Oil remains under pressure, gold holding on

Oil holds firm around $40

Oil prices recovered slightly on Tuesday but are under a little pressure again today.

Under the circumstances, it’s perhaps surprising they’re being as resilient as they are given that much of last week’s rally was driven by temporary factors that have since resolved themselves. We seem to be edging ever closer to lockdowns across Europe which is a downside risk for oil, while US cases may pose a threat as well.

Saudi Arabia and Russia are keen for members of the OPEC+ group to abide by past output agreements in order to maintain prices at an acceptable level. The pressure we’ve seen on prices since September may force memebers to meet before December, especially if compliance becomes a broader problem.

Gold continues to hover as risk events unfold

Gold is continuing to hover around the $1,900 level, where it has been consolidating around in recent weeks.

There are a huge number of major risk events  in the coming weeks that should determine how it ends the year and we could just see it consolidating as we await for these events unfold.

The near-term risks are tilted to the downside for gold but sentiment has appeared to improve in recent weeks, which could make the coming sessions quite interesting. If things get worse before they get better – pandemic, stimulus, election uncertainty, Brexit etc – this could drag on gold a little more and put pressure on $1,850.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Senior Market Analyst - UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a Market Analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary. His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and BNN. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.
Craig Erlam