Dow jumps 250 points as bond yields rebound, Disney and tech shares lead

Stocks rose on Thursday as global bond yields rebounded while investors digested better-than-expected trade data out of China.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded 250 points higher, or 0.95%. The S&P 500 gained 1.3% while the Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.6%.

Tech shares led the gains, with the sector rising more than 1%. AMD was the best-performing stock in the sector, surging about 14% as investors cheered the release of a second-generation chip for data centers.

Disney shares also contributed to the gains, rising 1.4% after an analyst Credit Suisse upgraded the media giant to outperform from neutral. The analyst expects the company will have a successful launch of Disney+, the company’s streaming service.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield traded at 1.76%. In Germany, the 10-year bund yielded negative 0.5% after sliding to negative 0.6% — a record low — in the previous session.

The jump in global bond yields coincided with a Reuters report saying Germany is considering issuing new debt to finance a climate protection package. The report cited a German senior government official.

Yields plummeted around the world on Wednesday as investors piled into safer assets on worries over the global economy.

Tumbling yields can signal global growth concerns from investors and fuel sharp pullbacks in equity markets. An escalation in trade tensions between China and the United States has accentuated these fears in recent days. Wall Street saw a wild ride Wednesday when the S&P 500 logged its biggest intraday comeback of the year.

A slew of rate cuts from central banks around the world fueled the worries over global growth. New Zealand, India and Thailand all cut interest rates, citing concerns over growth slowing down.

“The net result of all this has been a collapse in global rates both at the long end and short end of curves that far outstrips the deceleration in global activity,” said Michael Shaoul, CEO of Marketfield Asset Management, in a note. “We are far more used to seeing the reverse take place, with central banks historically slow to react to sharp deteriorations in corporate earnings and only stepping in once employment markets start to signal the impact on employment.”

“Instead central banks and fixed income markets appear to be trapped in a feedback cycle whereby lower yields signal looser polices and vice versa,” Shaoul said. “What this actually means for underlying economic activity is much harder to ascertain.”

Strong data out of China helped calm Wall Street down. China said exports rose 3.3% on a year-over-year basis in July. Economists polled by Reuters expected exports to fall by 2%.

The data helped Asian stocks rise overnight. The Shanghai Composite gained 0.9% while the Nikkei 225 climbed 0.4%.

However, investors remained cautious as they monitored the yuan. China’s central bank set the official reference rate for the Chinese currency at 7.0039 yuan per dollar on Thursday — the weakest level since April 21, 2008.

China set the yuan’s midpoint above 7 per U.S. dollar earlier this week. That sparked the worst sell-off on Wall Street for 2019.

CNBC

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Ed Moya

Ed Moya

Senior Market Analyst at OANDA
With more than 20 years’ trading experience, Ed Moya is a market analyst with OANDA, producing up-to-the-minute fundamental analysis of geo-political events and monetary policies in the US, Europe, the Middle East and North Africa. Over the course of his career, he has worked with some of the world’s leading forex brokerages and research departments including Global Forex Trading, FX Solutions and Trading Advantage. Most recently he worked with TradeTheNews.com, where he provided market analysis on economic data and corporate news. Based in New York, Ed is a regular guest on several major financial television networks including BNN, CNBC, Fox Business, and Bloomberg. He is often quoted in leading print and online publications such as the Wall Street Journal and the Washington Post. He holds a BA in Economics from Rutgers University. Follow Ed on Twitter @edjmoya ‏
Ed Moya