Mini-budget delivered, but will it deliver?

Sunak Announces Mini-Budget

The COVID-19 pandemic has devastated the British economy, with GDP declining in the second quarter by 2.2%. Manufacturing and services are struggling and millions of workers have lost their jobs or on furlough. Boris Johnson’s government has been under pressure to deliver economic relief to a battered and nervous public, and the government is hoping that the just-released mini-budget (in reality a summer statement) will deliver the goods. If the mini-budget, announced by Chancellor Rishi Sunak on Wednesday afternoon is well received, it could restore confidence in the government and also give a needed boost to the British pound.

Job Programs for Unemployed Youth

What are the main highlights of the mini-budget?  Firstly, the mini-budget offers relief to the battered employment market. With youth (aged 18-24) unemployment at high levels, the government has earmarked some two billion pounds to programs that will help these individuals find work. This includes subsidised work placements for young workers as well as an increase in the number of job coaches.

Stamp duty exemption

The summer statement also addresses the housing market, which is sagging as a result of tight consumer spending. In an effort to revive the housing market, Sunak announced a temporary suspension of the stamp duty, which means a tax exemption on the first 500,000 pounds on the price of homes. However, the exemption is limited to England and Northern Ireland.

VAT reductions

Under the mini-budget, consumers and businesses will benefit from sharp reductions in VAT (value-added tax). The Chancellor announced that the present VAT rate of 20% was being reduced to just 5% on expenses related to food, accommodation and entertainment. The cut will be in effect from July 15 until January 12 and is expected to cost the government some four billion pounds in lost tax revenue. The thinking behind the sharp slash in VAT rates is to increase spending on the part of nervous consumers and provide much-needed relief to food establishments and the hotel and entertainment industries, which have been battered by the economic meltdown and lockdown in the wake of Corvid-19.

It will take time to evaluate the success of the mini-budget, but with no actual budget due until the autumn, it was important for the government to be proactive during this unprecedented crisis. In announcing today’s measures, Sunak and his government colleagues are hoping that today’s moves will ease the severe economic conditions which have gripped the UK and breathe some life into the economy.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Kenny Fisher joined OANDA in 2012 as a Currency Analyst. Kenny writes a daily column about current economic and political developments affecting the major currency pairs, with a focus on fundamental analysis. Kenny began his career in forex at Bendix Foreign Exchange in Toronto, where he worked as a Corporate Account Manager for over seven years.