro remains under pressure

The markets have become accustomed to the US dollar being a punching bag for the major currencies, but that trend has not continued in the New Year. EUR/USD is down close to one percent this week, and if the currency doesn’t recover before the Friday close, it will be the pair’s sharpest weekly decline since October. Earlier in the day, the pair touched a low of 1.2111, its lowest level since December 11th.

The eurozone is facing a new wave of Covid-19, which has prompted lockdowns across the bloc. This has hampered economic growth, but one bright spot has been industrial production. Eurozone Industrial Production for November sparkled at 2.5%, crushing the estimate of 0.2 per cent. This follows a gain of 2.0% beforehand. Despite the severe economic fallout from Covid, industrial production is practically at pre-Covid levels. The demand for Eurozone exports has strengthened, which has boosted industrial production as well as manufacturing, which continues to post PMIs well into expansionary territory.

Somewhat overshadowed by the explosive events in Washington, employment numbers have plunged. Last week, nonfarm payrolls showed a loss of 140 thousand jobs in December, its worst showing since April. This was followed today with another bleak release, as Unemployment Claims ballooned to 965 thousand, up sharply from 787 thousand a week earlier. This was the highest unemployment figure since August, when lockdowns resulted in weekly new jobless claims above the 1-million level. These weak numbers are reflective of a US economy that remains stuck in low gear.


EUR/USD Technical

  • There is resistance at 1.2207, followed by a resistance line is at 1.2256
  • EUR/USD is testing resistance at 1.2124. Below, there is support at 1.2090, which has held since early December
  • The pair is moving closer to the 50-MA line at 1.2063. A close below this line is a bearish technical signal

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Market Analyst at OANDA
A highly experienced financial market analyst with a focus on fundamental analysis, Kenneth Fisher’s daily commentary covers a broad range of markets including forex, equities and commodities. His work has been published in several major online financial publications including, Seeking Alpha and FXStreet. Based in Israel, Kenny has been a MarketPulse contributor since 2012.
Kenny Fisher

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