Stocks pop on strong Philly Fed and jobless claims data; Netflix reports after the close

Earning season is picking up and stocks were initially lower after poor results from Morgan Stanley, but those losses were erased after strong US economic data.

Early in New York, S&P 500 futures were pointing to a lower open after Morgan Stanley fourth quarter results disappointed, coming nowhere near the blockbuster results we saw yesterday with Goldman Sachs or Bank of America.  Morgan Stanley profit came in at $0.73, a 17-cent miss, while revenue fell to $8.55 billion, much lower than the analysts’ forecast of $9.44 billion. Some are shrugging off the poor numbers and attributing them to the additional risk they took in the fourth quarter.  Morgan Stanley’s bread and butter is equity trading and that came in at $1.93 billion much lower than $2.01 billion eyed.  Overall the poor results painted a different picture than what the other major banks reported this week.

US stocks reversed earlier losses after the release of Philadelphia business outlook.  The January release came in at 17.0, above the forecast range of 0.0 to 13.0.  New orders also rose from 13.3 to 21.3.  Jobless claims also posted strong results with 213,000, better than the expected 220,000 and prior reading of 216,000.  Treasuries also fell, as the yield on the 10-year rose from 2.71 to 2.7325.  The dollar is little changed to the euro and yen, but seeing declines with the British pound.

The momentum in stock buying however ran out of steam and was unable to take out yesterday’s high.  The next major earning’s release will come after the close when Netflix reports.

Price action on the S&P 500 index shows the recent rally is facing resistance from the 50-day SMA, which currently trades at 2,626.  If we see a daily close above that level, further upside could target the 2,700 region.  Major resistance remains the 2,750 level.  To the downside, 2,550 could provide initial support followed by 2,475.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Ed Moya

Ed Moya

Senior Market Analyst at OANDA
With more than 20 years’ trading experience, Ed Moya is a market analyst with OANDA, producing up-to-the-minute fundamental analysis of geo-political events and monetary policies in the US, Europe, the Middle East and North Africa. Over the course of his career, he has worked with some of the world’s leading forex brokerages and research departments including Global Forex Trading, FX Solutions and Trading Advantage. Most recently he worked with TradeTheNews.com, where he provided market analysis on economic data and corporate news. Based in New York, Ed is a regular guest on several major financial television networks including BNN, CNBC, Fox Business, and Bloomberg. He is often quoted in leading print and online publications such as the Wall Street Journal and the Washington Post. He holds a BA in Economics from Rutgers University. Follow Ed on Twitter @edjmoya ‏
Ed Moya