Gold edges lower, but remains near a 5-month high

Gold futures edged lower on Monday, but continued to hold ground near a five-month high after posting a strong rally last week when stock-market turmoil fueled haven-related buying.

Gold for February delivery GCG9, -0.34%  on Comex was down 90 cents, or less than 0.1%, at $1,251,70 an ounce, while March silver SIH9, -0.69%  fell 0.2% to $14.67 an ounce.

Gold notched its highest close since July on Friday as it logged its biggest weekly gain since August, all in the wake of market turmoil that sent stocks reeling and pressured Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar.

Gold “losses were limited on expectations that there might be a pause in the [Federal Reserve interest] rate hike cycles in 2019—sooner than expected,” said analysts at ICICI Bank, in a daily market report.

The U.S. economy created 155,000 new jobs in November to keep the unemployment rate at a 49-year low, but hiring fell short of Wall Street expectations, according to data released Friday.

“Not surprisingly, the U.S. nonfarm payroll result for November reduced interest-rate hike prospects for 2019 and, in turn, that undermines the dollar which provides support to gold and other physical commodities,” analysts at Zaner Precious Metals wrote in a note.

Benchmark U.S. stock indexes traded broadly lower Monday after last week’s selloff pushed the S&P 500 SPX, -0.34%  and the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA, -0.38%  into negative territory for the year.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, +0.57%  edged up by 0.3%, but continued to trade lower month to date. A stronger dollar can weigh on commodities priced in the greenback as it makes it more expensive to users of other currencies, and vice-versa. Lower bond yields can also be a positive for commodities, which don’t offer a yield.

In other metals trade, January platinum PLF9, -1.09%  was off $6.90, or 0.9%, at $783.50 an ounce, while March palladium PAH9, -0.75%  fell by 50 cents to $1,170.30 an ounce. March copper HGH9, -1.30%  declined 3.4 cents, or 1.2%, to $2.726 a pound.

Among exchanged-traded funds, SPDR Gold Shares GLD, -0.47%  fell nearly 0.2%, while the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF GDX, -0.72%  added 1.2%.



This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Ed Moya

Ed Moya

Senior Market Analyst at OANDA
With more than 20 years’ trading experience, Ed Moya is a market analyst with OANDA, producing up-to-the-minute fundamental analysis of geo-political events and monetary policies in the US, Europe, the Middle East and North Africa. Over the course of his career, he has worked with some of the world’s leading forex brokerages and research departments including Global Forex Trading, FX Solutions and Trading Advantage. Most recently he worked with, where he provided market analysis on economic data and corporate news. Based in New York, Ed is a regular guest on several major financial television networks including BNN, CNBC, Fox Business, and Bloomberg. He is often quoted in leading print and online publications such as the Wall Street Journal and the Washington Post. He holds a BA in Economics from Rutgers University. Follow Ed on Twitter @edjmoya ‏
Ed Moya